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June 2016 Discussions/Observations


bluewave
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Probably a top 5 driest June for parts of LI with only 1.13" at Islip this month.

This is the 4th month in a row that many stations will come in with below normal precip.

Barring any additional rain thru tomorrow...3 of the past 4 months here have had under 2" of precip...May however was a bit above average with 4.60".
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Barring any additional rain thru tomorrow...3 of the past 4 months here have had under 2" of precip...May however was a bit above average with 4.60".

 

It can be tricky going into the summer with an existing drought since convection is usually hit or miss around here.

We will need a series of organized systems and some tropical help to break this drought pattern.

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It can be tricky going into the summer with an existing drought since convection is usually hit or miss around here.

We will need a series of organized systems and some tropical help to break this drought pattern.

...its been 20+ years since the 'sunrise hwy' fires(westhampton,eastport)..wonder how

this dry pattern matches(no pun) up with 1995...?

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...its been 20+ years since the 'sunrise hwy' fires(westhampton,eastport)..wonder how

this dry pattern matches(no pun) up with 1995...?

 

This is actually the driest March through June around here since 1995. The big story that year was the historic

dry August. NYC set the record for driest August ever at only 0.18" and the 3rd driest calendar month on record.

I can remember local small ponds drying up.

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It can be tricky going into the summer with an existing drought since convection is usually hit or miss around here.

We will need a series of organized systems and some tropical help to break this drought pattern.

and help from the tropics is usually August and Sept/Oct so we may have to wait a bit.

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did anyone get damage from the possible tornado near new providence?

000

NWUS51 KOKX 291423

LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1023 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0930 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW PROVIDENCE 40.70N 74.40W

06/28/2016 UNION NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT

CAR FLIPPED ONTO ITS ROOF ON CENTRAL AVENUE. MULTIPLE

TREES DOWN AND MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ON CENTRAL AVENUE

NEAR SOUTH STREET AND LIVINGSTON AVENUE.

post-63-0-58526400-1467218330_thumb.gif

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did anyone get damage from the possible tornado near new providence?

 

Saw some tree service trucks around and some branches and tree debris around. Come to think of it, I do remember a point in the storm where the winds started blowing NW then back to NE. This also coincided with some transformer popping sounds, but no power outage by me. I'm also very close to Central & Livingston Ave, like within a half mile.

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Public Information Statement...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY
148 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

...Microburst /Straight Line Wind Damage/ Confirmed Near
New Providence in Union County New Jersey...

Location...New Providence in Union County New Jersey
Date...June 28 2016
Estimated Time...930 PM EDT
Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...70 mph
Maximum Path Width...50 yards
Path Length...1/4 mile
* Fatalities...0
* Injuries...0

* The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event(s) and publication in
NWS Storm Data.

...Summary...
The National Weather Service in New York NY has confirmed a
Microburst /Straight Line Wind Damage/ near New Providence in
Union County New Jersey on June 28 2016.

The microburst occurred along Central Avenue, within roughly one-
eighth of a mile in either direction from the intersection with
South Street. The microburst lasted only around 2 minutes and had
a maximum estimated windspeed of 70 mph. Most of the downed trees
and tree limbs showed sign of rot and decay. There was some
siding observed to be peeled back along one home.

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Saw some tree service trucks around and some branches and tree debris around. Come to think of it, I do remember a point in the storm where the winds started blowing NW then back to NE. This also coincided with some transformer popping sounds, but no power outage by me. I'm also very close to Central & Livingston Ave, like within a half mile.

That's very close to where that tornado hit a few years ago right? I think it started in Somerset and crossed into Berkeley Hts and NP

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Public Information Statement...CORRECTED

National Weather Service New York NY

148 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

...Microburst /Straight Line Wind Damage/ Confirmed Near

New Providence in Union County New Jersey...

Location...New Providence in Union County New Jersey

Date...June 28 2016

Estimated Time...930 PM EDT

Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...70 mph

Maximum Path Width...50 yards

Path Length...1/4 mile

* Fatalities...0

* Injuries...0

* The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to

change pending final review of the event(s) and publication in

NWS Storm Data.

...Summary...

The National Weather Service in New York NY has confirmed a

Microburst /Straight Line Wind Damage/ near New Providence in

Union County New Jersey on June 28 2016.

The microburst occurred along Central Avenue, within roughly one-

eighth of a mile in either direction from the intersection with

South Street. The microburst lasted only around 2 minutes and had

a maximum estimated windspeed of 70 mph. Most of the downed trees

and tree limbs showed sign of rot and decay. There was some

siding observed to be peeled back along one home.

 

Wow, I must have been just beyond the southern edge of it then.

 

 

 

That's very close to where that tornado hit a few years ago right? I think it started in Somerset and crossed into Berkeley Hts and NP

 

Yeah, this was just over a half mile south of the 2013 tornado's track which ran east along Springfield Ave.

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The 12z Euro continues the rainfall suppression pattern here for the next 10 days.

It goes from 0.1 in NYC to +5.5 in Southern New Jersey. Look for an expansion

of drought conditions around the area if it verifies this dry going into July.

The 12z EPS mean is much less suppressed than the OP and looks more like the GFS and GGEM which are further North.

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Given the radar and the damage, I'm surprised that was determined to be a microburst.  Can't say I've heard of a van getting flipped on its roof in 70 mph non-tornadic winds.  

That's what I thought. Really bizarre. The roof must be made out of solid lead or something. :lol:

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First three months in a row of closer to normal temps here following the historic 

5/15-3/16 Super El Nino record warmth. 

 

NYC

 

5/16.....+6.1

6/15.....-0.2

7/15.....+2.3

8/15.....+3.8

9/15.....+6.5

10/15...+1.1

11/15...+5.1

12/15..+13.3

1/16....+1.9

2/16....+2.4

3/16....+6.4

4/16.....+0.3

5/16.....+0.4

6/16.....+0.8

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