moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I actually like the BTV WRF RA/SN line depiction. It's looks more WSW-ENE..not so much as BOX snow map. pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'll take a few inches and then some rain. Lock it the fook up. 35 degree rain ain't gonna do much to the pack. Only a select few are worried about a drop in an already immense pack. Not me. This still looks like a 32-40F snow/rain/snow storm for most. The pack I already have isn't going anywhere till April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I could see see a 2-3 hr period where it may come down really good near the pike before any flip. I also think models again are rushing in srfc warmth way too fast the further north you go. Might be some ZR north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 pic? http://www.weather.gov/btv/4kmwrf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Seems like 3-6 of snow west of 495 in most of CT away from coast and then we have hours of zr before it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'd like to get some of the ice to melt a bit off my gutters too. Yeah I don't get the worry over going above freezing, haha. I'd gladly take even a week of highs of 35F. Nothing is really melting at that point anyway...and it's still cold enough to snow at like 35/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 06z RGEM still a bit out of range but i think it has the right idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Yeah to me, that map is a bit more reasonable. Even in SW CT, S-SW winds come off colder land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Seems like 3-6 of snow west of 495 in most of CT away from coast and then we have hours of zr before it ends. Don't need to be west of 495. I'd rather be north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Don't need to be west of 495. I'd rather be north of the pike. Most modeling gives more snow south of pike..and esp west. Not saying they are right..but that's what they show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Most modeling gives more snow south of pike..and esp west. Not saying they are right..but that's what they show. Warm air from 950 up goes from south to north though. I'd rather have some latitude overall. But, it helps a bit being farther west where you are too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Don't need to be west of 495. I'd rather be north of the pike. My lattitude affects my attitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Warm air from 950 up goes from south to north though. I'd rather have some latitude overall. But, it helps a bit being farther west where you are too. 4-6" here seems reasonable. 2-4" BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 upping my call from 3 to 4 to 5 to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4-6" here seems reasonable. 2-4" BOS. Agree. At least as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Longitude shouldn't matter much with ssts so cold and alot of the energy to the west getting sheared out....elevation, sure....but not longitude, per se.... We're getting to the point where proximity to the oceans is actua;lly going to keep things cooler. Only a few weeks off.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Well look at that. NWS BOX map has "Hey RI..... Eat my BOX". And just north of it like usual, 4-6. Great. Still have never gotten to a 31" Snowpack while many of you have had over 40" and this could be the end for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Well look at that. NWS BOX map has "Hey RI..... Eat my BOX". And just north of it like usual, 4-6. Great. Still have never gotten to a 31" Snowpack while many of you have had over 40" and this could be the end for me. There was def. a CJ component to this season, but thankfully not as prevalent as it was in 1994.....thus I just squeeked into my record depth. Your lack of latitude was also a bit of detriment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This storm seems like it will have about the same impact, accumulation-wise, as the Jan 24-25 storm almost exactly four weeks ago: 4-6" snow, ice rain. Of course, at that point, the 4-6 inches doubled what we'd had to the winter at that point. A month later, even a couple of inches would put BOS over 100 (after a ho-hum "oh look it's snowing again" 2.4 yesterday). I wonder if the obs thread will be longer this time (liquid on roofs) or shorter (not 15"+ so meh). FWIW: BOS has now had more snow in 30 days than MSP has ever had in an entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think it could be a surprise positive bust for snow imby points NW. A weak SSW flow isn't going to do it from here down to Sharon and NW, especially with cold waters even to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This storm seems like it will have about the same impact, accumulation-wise, as the Jan 24-25 storm almost exactly four weeks ago: 4-6" snow, ice rain. Of course, at that point, the 4-6 inches doubled what we'd had to the winter at that point. A month later, even a couple of inches would put BOS over 100 (after a ho-hum "oh look it's snowing again" 2.4 yesterday). I wonder if the obs thread will be longer this time (liquid on roofs) or shorter (not 15"+ so meh). FWIW: BOS has now had more snow in 30 days than MSP has ever had in an entire winter. Everytime I look at this I find more and more historical records, simply amazing combo. The blowing and drifting continues, very deep drifts covered parts of my commute this morning, Siberia like stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 if 4km Nam is right WSW will be flying out of OKX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This storm seems like it will have about the same impact, accumulation-wise, as the Jan 24-25 storm almost exactly four weeks ago: 4-6" snow, ice rain. Of course, at that point, the 4-6 inches doubled what we'd had to the winter at that point. A month later, even a couple of inches would put BOS over 100 (after a ho-hum "oh look it's snowing again" 2.4 yesterday). I wonder if the obs thread will be longer this time (liquid on roofs) or shorter (not 15"+ so meh). FWIW: BOS has now had more snow in 30 days than MSP has ever had in an entire winter. I made that comparison last night I believe. Seems like this one may be a smidge warmer than that system.... And the cold over performed in that one to a degree as well. Wouldn't be shocked too see a few (2-3") here, also wouldn't be shocked to see a very little before the rain hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4km/12km NAM would suck. Drainage issues all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nam nails the Berks SVT, Congrats Hippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nam is cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4km/12km NAM would suck. Drainage issues all over.Specifics please, rather than vague one liners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4km/12km NAM would suck. Drainage issues all over. Nam nails the Berks SVT, Congrats Hippy Doesn't sound cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4km/12km NAM would suck. Drainage issues all over. Total QPF Total Snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4KM nam is only briefly above 0 at 850 NW of 95, then precip shuts off, looks like a net gain for everyone NW of that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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