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Model Mayhem!


SR Airglow

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They said "moisten" - snicker...

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Tonight into Tomorrow...

Clouds will continue to thicken across the area tonight keeping
temperatures from radiating out. Lows tonight will drop into them
into the low 20s.

Clipper system over the northern Plains will approach the area
Thursday morning. A good amount of dry air will be over the region
ahead of this system, however, cross sections show the profile will
moisten up to support precipitation. Biggest question is the
boundary layer temperatures. Believe that across the interior the
temps will be cool enough to support snow showers. Closer to the
coast, temperatures will be marginal to anticipate more liquid
precipitation. Model QPF is pretty light resulting in a dusting to
less than an inch of snow. Highest confidence in accumulating
snowfall is north of the Pike. This system is moving pretty quick so
anticipate improving conditions by the afternoon hours.

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1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

They said "moisten" - snicker...

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Tonight into Tomorrow...

Clouds will continue to thicken across the area tonight keeping
temperatures from radiating out. Lows tonight will drop into them
into the low 20s.

Clipper system over the northern Plains will approach the area
Thursday morning. A good amount of dry air will be over the region
ahead of this system, however, cross sections show the profile will
moisten up to support precipitation. Biggest question is the
boundary layer temperatures. Believe that across the interior the
temps will be cool enough to support snow showers. Closer to the
coast, temperatures will be marginal to anticipate more liquid
precipitation. Model QPF is pretty light resulting in a dusting to
less than an inch of snow. Highest confidence in accumulating
snowfall is north of the Pike. This system is moving pretty quick so
anticipate improving conditions by the afternoon hours.

Should i congratulate you on your crusty white Christmas?

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22 minutes ago, 512high said:

So ray based as we stand today, you still feel good things will improve temp wise and storm chances after the first or so? thanks Philip

I always have since last fall.

It had started to look like it may take a week or so after the new year, but things look like they may transition right on schedule of late.

I don't see why at least interior sne can not pull off a very good month, and even the majority of the area.

I think a good 30" (rough approximation) is possible at many locales across the interior.

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