8611Blizz Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Nah this shuts off in the morning tomorrow. Maybe some flurries in the aftn or something. Yeah that would be Chinese snow torture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Thinking 1-3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I wonder if winds go to NE..maybe east slopes of ORH hills can get a little boost. That will often happen when you have a coastal system offshore like that. Get that extra little boost of the easterly component, so there could be an area of enhanced convergence for a time. I wouldn't be shocked if there was a weenie band for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yeah we'll see. It wasn't totally inv trough like either which makes it more widespread. I think even ORH county and into CT may get a good 1-2 perhaps if the RAP is right. Yeah looked like more general light snows for most of eastern half of SNE...with IVT more closer to BOS and coast line. I like this event because its going to snow here, and down there, lol. Probably a stripe of 2-4" of 15:1 ratio snow from BTV to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Mid-level temps are pretty prime for snowgrowth too...so there could be some decent ratios away from the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 That will often happen when you have a coastal system offshore like that. Get that extra little boost of the easterly component, so there could be an area of enhanced convergence for a time. I wouldn't be shocked if there was a weenie band for a bit. It almost looks like that happens late tonight, right where the trough sort of stalls before heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Its definitely running a little north of forecast down there. DCA was supposed to get flurries and they're down to 1/2sm SN.yea wife is driving on 66 in Fairfax moderate snow but 33 degrees wet roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Near warning levels, what is warning level on the Cape, Euro is near 6 and thats at 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Hmm. I issued a winter storm watch for monday for st. Johns last night...00z and 06z models were in excellent agreement. 12z naso much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Advisories up for Southern NJ, MD, and DE (1-3"). Should be a fun nowcast for eastern NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Good Euro run there...might have to watch for sneaky late advisory for SE MA and perhaps even BOS to cape Ann. This is a pretty classic looking NORLUN band on the oper. GFS synopsis for 12z Monday - 00z Tuesday.. Don't quote me on this ... but it just seems from my experience that there is a tendency for modeling to miss when these things over-produce. They may do well enough in sniffing out the 'construct' of them, but less so in the QPF department. The last 4 cycles of the oper. GFS has been getting ever more coherent looking with this band, and taking that trend further...one could easily wind up with that sort of scenario like you say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 i want in on this..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 i want in on this..... How much cash ya got.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 How much Cod ya got....FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Excited to see what comes my way. Hoping for 3-4 inch. Get my first full on snow cover for the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 34/20 snow sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 BOS going to get late 2-4" forecast and probably ended up with under an inch. Jk but that's how the winters gone I'll have to look at the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Calling 3-5" IMBY in Waltham, leaning toward 3 but if that deformation band sets up, hmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This could be good for 3-5 here. Fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm calling for covered grass. Maybe a few blades exposed. That's 1-1.5" IMBY. Someone gets 3.5-4" near coastal Essex - maybe Newburyport over to Rockport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'd say 1 or 2 here should do it...... Could be some surprises though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 BOX radar is down but looks like OKX radar showing precip shield creeping northward. Dry air is winning thus far as nothing is reaching the ground in westerly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z EPS is quite snowy in SE MASS. The mean has 3-4" BOS-PVD and SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Not to fluff this little critter any more than it already has ... but, keep in mind that will tend to snow better by street light and backyard, relative to radar presentations. It depends what level the best snow growth is taking place in ...where the rad beam may miss the bottom region of that sigma level, thus category lower on frames than is actually occurring beneath cloud base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Advisories posted further up the coast in NJ. If I get an inch, I'd be more than happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Not to fluff this little critter any more than it already has ... but, keep in mind that will tend to snow better by street light and backyard, relative to radar presentations. It depends what level the best snow growth is taking place in ...where the rad beam may miss the bottom region of that sigma level, thus category lower on frames than is actually occurring beneath cloud base. Just use the weymouth radar. Tonight is perfect for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 A little warm at the surface the further south and east you are. I wonder if the jackpot is between BOS and the Cape somewhere just off the coast on rt 3? I would put up advisories for barnstable, plymouth, norfolk, suffolk, essex counties. Wait on middlesex because I'm not sure yet but it will definitely snow there too. My heart on these types of things is usually cape ann/cod, or maine.... Have trouble believing BOS is going to be one of the jacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 What a wonderful development with cold air coming in behind it for preservation. Getting the fire rolling, getting ready to watch the Steelers vs Denver, and a couple of inches of snowfall rolling in...winter as it should be. Good call James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm calling for some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 A little warm at the surface the further south and east you are. I wonder if the jackpot is between BOS and the Cape somewhere just off the coast on rt 3? I would put up advisories for barnstable, plymouth, norfolk, suffolk, essex counties. Wait on middlesex because I'm not sure yet but it will definitely snow there too. My heart on these types of things is usually cape ann/cod, or maine.... Have trouble believing BOS is going to be one of the jacks We snow... modestly. These often only kiss the SNE coastline but this one is tracking further west than originally progged. I am feeling pretty solid about an advisory event here with more locally to the coast and on the cape. At any rate, this system sets the stage for what's to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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