norcarolinian Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 warm front is thru GSO. Temp went from 48 to 61 in last 20 minutes. blue sky starting to show as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 70 over 68 here gusting into the 30's.........starting to feel a lot like April 2011 minus the haze from all the pollen, it was cloudy that morning too until 10-12 then it cleared out to filtered sunshine.....the winds where stronger though gusting well into the 50's before the storms ever got here so I doubt we get that bad this time around but I have no doubt we see mature long lasting tornadic supercells today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I'm a little concerned about all these early school dismissals. I don't know about other areas, but here in JoCo, some of the bus routes are rather lengthy. I hope their timing of the release works well with the potential incoming weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 70 over 68 here gusting into the 30's.........starting to feel a lot like April 2011 minus the haze from all the pollen, it was cloudy that morning too until 10-12 then it cleared out to filtered sunshine.....the winds where stronger though gusting well into the 50's before the storms ever got here so I doubt we get that bad this time around but I have no doubt we see mature long lasting tornadic supercells today... It does seem to be very similar. Already clearing to the west in Greensboro. I think the rain this morning will just increase the instability for this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 gr2picking up on some rotation on the cell southwest of Fayettville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The 14z HRRR (thanks for the links everyone) doesn't look nearly as scary with the CAPE or the Sig Tornado Paramater as the 13z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 [an error occurred while processing this directive] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 gr2picking up on some rotation on the cell southwest of Fayettville pretty sharp couplet now almost right over Lumberton.....might see a warning on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 gr2picking up on some rotation on the cell southwest of Fayettville Got a warning now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC1048 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...NORTHWESTERN BLADEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHEASTERN ROBESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...* UNTIL 1130 AM EST* AT 1048 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMCAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATEDOVER BARKER TEN MILE...OR NEAR LUMBERTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT45 MPH.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...LUMBERTON...ST. PAULS...SMITHS...WHITE OAK...HOWELLSVILLE...TOLARSVILLE...ROBESON COMMUNITY COLLEGE...TOBERMORY...AMMON...HESTERTOWN...JEROME...DUART...BARKER TEN MILE...PARKTON...TAR HEEL AND SOUTHEASTERN REGIONALMEDICAL CENTER.THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 95 IN NORTH CAROLINA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 17AND 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Brad Panovich @wxbrad 19s20 seconds ago Tornado watch coming soon for Charlotte. #cltwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The 14z HRRR (thanks for the links everyone) doesn't look nearly as scary with the CAPE or the Sig Tornado Paramater as the 13z. Yeah 14z has a stronger line so may suck cape out quicker its still there just used quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpAck Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Everything seems to be shutting down by 1pm today here in Wilmington. Including bus service. It also has that "soupy" kinda feeling when you walk outside. The rain we got at daybreak didn't help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 [an error occurred while processing this directive] SUMMARY...AT LEAST SOME TORNADO RISK SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE MORNING/MIDDAY...INITIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN/UPSTATE PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS. ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY MIDDAY FOR WHAT COULD BE A REGIONAL TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDING THE 1630Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE PEAK SEVERE PROBABILITIES /INCLUDING STRONG TORNADO RISK/ ARE LIKELY TO BE SHIFTED WESTWARD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHERN VA. DISCUSSION...A DEEP CYCLONE CURRENTLY FEATURING A 986 MB SURFACE LOW OVER THE TN VALLEY/LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A STRENGTHENING CYCLONIC MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS. IN THE WAKE OF THICKER CLOUD COVER/CONVECTION CURRENTLY ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN...ADDITIONAL BANDS OF SEMI-DISCRETE CONVECTION HAVE BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC. WITH DIMINISHING CLOUD COVER IN THE PRESENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT...THIS CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY MATURE/INTENSIFY AND BECOME INCREASINGLY SURFACE-BASED AS IT OTHERWISE RACES NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. ACCORDINGLY...AT LEAST SOME TORNADO RISK COULD EXIST LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN/UPSTATE AREAS...WITH A MORE CERTAIN/ROBUST TORNADO RISK...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL VA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE NEAR AND SOUTHEAST OF THE ERODING WEDGE FRONT/EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT WHERE ROBUST LOW-LEVEL/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR STRONG TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 the warned cell n of lumberton is really tightening up the last scan or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I really don't understand why it seems they wait forever to issue watches now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Brad P video update: https://www.facebook.com/wxbradWCNC/videos/1031121296960326/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Pretty nasty. , isolated cells coming out of GA. , headed towards Oconee county , SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Lumberton cell legit, should be a TOG with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 80kts showing up in that couplet She is on the ground . and NROT of 1.74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Brandon Clement's SN is right under the circulation. May be an update delay on SN end. If there is anything he may be close enough to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 80kts showing up in that couplet She is on the ground . and NROT of 1.74 Radar beam is nearly 5,000 feet ASL. No spotters have reported a TOG and a TDS (Tornado Debris Signature) is not present. Agreed that it is quite organized though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Lead couplet fading, couple of new ones forming SE of that one on the tail end of the line the storms there looking hooky.....should see them take over.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Radar beam is nearly 5,000 feet ASL. No spotters have reported a TOG and a TDS (Tornado Debris Signature) is not present. Agreed that it is quite organized though. I quite forgot about the beam being aloft. Very organized a few cells to its south look close to rotating too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I get your point but still, our area will most likely see the least impact from this. As I said earlier, it was too early to assume anything. The wedge has eroded I am now at 62º with sunshine. I have a gut feeling there will be plenty of severe weather to go around. SUMMARY...AT LEAST SOME TORNADO RISK SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE MORNING/MIDDAY...INITIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN/UPSTATE PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS. ONE OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION BY MIDDAY FOR WHAT COULD BE A REGIONAL TORNADO OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON. REGARDING THE 1630Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE PEAK SEVERE PROBABILITIES /INCLUDING STRONG TORNADO RISK/ ARE LIKELY TO BE SHIFTED WESTWARD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHERN VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Had heavy rain here in north Raleigh, and now it has stopped. Looks like it won't be long before it clears up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 its thundering here and there aren't even any cells over us temp is 67, dewpoint is 67 and the sun is out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Sun is out in Moncure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Tornado Watch posted: URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1115 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OFMOST OF NORTH CAROLINACENTRAL AND NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1115 AM UNTIL700 PM EST.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELYSCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELYISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLESUMMARY...TWO AREAS OF SEVERE STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE NORTHEASTWARDTHROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY AREA OF STORMS WITHIN A QUASI-LINEARBAND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGINGWINDS AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. A SECONDARY AREA OF SPORADIC TORNADO/WINDPOTENTIAL MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN IN SOUTHERNNORTH CAROLINA.THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTEMILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST OF GREENSBORO NORTHCAROLINA TO 40 MILES EAST OF FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR ACOMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINEUPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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