DixieBlizzard Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: He was talking about in this pattern we are in. Try to keep up. Yes it's above normal but nice to see in this torch we are in. Don't feed the trolls. The guy is an arse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: This is a pattern I could get behind: Cold Rain, is that a little miller A setting up there? 850mb is in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I believe you are wrong again. Alaska can be cold and we can be too. It all about where the blocking sets up. The last time we where skunked in February and March was 2012. We are off to a decent start and I think the pattern will play out as advertised. A lot down east have already exceeded there snow annually. FACT CHECKER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, DixieBlizzard said: Don't feed the trolls. The guy is an arse. Yeah I'm trying hard not too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, Timothy Clyde said: FACT CHECKER Ah I completely forgot about that. We got zilch down here. That was a horrible winter so I try to forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Someone, I believe Jon, said something about fantasy storms showing up soon and I largely disagree just based on the long term gfs runs the past few nights. Temps are not supportive and storm track looks awful through at least early Feb. And that is not IMO that is what the modeling pattern actually shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, TiltedStorm said: Cold Rain, is that a little miller A setting up there? 850mb is in place Yes indeed! By the time 384 arrives, it will be crossing TN, on it's way to Lake Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 I love snow more than a lot and I will tell you how it is. I admit I busted on north-west fringe for last event but I never doubted large totals in the Piedmont Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 58 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: This is a pattern I could get behind: Euro weeklies have been unusually consistent in showing some flavor of a +PNA/-EPO type pattern for Feb. Maybe neutral to negative AO, neutral NAO. New run comes out tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Before Frosty beats me to it, synopsis from JB this morning: I need my rabies shot, pattern after the 25th has me salivating, like a rabid dog, who hasn't eaten in days, and there's this red meat ( pattern) right in front of me! My interpretation: grab the sunscreen in the SE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Before Frosty beats me to it, synopsis from JB this morning: I need my rabies shot, pattern after the 25th has me salivating, like a rabid dog, who hasn't eaten in days, and there's this red meat ( pattern) right in front of me! My interpretation: grab the sunscreen in the SE! Wax the sleds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 # of years since last double digit snowfall winter (10 or more inches), at airports... Greer, SC (GSP): 24 years (92-93) Charlotte, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greenville, NC: 13 years (03-04) Raleigh, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greensboro, NC: 3 years (13-14) Asheville, NC: 1 year (15-16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Before Frosty beats me to it, synopsis from JB this morning: I need my cash shot, pattern after the 25th has me sweating, like a poor dog, who hasn't **** in days, and there's this hunk of meat ( s/e ridge) right on my ***! My interpretation: maybe a new England system with no measurable frozen from Atlanta to Raleigh Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 5 minutes ago, griteater said: # of years since last double digit snowfall winter (10 or more inches), at airports... Greer, SC (GSP): 24 years (92-93) Charlotte, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greenville, NC: 13 years (03-04) Raleigh, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greensboro, NC: 3 years (13-14) Asheville, NC: 1 year (15-16) Didn't CLT get it in 13/14 too? I thought they had 9" for the big one and a couple of other 1" events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Didn't CLT get it in 13/14 too? I thought they had 9" for the big one and a couple of other 1" events? My house close to uptown definitely did. Pretty sure I ended up right at 12" for the season, but the airport measured quite a bit below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 hour ago, Timothy Clyde said: Someone, I believe Jon, said something about fantasy storms showing up soon and I largely disagree just based on the long term gfs runs the past few nights. Temps are not supportive and storm track looks awful through at least early Feb. And that is not IMO that is what the modeling pattern actually shows. Last nights run says hello: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, griteater said: # of years since last double digit snowfall winter (10 or more inches), at airports... Greer, SC (GSP): 24 years (92-93) Charlotte, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greenville, NC: 13 years (03-04) Raleigh, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greensboro, NC: 3 years (13-14) Asheville, NC: 1 year (15-16) I thought we had a chance last week, but alas, NW it was again. It's hard to say we're due, but I think it's weird it's been so long. Probably the lack of blocking through the years. I'm not going to complain though, the last several winters clt has had at least a measurable snow event. Decent ones in MBY. But yeah, 04 was the last big dog. Man was it nice. February has always been good to us, I think we score again sometime in February during another -EPO outbreak. It hasn't been dry so far this winter around here that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: Didn't CLT get it in 13/14 too? I thought they had 9" for the big one and a couple of other 1" events? 0.9 in late Jan, and 8.4 in Feb event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 JMA on board with trop forcing shifting into more nino territory as we get into Feb....maybe if I talk about it I will jinx it and we will snap back to canonical blowtorch Feb nina. CFS still on board with nice warm Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 A couple of links for NC events: http://www.weather.gov/rah/events http://climate.ncsu.edu/climate/winter_wx/database.php?location_county=&StartYear=1969&StartMonth=01&StartDay=1&EndYear=2015&EndMonth=08&EndDay=1&Submit=Submit&page=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 56 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro weeklies have been unusually consistent in showing some flavor of a +PNA/-EPO type pattern for Feb. Maybe neutral to negative AO, neutral NAO. New run comes out tonight Hopefully, they remain onboard and don't push the change back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 46 minutes ago, griteater said: # of years since last double digit snowfall winter (10 or more inches), at airports... Greer, SC (GSP): 24 years (92-93) Charlotte, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greenville, NC: 13 years (03-04) Raleigh, NC: 13 years (03-04) Greensboro, NC: 3 years (13-14) Asheville, NC: 1 year (15-16) I'm not sure Atlanta has ever had a double digit snowfall. Since 1940, the biggest snowfall is 8", which proves my point that Atlanta is in the worst possible location for snow in the US outside of places like Florida and southern California. Columbia, Birmingham, Dallas, San Antonio, etc have all seen double digit snow in the last 40 or so years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: I'm not sure Atlanta has ever had a double digit snowfall. Since 1940, the biggest snowfall is 8", which proves my point that Atlanta is in the worst possible location for snow in the US outside of places like Florida and southern California. Columbia, Birmingham, Dallas, San Antonio, etc have all seen double digit snow in the last 40 or so years. I'm sure it's occurred before records. If it's occurred in Macon and areas further south it's likely happened there at some point and probably will happen again eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Double digit in Atlanta in 82-83 and 35-36. Same for Athens, but Athens also had one in 2010-2011 with 13.6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I'm sure it's occurred before records. If it's occurred in Macon and areas further south it's likely happened there at some point and probably will happen again eventually I know Atlanta is far south but my Goodness what does it take for a freak storm to dump 10" in atl ? Atlanta is even at an elevation of 1000' or so which you would think would help a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Double digit in Atlanta in 82-83 and 35-36. Same for Athens, but Athens also had one in 2010-2011 with 13.6 inches Atlanta had 8" in March 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Most of North GA is still in an extreme drought according to the latest drought monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 hours ago, Timothy Clyde said: Someone, I believe Jon, said something about fantasy storms showing up soon and I largely disagree just based on the long term gfs runs the past few nights. Temps are not supportive and storm track looks awful through at least early Feb. And that is not IMO that is what the modeling pattern actually shows. I said the next few days, and you largely disagree based on the runs the past few nights? The models weren't even in range to the dates I'm talking about (26-27th and forward)...your call for the second week of February or later is WRONG. It could be mid-Feb, not arguing that. But our first chance at a favorable pattern is late month. Blocked because you're clearly a troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 38 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Hopefully, they remain onboard and don't push the change back. The 12Z GFS is horrible , just turrible! Those temp anomalies maps for next week, across the whole country and Canada, would bring a tear to Packs eye! I know not to look at op runs, when a pattern is in flux, but that pattern looks like flush!! I think they may have to come up with a few new colors of heat for that map! But, the 384 hour storm is money! Don't worry about details at this point...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: The 12Z GFS is horrible , just turrible! Those temp anomalies maps for next week, across the whole country and Canada, would bring a tear to Packs eye! I know not to look at op runs, when a pattern is in flux, but that pattern looks like flush!! I think they may have to come up with a few new colors of heat for that map! But, the 384 hour storm is money! Don't worry about details at this point...... All in on 384! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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