ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 Am I in trouble that run? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 How does it look NE PA at 1600'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Am I in trouble that run? Sounds like north of the pike is fine but everyone south is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 Sounds like north of the pike is fine but everyone south is rain Glad we don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Glad we don't live there.Would elevation help? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Would elevation help? No, hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Sounds like north of the pike is fine but everyone south is rain Well, I meant missing the heavy slug to the south, as "in trouble"....I know I'm not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 No, hurts haha - nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 I thought euro was nice for a lot of areas. Really has a good fronto look in SNE. Definitely a lot colder at 850 than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Man that is cold though. Dam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 18z GFS shows how this weekend could certainly be the more noteworthy event of the two. That run doesn't look very impressive at all for Tuesday. Would still be an accumulating snow event but a slow 1-4" type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 18z GFS shows how this weekend could certainly be the more noteworthy event of the two. That run doesn't look very impressive at all for Tuesday. Would still be an accumulating snow event but a slow 1-4" type deal. GFS has been pretty ugly for several runs now. The foreign models definitely look better. No doubt about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Futility record killer. I think CON was still tied for lowest snowfall. I assume this could get some other places out last place too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Could keep ALB as well from maintaining their epic futility record if Vort tracks end up optimal for ENY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Exactly guys.... obviously love the snow, but I really don't want to be anywhere near the jack for these 2 upcoming events. Futility record ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Nam is very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Nam is very interesting It looks pretty paltry to me...has some fronto of SNE, but kind of like the GFS, probably a nuisance event on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 It looks pretty paltry to me...has some fronto of SNE, but kind of like the GFS, probably a nuisance event on that run. It developed a 2nd low which almost gave NYC and parts of coastal sne a snowstorm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 It developed a 2nd low which almost gave NYC and parts of coastal sne a snowstorm lol Eh, that wasn't really that close...maybe closer for LI/NYC...but pretty warm there. Maybe a little extra for the Cape at the end. Complete clown range for the NAM anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 0z GFS looks a bit more robust compared to the 18z. Probably advisory for the pike region up into southern VT and NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 0z GFS looks a bit more robust compared to the 18z. Probably advisory for the pike region up into southern VT and NH. 00z GGEM is coming in more robust too vs 12z. It was already better than the GFS at 12z, but it still wasn't that impressive...maybe advisory, but the 00z run is probably borderline warning criteria for the pike region and maybe up into S VT/S NH if ratios are more like 15 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 As an non-snow aspect...record low maximums may be in jeopardy on 4/4...esp for ORH. BOS has a random 30F max in 1879 which probably is out of reach. ORH's 31F though is definitely beatable. The 32F at BDL is debatable too...but def possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Man the 00Z runs tossing the GFS obviously..were all south and ice cold with this one. Snow right to the south shore. Hopefully it sticks to the roads as well as everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Man the 00Z runs tossing the GFS obviously..were all south and ice cold with this one. Snow right to the south shore. Hopefully it sticks to the roads as well as everything else They actually all looked a bit norht of 12z and warmer. I think CT may have some issues...you'll probably be fine, but there's def some warmer temps that get in there...esp southern half of state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 QPF looks a bit paltry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 is this a case where tomorrow robs the energy and there just is not enough juice left behind for this follow up system? I mean they are so close spatially, hardly 24 hrs apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 GFS much more precip than the NAM which is a lousy one or two frames of meh at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 is this a case where tomorrow robs the energy and there just is not enough juice left behind for this follow up system? I mean they are so close spatially, hardly 24 hrs apart this situation comes along with some differences over that standard model. The thermal gradient doesn't really displace that far S or E of the area post tomorrows arctic fropa. this thing tomorrow is almost like a flat rock skipping off a pond - only in this case ... the rock is the N-stream wave, and the pond is the static heights S of our latitude. That metaphor means the entire event transpires along a relatively flat amount of latitude, dispite being exceptionally energetic/dynamic. but you're right to at least question that amount of time between successive events, because synoptic scale recovery does play a roll. it's just that looking at each situation individually, ...there are variances to that. having said all that, personally I suspect that tomorrow comes along with more impact and snow than the latter, anyway, and mainly just because the dynamics on that following system are so weak. we'll see - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Congrats guys. Enjoy another one on us Sent from my VS986 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 this situation comes along with some differences over that standard model. The thermal gradient doesn't really displace that far S or E of the area post tomorrows arctic fropa. this thing tomorrow is almost like a flat rock skipping off a pond - only in this case ... the rock is the N-stream wave, and the pond is the static heights S of our latitude. That metaphor means the entire event transpires along a relatively flat amount of latitude, dispite being exceptionally energetic/dynamic. but you're right to at least question that amount of time between successive events, because synoptic scale recovery does play a roll. it's just that looking at each situation individually, ...there are variances to that. having said all that, personally I suspect that tomorrow comes along with more impact and snow than the latter, anyway, and mainly just because the dynamics on that following system are so weak. we'll see - I think GC will enjoy Monday more than Sunday. In other words, we'll have to minor impact events out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.