dendrite Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: It looks like there are two very distinct windows for wind today/tonight. The first this afternoon looks more evenly distributed across the region, but there is a nice isallobaric couplet crossing SNE. The second one tonight with the Arctic front looks to have the greatest potential wind. It will have the trop fold, the CAA, and an even stronger isallobaric couplet. This one is more focused across CNE, slicing through the Dacks, across southern VT and NH. NAM vs. the GFS for your viewing pleasure. Go NAM go! Yeah...I mean the wind looks strong, but how often do we pull 60-80mph winds over the interior at night with CAA? My little lazy quick wind check is to take the MOS max WSP value and double it for peak gusts. CON has a 24 this afternoon so we'll see if 45-50mph works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Good Morning, with the am thump for Saturday am, for snow removal, will this be a fluffy snow before a change over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah...I mean the wind looks strong, but how often do we pull 60-80mph winds over the interior at night with CAA? My little lazy quick wind check is to take the MOS max WSP value and double it for peak gusts. CON has a 24 this afternoon so we'll see if 45-50mph works out. We were just talking about that. Have we ever verified HWW on CAA at night? Plus have we ever had an ASOS/AWOS gust 50 mph over sustained winds before (a la 15-25 mph gust 65 mph)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 14 minutes ago, 512high said: Good Morning, with the am thump for Saturday am, for snow removal, will this be a fluffy snow before a change over? Fluffy to start but decreasingly so as the warm approaches--at least that's what makes intuitive sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 It's windier than I thought right now, gusting pretty good. Some nice SHSN into NE CT and RI right now. Prob ably into SE MA later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 41 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Some nice squalls on the ride into work this morning. Brief near whiteout in Gardner Nice--bummed I missed them (I pass the Hubbardston exit around 5:00). It looked nice just west of there yesterday--really from east of the river up toward you. Particularly around Millers Falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's windier than I thought right now, gusting pretty good. Some nice SHSN into NE CT and RI right now. Prob ably into SE MA later. Leftover Erie band about to hit Mount Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Fluffy to start but decreasingly so as the warm approaches--at least that's what makes intuitive sense to me. Thank you roller coaster weather ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Squall moved through, temp 15 wind NW @ 10 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 squall in dxr, wind picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Very impressive squall came through..it was Whiteout(not near whiteout). Picked up a quarter inch, and ground all white/covered. Temp went from 25 to 18 in 15 minutes. Cold seems to be over performing thus far..was forecast for Mid twenties for this morning and dropping during the afternoon. We are down further than was forecast at this early juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Notably windier than I expected thus far. A few weenie flakes on the air too. Love this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Quick squall ripped through about an hour ago here in Manchester. Left a 1/2" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Nice snow squall moving through now. Big, powdery flakes. 28.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z NAM looks like a pretty solid thump for most. Not too much difference over the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 If it does indeed play out like that, then I think the NAM deserves some credit(didn't it sniff out the heavier thump before the other models..Or am I mistaken?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 Signs of light NE ageostrophic flow on the NAM near and NW of I-95. That's gonna hold the cold a bit into the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z NAM looks like a pretty solid thump for most. Not too much difference over the last few runs. Looked a little better for SE areas in SNE too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looked a little better for SE areas in SNE too It's come back around after being very robust 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z NAM looks like a pretty solid thump for most. Not too much difference over the last few runs. Regarding thump, any projections for Southern NH? 2-4? 3-6? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 2 minutes ago, 512high said: Regarding thump, any projections for Southern NH? 2-4? 3-6? thanks A solid 4-6 easily there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 We squall, WINDSEXY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: A solid 4-6 easily there. Thanks Scott! easily?? Awesome..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 4KM NAM also shows cold tuck potential in ern/NA MA after temps try to creep into U30s. Another hazard to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We squall, WINDSEXY Steve, What are you thinking for our area tomorrow with the "Thump", and before the rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3KM NAM weenies out in a lot of areas. Even another one of those enhanced indirect OES bands in far SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Steve, What are you thinking for our area tomorrow with the "Thump", and before the rain? our standard 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3KM NAM weenies out in a lot of areas. Even another one of those enhanced indirect OES bands in far SE MA. Pretty much all the Nam products have a real good thump on the front end for most here with 4-7" amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3KM NAM weenies out in a lot of areas. Even another one of those enhanced indirect OES bands in far SE MA. Yeah it does. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3KM NAM weenies out in a lot of areas. Even another one of those enhanced indirect OES bands in far SE MA. Also could be something that keeps totals pretty uniform across the southern areas as opposed to the typical gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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