NortheastPAWx Posted March 17, 2015 Author Share Posted March 17, 2015 EURO to my untrained eye looks like a good hit for northern areas Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Well i lost my 22 yr old son on friday. These are by far the hardest days of my life and i just hope i can get through it ok. Please say a prayer for him. Very sorry to hear about your loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 EURO to my untrained eye looks like a good hit for northern areas Friday... Euro at 12z looked great for most of CTP. Weatherbell snow map showed 3-6 inches, For most of us. The Euro control run and the Ensemble mean agreed with the Op as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 EURO to my untrained eye looks like a good hit for northern areas Friday... The Euro snow map I have access to (Accupro) was better than that, with the eastern 2/3 of the commonwealth in 3"+ and a thin stripe of 6+ centered on the I-78 corridor (starting roughly where 78 starts) through Allentown. 850 and 925 temps are fairly marginal, so could be a pretty wet and elevational type deal...but generally seems supportive of snow for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 44 out of the 50 Euro 12z Ensemble members had 3+ for most of CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I hope everyone enjoyed the warm weather earlier today. Looks like old man winter doesn't want to let up his grip on the east just yet. 41/17 at Millersville now. Looks like low 40's and 30's next 4 days or so. Friday looks like a possible marginal snow event for the LSV. The earlier the system comes, the better chance for snow accumulation. Once an hour after sunrise, it will be difficult for snow to stick. This will be working with a retreating high and nothing suggests really cold air to work with. NAM seems most bullish with QPF and better timing. Euro has been steady as well. It'll be interesting to see the runs tomorrow and whether the models back off on the front end timing or speed up the system. I think the valleys could see 1-3" with good timing with as much as 3-6" on hills and ridge tops over 700'. Of course when most of us want warm, Mother Nature gives us more cold and snow opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 UKMET at 12z agrees with the Euro. Weatherbell UKMET snow map shows 3-5 inches for all of CTP. The Euro and its ensembles , along with the UKMET lead the way with our last event, and hopefully they will do so again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Nam wants to give us 4" of snow. I think the GFS was about 1.5" for the Harrisburg area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Well i lost my 22 yr old son on friday. These are by far the hardest days of my life While it doesn't get easier, the pain will fade. Remember the good times and that your son loved you. he would want to know that he is in a better place and is not suffering.I will pray for your family and that you get through this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Thanks to everyone. My sister has started a go fund me page to help cover the cost of his funeral expenses. He didnt have any life insurance and we are not a wealthy family so anything would help but is not expected. http://www.gofundme.com/osrt8s I will gladly make a donation to help you and your family. C'mon CPA guys, let's help out our fellow wx friend in his time of need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 12z NAM paints 0.25-0.50" of precip across all of PA for Friday, with >0.50" in the Lebanon-Lehigh Valleys, SEPA, and the Allegheny Front region. Looking pretty good for a general 2-4" across the region, with the possibility of 4-6" in the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Will this snow actually stick to roads or is the sun angle at the point where this late w/ wet snow it'll be very tough to get roadway accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Will this snow actually stick to roads or is the sun angle at the point where this late w/ wet snow it'll be very tough to get roadway accumulation? If it starts under the cover of darkness it certainly can. Once the sun is up it would have to snow hard for it to at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Will this snow actually stick to roads or is the sun angle at the point where this late w/ wet snow it'll be very tough to get roadway accumulation? It looks like snow should be starting before the sun angle becomes a real issue, so I'd imagine in the morning roadways will be covered, especially west of York-Harrisburg-Selinsgrove. If rates are light they will melt off during the day, but sun angle becomes barely noticeable if you're getting legitimate heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Very surprised by the lack of a hazardous weather outlook by CTP! They even have a snow map out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 What 12z NAM paints 0.25-0.50" of precip across all of PA for Friday, with >0.50" in the Lebanon-Lehigh Valleys, SEPA, and the Allegheny Front region. Looking pretty good for a general 2-4" across the region, with the possibility of 4-6" in the higher elevations. what are we looking at for timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 What what are we looking at for timing Roughly 6-8AM west of the Susquehanna, 8-10AM east. 12z GFS looked really good for us as well. >0.50" precip south of I-80 for the eastern 3/4 of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Roughly 6-8AM west of the Susquehanna, 8-10AM east. 12z GFS looked really good for us as well. >0.50" precip south of I-80 for the eastern 3/4 of the state. i'd better put the plow back on the truck here at work. . i think the nam had like .44 or something, so theyre close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Start time will be vital...I'm always iffy on these fringe-of-the-season events in the valleys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Start time will be vital...I'm always iffy on these fringe-of-the-season events in the valleys. looks like high 20s to start.temps will be marginal, but what do we expect its March 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Where's all the warm weather lovers? March isn't May. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Still here lol, and hoping we miss this nuisance mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Still here lol, and hoping we miss this nuisance mess. Me too, but sadly I think I'm in a good spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I still have hope of a south miss!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I still have hope of a south miss!! Your area seems to miss south north,etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I still have hope of a south miss!! lol Tom........Kids will never get on the fields for their respected sports. Our town fields are off limits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Haha Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pirates21 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Haha Sent from my iPhone OUTSTANDING!! keep uppin the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Well i lost my 22 yr old son on friday. These are by far the hardest days of my life and i just hope i can get through it ok. Please say a prayer for him. Coming out of lurking to say so sorry for your loss. Life's ultimate tragedy when a parent outlives their offspring. Lean on friends and family through this difficult time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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