dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: this is starting the downward spiral I was hoping to avoid. Nothing like shoveling water fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 12z RGEM is not going to help matters out for here or folks south and east I'll add that it's now in the range when we can start weighting it as a viable solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: fyp ? acronym for......? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Will only have travel about 20 miles west instead of 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: ? acronym for......? Its rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: Its rain lovely. not throwing in the towel yet, but trends are going the wrong way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: Its rain What's that saying? Will the rain to Maine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What's that saying? Will the rain to Maine.... The rain in Maine falls on the coastal plain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: lovely. not throwing in the towel yet, but trends are going the wrong way. A low tracking over KSFM is not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 way too close to the melange pluie-neige Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: A low tracking over KSFM is not good Recall what I said the other day about bombing lows tucking in closer, Well, that looks like it may be occurring with this one too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: crazy tight gradient. I'm like 10mi away from getting 15" compared to the 7" currently modeled. Where are you modeled for 7"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Weather Underground seems to have it all over NOAA and Accuweather on this one.... at least for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Recall what I said the other day about bombing lows tucking in closer, Well, that looks like it may be occurring with this one too. This is where a well place high and some confluence to the north would help, The air mass is marginal, If its weaker and east then we have BL issues, If its stronger, Its west, And tracks to the west, Its a lose lose proposition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: I thought you were the one giving us the bird No, thats me on the new sled reaching out to high five PF as he cruises by on skis. He's wearing the reindeer sweater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 pretty funny to go from getting 18" to possibly more rain that wipes out what little pack we have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 The rotted stale airmass will not be helping. If everyone could install ACs backwards and crank them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: pretty funny to go from getting 18" to possibly more rain that wipes out what little pack we have. On a brighter note, Won't have far to travel west to ride, The foothills are going to get crushed back to the mountains are going to get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Rgem is better back this way. Absolutely destroys around KCON. Looked a hair colder than 06z at 925 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Well maybe this is the west trend peak and it starts to slip east a bit again. Not unusual, common in fact with storms , for the models to over trend in the last 48 hours and then verify closer to where they were at 48 . In a borderline temperature profile in Lewiston Maine in late December with a heavy snow pack nearby I would lean colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 31 minutes ago, mreaves said: If you look closely, you can see me and PF high fiving in the background. I might chase..haven't been following this closely...Stowe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 RGEM is a Chicken Coop Collapser from near Hubby to Lakes region to Sunday river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Well maybe this is the west trend peak and it starts to slip east a bit again. Not unusual, common in fact with storms , for the models to over trend in the last 48 hours and then verify closer to where they were at 48 . In a borderline temperature profile in Lewiston Maine in late December with a heavy snow pack nearby I would lean colder The TROWAL doesn't care about the snowpack. The more amplified and further west it gets the more the rain will push inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: On a brighter note, Won't have far to travel west to ride, The foothills are going to get crushed back to the mountains are going to get crushed yeah, but it stings when we're that close and end up with crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, stormtracker said: I might chase..haven't been following this closely...Stowe? Do it, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: The TROWAL doesn't care about the snowpack. The more amplified and further west it gets the more the rain will push inland. East of a low track no matter how intense is bad period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, but it stings when we're that close and end up with crap. Not much you can do about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Rgem is better back this way. Absolutely destroys around KCON. Looked a hair colder than 06z at 925 This is one of those situations where I think I just want QPF and let the battle happen right over me. I get a shot at huge totals but likely end up with some tainting but the ski areas cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 RGEM Shawnee Peak Crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I might chase..haven't been following this closely...Stowe? gyx has the bullseye for the Whites into w. Maine. Maybe more a Conway/Fryeburg/ Sunday River chaser. I always think of Conway as a shadow area though.. Maybe someone else has better spot in that area to suggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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