SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 He's a troll. He posts what ever best fits his "warm and snowless" agenda. PB has been schooling him so far this month. No way in hell we go snowless till the 22nd in the coming pattern. Quote me on that Yeah we could go snowless for that long because we're still battling negative influences from pacific air. But the longer the blocking pattern persists, the more likely we get something eventually. Personally I think we get some kind of event by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 He's a troll. He posts what ever best fits his "warm and snowless" agenda. PB has been schooling him so far this month. No way in hell we go snowless till the 22nd in the coming pattern. Quote me on that The 22nd? Yeah we definitely could, the 31st? Very unlikely. Even the 27th might be unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 All the teles look good. And the EPO is now forecasted to be Neutral not positive anymore. Edit: for some reason the image for the EPO, NAO, PNA isn't working so here is the link ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png And the AO is off the charts!! as per some of the forecast models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 The 22nd? Yeah we definitely could, the 31st? Very unlikely. Even the 27th might be unlikely. Snowless means no snow. As in no trace. No way in hell we go without a trace before the 22nd I'll take money bets on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png Something is wrong with your link, so here: ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Ok, just saw someone from the island making snow in his yard on the news. Which one of you weenies was it?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Ok, just saw someone from the island making snow in his yard on the news. Which one of you weenies was it?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 The sea temp in the New York Bight is still 50 degrees. The Battery is 45 degrees. It's still pretty warm out there. Long Island sound water temperatures about 40. Buoy way in ocean south of Rhode Island, water temperature is 48, Sandy hook water temperature is 41.4, Atlantic City water temperature is. 45. Montauk, 44. South of montauk, 50, South of Jones beach it's 51 Majority of stations reporting are below 50, I say were doing fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 He's a troll. He posts what ever best fits his "warm and snowless" agenda. PB has been schooling him so far this month. No way in hell we go snowless till the 22nd in the coming pattern. Quote me on that , and he was really quiet after everything looked cold, then when ritten house started,he started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Long Island sound water temperatures about 40. Buoy way in ocean south of Rhode Island, water temperature is 48, Sandy hook water temperature is 41.4, Atlantic City water temperature is. 45. Montauk, 44. South of montauk, 50, South of Jones beach it's 51 Majority of stations reporting are below 50, I say were doing fine! Yes, but any storm track closer to the coast with east to southeast winds would bring in the ocean air and any snow would change to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 you trolling? This is due to a cutter an lasts 2 days.. The pattern going forward looks awesome It's still a cutter with a NAO-/AO-/PNA+ Timing is everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Incoming on the 18z GFS. Massive Miller A day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 , and he was really quiet after everything looked cold, then when ritten house started,he started. hey now I'm just a disgruntled weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Incoming on the 18z GFS. Massive Miller A.OMFG, look at the vort @ 500 MB, it is sorta kinda maybe an hybrid Miller A/B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 What a set up on the 18z GFS...yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Closed H5 low tracks from New Orleans to Atlanta with surface development near OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Finally fantasy snowstorm that's a KU event...def some potential next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 By far the best weather porn of the 2015-16 Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 It's still a cutter with a NAO-/AO-/PNA+ Timing is everything. You realize the overall pattern just reset 7 days ago and then a ridge is flying the flow as the trough pulled back and whats on the other side is exactly what you want to see . If the 18z GFS was ever right , you would be very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 979mb near VA/NC coastal border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 976mb near Ocean City, MD. Right on top of the closed 500mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Let's get that 24 hr out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 GFS is already showing 30"+ amounts for Southern PA through hr 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 That's your big dog fantasy right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 1-2' totals with lollies to 3' from West Virginia all the way up to coastal Maine. Roughly 1.50" of frozen QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 That storm makes perfect sense. That's right when the big - NAO will be rebounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 print it out before it's gone in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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