40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 From looking at the individual panels at 850 925 surface and QPF, I think that's too light on those borderline areas. I only have 6 hour maps so it's difficult to say for sure(Maybe someone with 3 hour maps can chime in?), but those maps generally underdo snow in marginal situations and overdo it in very cold storms and I think that's what's going on here. Agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 There's no way the surface reflection will verify that warm with such a weak system as depicted. Antecedent airmass is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Precipitation outruns the warming so snowy for many interior areas but the surface does shoot up into the 40's Clearing In the PM and a SW flow ahead of the next shot of cold air? Clearing in the afternoon?? It snows/precips all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg Looks similar to mine, except more like 5-6" just north of the mix line inbetween BDL and ORH. Overall it's widespread 2-6" for pretty much all except SE Mass where it's 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Does it have the follow up wave Sunday night/Erly Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 From looking at the individual panels at 850 925 surface and QPF, I think that's too light on those borderline areas. I only have 6 hour maps so it's difficult to say for sure(Maybe someone with 3 hour maps can chime in?), but those maps generally underdo snow in marginal situations and overdo it in very cold storms and I think that's what's going on here. Most snow maps are actually the opposite, showing a too snowy look in marginal situations. We saw that a ton earlier in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 This isn't 35F to NNE during the event. It's cold throughout. The 30s come during the day with some sun and mixing before the CAA arrives. The slowed boundary keeps SE NE wet but cool/cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg I'll gladly take my 3 inches and run with it. Can't wait to see what the RGEM looks like tomorrow night as it starts getting within range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 This isn't 35F to NNE during the event. It's cold throughout. The 30s come during the day with some sun and mixing before the CAA arrives. The slowed boundary keeps SE NE wet but cool/cloudy. Yeah it's Sunday afternoon it warms up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuskiteam Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg Nice hit for the Gulf Stream off the coast of VA! Expecting 3-6 Saturday night followed by some wet flurries or light rain on Sunday then a solid freeze up on Monday. Overall, this is great for the snowpack and will give us more durability when we actually start to warm up. Should be some amazing spring skiing come April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Those snow maps suck. They fooked up the other storms too. Not at work yet to see for myself , but looks like ass there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Let's get BOS to 100 by Monday. Doable...need about 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I assume S coastal areas still snow--> taint-->rain-->snow Honestly I think if we can squeeze out a legitimate inch we'll be lucky. Best case is we don't spike into the 40s and avoid the snow destroying fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 just saw the Euro.. this winter will not repeat again.. just amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Those snow maps suck. They fooked up the other storms too. Not at work yet to see for myself , but looks like ass there. Kanye West says the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 From looking at the individual panels at 850 925 surface and QPF, I think that's too light on those borderline areas. I only have 6 hour maps so it's difficult to say for sure(Maybe someone with 3 hour maps can chime in?), but those maps generally underdo snow in marginal situations and overdo it in very cold storms and I think that's what's going on here. I don't necessarily disagree. It did poor a week ago with the marginal temps. Not a high confidence setup to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Most snow maps are actually the opposite, showing a too snowy look in marginal situations. We saw that a ton earlier in the season. I'm incorporating local climo into my thoughts, though....late in the season, so long as the mid levels are good, this area cleans up. If you look at many late season snowfall maps, it's almost as though there is an appendage of the ORH hills jetting out to the ne...into interior ne MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Those snow maps suck. They fooked up the other storms too. Not at work yet to see for myself , but looks like ass there. I don't necessarily disagree. It did poor a week ago with the marginal temps. Not a high confidence setup to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 So does it have the 2nd wave Sunday night or more like squalls / anafrontal stuff with arctic front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Honestly I think if we can squeeze out a legitimate inch we'll be lucky. Best case is we don't spike into the 40s and avoid the snow destroying fog. I'm going to hit the Kingston Bike Path for more cross country skiing again today. All good things... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I'm going to hit the Kingston Bike Path for more cross country skiing again today. All good things... Where is the Kingston Bike Path? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 So does it have the 2nd wave Sunday night or more like squalls / anafrontal stuff with arctic front? Looks more like one congealed storm. I don't see any break as shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I'm incorporating local climo into my thoughts, though....late in the season, so long as the mid levels are good, this area cleans up. If you look at many late season snowfall maps, it's almost as though there is an appendage of the ORH hills jetting out to the ne...into interior ne MA. Oh ok. Yeah I just know those maps see to run like if H85 is freezing or lower it prints snow. So in situations of BL or mid level warming, it puts heavy snow too far south. Those maps did that every time earlier in the season with all those marginal set ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 This isn't 35F to NNE during the event. It's cold throughout. The 30s come during the day with some sun and mixing before the CAA arrives. The slowed boundary keeps SE NE wet but cool/cloudy. We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Clearing in the afternoon?? It snows/precips all day I had a ? at the end. I was Trying to determine where the surface warming is coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Where is the Kingston Bike Path? http://southcountybikepath.org/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 http://southcountybikepath.org/ That's over the bridge!! That's a long way to go for a Newporter to leave the island! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 That's over the bridge!! That's a long way to go for a Newporter to leave the island! lol. I'd say go up to Bristol to East Bay path but either way your trekking pretty far, and still off of the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 So does it have the 2nd wave Sunday night or more like squalls / anafrontal stuff with arctic front? ...Me, fanning the flames. Something for Kevin to run with: Allan Sandt whats up for sunday..should i get the sand bags and pump ready for basement Like · Reply · 1 · 10 mins Meteorologist Ryan Hanrahan Trending colder - looks more like snow/ice. Like · 3 · Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 How much weight /qpf does euro have with this weekend stuff. .4-.6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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