Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I just tried getting some snow off my parents roof. I hope they don't get a ton of rain. I think we are looking at >0.5" of rain for SE MA. That should be ok. If we get upwards of 1", there will be issues. That will add a lot of weight to already overloaded structures. Plus it's not going anywhere. Pack will absorb it and it's going to freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 That would be .10+ of ZR after snow..Nice! sleet for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 12z RGEM rain. RN_000-048_0000.gif Not much outside of rt 128. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 sleet for you RGEM not showing any sleet according to images. They have some icing but relegated to SW CT. So RGEM would imply either snow or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 sleet for you I think it's something like 6-8 inches of snow..quick period of sleet ends as zr and temps never top 32. Maybe the valley hits 34 or something..but with LI sound frozen over..you ain't pumping temps near 40 with light sw flow and clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think it's something like 6-8 inches of snow..quick period of sleet ends as zr and temps never top 32. Maybe the valley hits 34 or something..but with LI sound frozen over..you ain't pumping temps near 40 with light sw flow and clouds well thats what I mean, some sleet then freezing drizzle, temps might hit mid 30's when the sun comes out prior to yet another epic arctic Blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think it's something like 6-8 inches of snow..quick period of sleet ends as zr and temps never top 32. Maybe the valley hits 34 or something..but with LI sound frozen over..you ain't pumping temps near 40 with light sw flow and clouds You are a lock to go above 32, but not by much. Nobody is going to steal your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think we are looking at >0.5" of rain for SE MA. That should be ok. If we get upwards of 1", there will be issues. That will add a lot of weight to already overloaded structures. Plus it's not going anywhere. Pack will absorb it and it's going to freeze. There is a so much OTG lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like Kevin gets more rain on the RGEM then Boston. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think it's something like 6-8 inches of snow..quick period of sleet ends as zr and temps never top 32. Maybe the valley hits 34 or something..but with LI sound frozen over..you ain't pumping temps near 40 with light sw flow and cloudsI figured there were parts of the sound that had some ice, but I had no idea the sound was completely locked up. When's the last time that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 All joking aside, RGEM snow depiction being a little colder makes more sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like all snow potentially up here...probably 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like all snow potentially up here...probably 2-3 inches ?? You'll get more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 ?? You'll get more than that. It looked like each of the snow maps on previously listed showed me in the 2-4 range while west of me or easy of me received more verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Warnings gonna fly with the afternoon package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 I figured there were parts of the sound that had some ice, but I had no idea the sound was completely locked up. When's the last time that happened? Ryan showed a map that the RPM was showing rain as zr in the middle of the sound twds SW CT because it was falling on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It looked like each of the snow maps on previously listed showed me in the 2-4 range while west of me or easy of me received more verbatim. I can't believe I'm doing this, but I think you'll do better than 2-4. enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I haven't looked at recent RPM runs, but last nights runs were diaper worthy. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I can't believe I'm doing this, but I think you'll do better than 2-4. enjoy. lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 ya i think so they should have issued a watch last night in my opinion oh well Warnings gonna fly with the afternoon package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 lol... More like a 4-6" type of deal for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Probably more in line for an advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This is an advisory type event. I would be shocked to see warnings anywhere in SNE with the afternoon package. For most of us we need an average of 6" across a zone for a warning, 7" in NW CT, W MA, and S VT. So a forecast of 4-8" would be low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This is an advisory type event. I would be shocked to see warnings anywhere in SNE with the afternoon package. For most of us we need an average of 6" across a zone for a warning, 7" in NW CT, W MA, and S VT. So a forecast of 4-8" would be low end warning. Warning IMO because even if accumulations are in the 4-6" range, there is the sleet & zr risk on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Ryan showed a map that the RPM was showing rain as zr in the middle of the sound twds SW CT because it was falling on ice. That was actually just showing how cold the water temperatures are that the hires ptype algorithms are gretting "tricked" into saying ZR over the Sound. Anyway - GFS and NAM definitely still show some ZR/rain. Though 850 hpa stays cold there's certainly warming around 925 and in the boundary layer. With 45 knot southwesterlys at 925 a couple feet of snow on the ground will make no difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 That was actually just showing how cold the water temperatures are that the hires ptype algorithms are gretting "tricked" into saying ZR over the Sound. Anyway - GFS and NAM definitely still show some ZR/rain. Though 850 hpa stays cold there's certainly warming around 925 and in the boundary layer. With 45 knot southwesterlys at 925 a couple feet of snow on the ground will make no difference. Keep preaching Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I can't believe I'm doing this, but I think you'll do better than 2-4. enjoy.S-SW flow over the high terrain of N ORH county may hurt him a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 My only interest in this sloppy system is the 100" mark for Boston... need 1.3" and I think we break it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 My only interest in this sloppy system is the 100" mark for Boston... need 1.3" and I think we break it We'll get it I think. Probably end up around 101" after the event if I had to put a number to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 We'll get it I think. Probably end up around 101" after the event if I had to put a number to it. 12z Euro ticked colder at 925/850Ts, good consensus we break 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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