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WPAC, Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones


1900hurricane
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15 minutes ago, Tallis Rockwell said:

This one crazy storm...200+mph wind gusts?

Easily... Saw Reed say up to 250 mph on Twitter but that's just so difficult to comprehend... Was that him guesstimating or an official figure (again, for gusts)?

 

Edit: Seen a couple other figures of 235 mph gusts, which seems more... realistic, for lack of a better word. Very extreme.

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This advisory does have 195mph...
 

WTPN31 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 016    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311800Z --- NEAR 13.7N 125.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 170 KT, GUSTS 205 KT


 

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It's too bad there aren't recon planes to collect data in west Pacific especially since they get hit by some of the strongest tropical systems on earth. Would love to get some actual wind and pressure data from this. Probably no instrument on that island, if there even is one, wouldn't survive long enough to get the max winds and lowest pressures. Eye seems to have shrunk on latest satellite after interacting with the island. Might see intensity level off or even drop off but that's not saying much from 195mph. Truly some of the most incredible satellite imagery I seen next to Haiyan and Patricia. 

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22 minutes ago, Bhs1975 said:

Almost did with Dorian and with AGW it’s way more likely.

We did actually have such an intense monster hit the Florida Keys in 1935.  Just didn’t have the technology then to accurately measure its intensity.   Way before AGW became all the rage and will happen again, regardless; just simply a matter of time.  

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24 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

If they actually had recon in the WPAC i could see this storm having something like an 875-885 mb pressure at its peak intensity, and probably something close to Patricia in terms of windspeed

What really stands out about this system is that it literally made landfall at its peak extreme intensity.  Truly remarkable system, and I fear for those unfortunate souls who are having to  endure its wrath!

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