Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Kind of what I was thinking. Wasn't trying to be a prick (though that seems how it was taken), but most of Georgia (outside of the northern mountains) is pretty much going to be hit or miss on significant snows and you don't get to an average of 2 by having snow every year. we used to get snow every year. At least a dusting. The last 12 years or so we've been completely shut out many times and we never have a winter with more than 4", unlike places like Dallas who had a foot of snow last winter. We are just in a snow hole. There's really no explanation. It just is what it is. I don't even ask for a significant snow. I just want to see 1/2". This isn't FL. It shouldn't be that difficult to get 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 we used to get snow every year. At least a dusting. The last 12 years or so we've been completely shut out many times and we never have a winter with more than 4", unlike places like Dallas who had a foot of snow last winter. We are just in a snow hole. There's really no explanation. It just is what it is. I don't even ask for a significant snow. I just want to see 1/2". This isn't FL. It shouldn't be that difficult to get 1/2". Dallas is a different world than ATL or vicinity, cold air gets in much easier fro the Plains and its more likely for a favorable storm track to produce major snows. Despite the fact they only average 3 or so inches like ATL, their ceiling on big events is more frequent and higher. They average a 6-8 inch event every 15-20 years or so in the city, even if its north of the airport. ATL I would guess averages an 8 inch event every 40 years or so and probably a 4 inch event is a every 10-15 year incidence on average despite the fact they had like 4 of them in 2010 and 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Dallas is a different world than ATL or vicinity, cold air gets in much easier fro the Plains and its more likely for a favorable storm track to produce major snows. Despite the fact they only average 3 or so inches like ATL, their ceiling on big events is more frequent and higher. They average a 6-8 inch event every 15-20 years or so in the city, even if its north of the airport. ATL I would guess averages an 8 inch event every 40 years or so and probably a 4 inch event is a every 10-15 year incidence on average despite the fact they had like 4 of them in 2010 and 11. heck, even Birmingham and columbia get big snowfalls more frequently than Atlanta. In fact, name me one city in the entire stretch of I-20 that gets big snows as infrequently as Atlanta does. Its been 33 years since Atlanta has had a 6" snow. Even areas south of Atlanta have had bigger snows than Atlantas biggest snow. I think Columbus to Macon had like a foot of snow or more in the 70s. I'm not sure Atlanta has ever had a double digit snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 heck, even Birmingham and columbia get big snowfalls more frequently than Atlanta. In fact, name me one city in the entire stretch of I-20 that gets big snows as infrequently as Atlanta does. Its been 33 years since Atlanta has had a 6" snow. Even areas south of Atlanta have had bigger snows than Atlantas biggest snow. I think Columbus to Macon had like a foot of snow or more in the 70s. I'm not sure Atlanta has ever had a double digit snowfall. If it makes you feel any better, Nashville was a relative snow hole for the past 20+ years and they are finally having a good year. Maybe you will score before this year is over. Still quite a bit of time left with the pattern looking to have a BIG tall western ridge later in the month, not to mention the possibility you could grab some flakes early next week before a change over. It only takes one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 When discussing ensembles, can someone give me a short explanation of the difference between the control and the mean? I understand the mean is an average of all of the members (or at least think I do), but I don't understand the significance of the control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 if anyone wants to see what a weather board would look like without mods take a look at talkweather. my god, it is physically painful to read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 if anyone wants to see what a weather board would look like without mods take a look at talkweather. my god, it is physically painful to read. Oh they have mods. They Perma banned me and blocked my IP address. All for a gif of Anchor man when Baxter got punted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Oh they have mods. They Perma banned me and blocked my IP address. All for a gif of Anchor man when Baxter got punted. who the heck is Baxter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 who the heck is Baxter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-eGgQuYicM I can't believe they would give you a permanent ban and block your IP address over something so silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I can't believe they would give you a permanent ban and block your IP address over something so silly. I could not believe it either but hey I like it over here more. two people complained bc they were dog lovers, which I love my dog as well, and were horrified by it. I feel real bad for Shawn. He got banned as well trying to defend me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I could not believe it either but hey I like it over here more. two people complained bc they were dog lovers, which I love my dog as well, and were horrified by it. I feel real bad for Shawn. He got banned as well trying to defend me. I got banned a long time ago and I also like it more over here. It's a real mess over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I could not believe it either but hey I like it over here more. two people complained bc they were dog lovers, which I love my dog as well, and were horrified by it. I feel real bad for Shawn. He got banned as well trying to defend me. I have never visited cause well, the last thing I need is another weather board to pay attention to. That being said based on comments I've seen here not sure I've missed anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Early next week may be our last shot this winter for anything wintry. Looks like a big warmup by middle of next week lasting at least a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Early next week may be our last shot this winter for anything wintry. Looks like a big warmup by middle of next week lasting at least a week.doesn't last long and gets cold again after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 doesn't last long and gets cold again after that. By then it will be almost March. Looks like 7 days or so of 60+ weather according to weather.com for most areas in the southeast from the 17th through 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 By then it will be almost March. Looks like 7 days or so of 60+ weather according to weather.com for most areas in the southeast from the 17th through 23rd.so... What's wrong with March snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I have arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Bring on the I85 special! Dancing blue turd do your thang!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Hopefully me and Oconeexman can avoid a repeat of this on Monday.. (February 11, 2014) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Early next week may be our last shot this winter for anything wintry. Looks like a big warmup by middle of next week lasting at least a week.Got some maps, Brick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I have arrived. Great, you really brought the mojo last time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 When discussing ensembles, can someone give me a short explanation of the difference between the control and the mean? I understand the mean is an average of all of the members (or at least think I do), but I don't understand the significance of the control. In easy, short terms I believe the control is a form of the main Operational run at a lower resolution. Then that control run has little changes applied and each member come up with a forecast of it's own with those little changes. In experience, if an ensemble mean, members, or SOMETIMES the control run vary greatly from the operational run, some digging needs to be done to figure out why. Ensembles are a wonderful thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 This may sound like a silly question but when people speak of the " CAD region" does that include the Atlanta area and points westward into east AL ? Or is it mainly NE GA and the Carolinas ? I honestly have no clue if I'm considered to be in the CAD region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 This may sound like a silly question but when people speak of the " CAD region" does that include the Atlanta area and points westward into east AL ? Or is it mainly NE GA and the Carolinas ? I honestly have no clue if I'm considered to be in the CAD region.This seems to be asked alot! A perfect , super strong wedge , can extend past you, into NE AL! Favored areas , I would say are Gainesville , Ga, through GSP to CLT to RAH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 This seems to be asked alot! A perfect , super strong wedge , can extend past you, into NE AL! Favored areas , I would say are Gainesville , Ga, through GSP to CLT to RAH! yeah I know favored areas are Gainesville to Greenville to Charlotte etc, but since I sometimes experience CAD I didn't know if I was included in the " CAD region". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 yeah I know favored areas are Gainesville to Greenville to Charlotte etc, but since I sometimes experience CAD I didn't know if I was included in the " CAD region". Under a strong CAD situation, a tounge of cooler air can definitely get down your way. I wouldn't consider it exactly "favorable". Happens commonly through the year though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Brick's geography is quite questionable. The triangle is only like 130 miles further north than Atlanta. He thinks he lives in Pittsburgh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Brick's geography is quite questionable. The triangle is only like 130 miles further north than Atlanta. He thinks he lives in Pittsburgh? I'd say it's closer to 170 miles north. Its a 180 mile north to south drive from Raleigh to Myrtle Beach and Myrtle Beach is the same latitude as Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 yeah I know favored areas are Gainesville to Greenville to Charlotte etc, but since I sometimes experience CAD I didn't know if I was included in the " CAD region".You answered your own question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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