I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Still all snow. Had moderate snow with large flakes mixed in now back to a more light but steady snow but it is back to pixie dust small flakes. Radar looks nice for some heavy stuff coming this way soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Uh oh. Temp here actually dropped from 22.2 down to 21.4 in the past 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On my phone so its hard to really see, but the radar looks really good. And its doesn't seem like we go above freezing until early tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On my phone so its hard to really see, but the radar looks really good. And its doesn't seem like we go above freezing until early tomorrow morning. Snowing pretty good here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 This band is rockin. 1"/hr rates. Temp dropped from 23 down to 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 It's significantly picked up in intensity here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just flipped to a mix of snow sleet and zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just flipped to a mix of snow sleet and zr. Dang. I guess Super Doppler 8 isn't that accurate then, because it's showing the mix line well south of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm thinking tonight has bad ice somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Dang. I guess Super Doppler 8 isn't that accurate then, because it's showing the mix line well south of you.Rading the MA thread, the radars aren't very accurately showing the mix line. It's been further north all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Correlation Coefficient shows the mix line quite nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just like that I'm over to ZR/IP @ 22 degrees. Roads are going to be a disaster. Just hope that the HRRR isn't right. Have to check in on things later this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Dang. I guess Super Doppler 8 isn't that accurate then, because it's showing the mix line well south of you.It is all sleet now. Pinging away in the woods. and off my windows. Temp dropped to 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Always have to use dual polarization for that mix line. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 So forecast and model temp at 6 pm for MDT was to be 29. MDT is sitting at 22 right now. Um. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 All sleet here now. Dropped to 22 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 21 with moderate snow in State College. Definitely concerned about the ice in Central PA...I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually ended up with Ice Storm Warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 So forecast and model temp at 6 pm for MDT was to be 29. MDT is sitting at 22 right now. Um. Yikes. Yea I don't like this at all. Even the RAP and HRRR are too bullish with low level temps. This is becoming increasingly more interesting as the day progresses Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Yea I don't like this at all. Even the RAP and HRRR are too bullish with low level temps. This is becoming increasingly more interesting as the day progresses Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk I think we knew in the back of our minds we knew that cold would be tough to scour out. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I think we knew in the back of our minds we knew that cold would be tough to scour out. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Ground temps are still well below what was forecast as well if you look at the soil temps from the ECMWF to HRRR. I think accretion could be pretty steady if the ZR doesn't fall too hard. RTMA 3hour temps are pretty telling Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Your mom is here with me, how'd she know the weather there? :rimshot: Hiyooooooooooo #McMahon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 In my post yesterday afternoon I said that I didn't care what the models said about the warmup. The cold would hang on and last longer than any model indicated...and we would have a significant ice event. My prediction for myself is that I will not rise above 32.0 degrees until between 8:30am and 10:00am tomorrow morning. Let's see how close I come. Also, by that time a decent amount of the "deluge" will have already fallen. I said that >50% of this storm's total qpf would come from frozen and freezing precip. Let's see how close I come. As for the present, I've got light snow with a temperature of 22.0 degrees after a high earlier of 23.5. The radar looks incredible with 25 dbz snowfall about to move north into me. That should produce the several inches of heavy snow I was expecting. So far I've only recorded about 0.7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Your mom is here with me, how'd she know the weather there? :rimshot: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Had some heavy snow earlier that blanketed the area in over an inch of fresh snow. Right now, have a mix with mostly snow and some ZR and sleet mixing in. Temp here is 24/25 and holding steady. Def will be ugly overnight across the LSV and further down the 81 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Snowing pretty hard here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 So forecast and model temp at 6 pm for MDT was to be 29. MDT is sitting at 22 right now. Um. Yikes. this has been my worry all week... and any snow adding to what was wasn't covered and to the inches of what was isn't going to allow for a quick warm up on the surface right away. Sure air temp could read mid 30s but after the last few days untreated ground temps could easily remain below freezing point longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 5am tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just downright nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 22ºF and a burst of heavy snow currently. Up to about an inch new so far. Guess we'll see how things shake out. I'm expecting an absolute mess here regardless of whether temps get above freezing or not during best precip. Being in the woods with a gravel driveway that's hard frozen from the cold weather is going continue to ice up even if it is 34-35 degrees. Really sucks that this storm ended up to the left and looks to be that apps runner that's only slightly more common than unicorns... at least that seems to be the model consensus. Can't even get the Pit gang a snowstorm..but NW PA looks to get hammered from this. I am noting a bit of a weakness off of the VA and Delmarva on mesoanalysis.. which is probably helping hold in cold surface temps for the time being in the absence of the traditional high pressure. It's going to be a fight to warm things up. the 32ºF line still dips all the way into NW South Carolina at this hour. Not really a tremendous warm push west of the apps either at the surface. Part of me wonders it the low eventually tries to jump toward the more significant baroclinic boundary that resides along the coastline. Gonna be interesting to watch...CTP may eventually need upgraded headlines for more counties (WSW or ice storm warning). Also need to watch the backside of the system tomorrow. If the low ends up east a bit, or deepens more rapidly it may introduce additional snowfall for the central counties. If it runs through the middle of the state as progged, it's probably going to slot the central counties with minimal changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Heavy snow has arrived. Great flakes. Temp dropping, down to 21.8. Up to over an inch accumulation. Probably coming down at over 1/2"/hour rate, so we'll see where things are by 8:00pm. Still pure snow here at the moment. Temp right now is exactly the same as it was during the blizzard, minus the winds. I love really cold snow and how crystallized the flakes are. Enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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