Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 OT but wegman's has great wine prices and selection. Always a pre storm visit. Well if we go by the rule of Mondays this ones coming. Indeed; also tends to be a madhouse though. The good patrons of that store have no concept of "other people" and with the floor plan they've got down, the mill-abouts tend to gum up the works terribly when Daddy just needs a little bacon. I think you toss out the "rule of Mondays" until/unless the key features needed for the show -- better ridging ahead and/or some sort of pull back as it bombs out -- come into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I mean this is OT but that seems like a "fear "based perspective . And i use that word very lightly. But it could go an infinite amount of ways . It could trend east then come back west . It could shift very slightly (leaving you still crushed) or it could trend further and brush us or even further and miss. But it will be the starting point five days out that gives you the most snow on Average per try. Anyway sorry for OT Well depends on how you look at it. Tough to hold a robust solution for 5+ days, but I don't think anyone means something from 25" to 5" or something like that. Personally, I think the ceiling for this is limited anyways, but my point is that those that seem disappointed on it not showing 12+" probably should not be. Maybe that's what I am trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Hah, ... clearly, folks won't be happy unless they are buried under a veritable avalanche... I wonder if this will be like that freaks 2003 bomb that was supposed to get us good, but then in the last 2 to 3 days of modeling ... it was too far E, and slammed into NS at 948mb or some crazy thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yes , gotcha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yes , gotcha None memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Hah, ... clearly, folks won't be happy unless they are buried under a veritable avalanche... I wonder if this will be like that freaks 2003 bomb that was supposed to get us good, but then in the last 2 to 3 days of modeling ... it was too far E, and slammed into NS at 948mb or some crazy thing... 2004 White Juan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 This reminds me of that March 24 (?) 2014 storm that turned into an absolute beast just offshore, and only ended up grazing eastern mass while slamming NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 2004 White Juan Is that what it was...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msg112469 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 We are buried under many mini-avalanches! Hah, ... clearly, folks won't be happy unless they are buried under a veritable avalanche... I wonder if this will be like that freaks 2003 bomb that was supposed to get us good, but then in the last 2 to 3 days of modeling ... it was too far E, and slammed into NS at 948mb or some crazy thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Hang your hats on the JMA, big hit. GEFS look very good as well, although they did show a nice clustering yesterday for the Friday storm, which is now looking like an example of them being both precise and inaccurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Hang your hats on the JMA, big hit. GEFS look very good as well, although they did show a nice clustering yesterday for the Friday storm, which is now looking like an example of them being both precise and inaccurate Euro ENS will come in with a huge signal, 18z GFS will crush, and 'll tell you what... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Take note @capecodweather: Seeing mid-level low pass just south of SNE always raises an eyebrow in winter. Today's guidance valid this weekend: http://t.co/61exQsOzLx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I thought euro ens looked good. This isn't going to require a lot of qpf. It should be ridiculously cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I thought euro ens looked good. This isn't going to require a lot of qpf. It should be ridiculously cold. 12z is already out to Sunday? And is that your way of gently saying they are still showing a miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Take note @capecodweather: Seeing mid-level low pass just south of SNE always raises an eyebrow in winter. Today's guidance valid this weekend: http://t.co/61exQsOzLx Looks like the 12z Euro today at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 12z is already out to Sunday? And is that your way of gently saying they are still showing a miss? I thought they were decent really. I'm out to 186. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 The 18th is pretty big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Looks like the 12z Euro today at H5 As has been discussed, look at the lack of downstream ridging. Nice look but..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 As has been discussed, look at the lack of downstream ridging. Nice look but..... And already noted, Also not great upstream either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Quick question for you Pros!! When you talk about up stream and down stream, in regards to the above map are you refering to the left and right side of the trof showing there? Sorry for the newb ? just trying to understand. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 The difference in Thursday and Sunday is the deep Easterly flow Sunday, it may not hit directly but expect good snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Quick question for you Pros!! When you talk about up stream and down stream, in regards to the above map are you refering to the left and right side of the trof showing there? Sorry for the newb ? just trying to understand. Thanks Think of a river of flowing water. Same analogy in the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Think of a river of flowing water. Same analogy in the atmosphere. And to give you a more precise answer, upstream is the left side of the map and downstream to the right. More downstream ridging over the Atlantic is what we want to slow our Sunday system down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 And to give you a more precise answer, upstream is the left side of the map and downstream to the right. More downstream ridging over the Atlantic is what we want to slow our Sunday system down. Ok I think I got it lol. So it would be better if down stream were "digging" more back towards the NW?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 nice looking s/w but slp seems too far east, need to go back up to halifax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yeah, GFS not gonna get it done with that look at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 nice looking s/w but slp seems too far east, need to go back up to Halifax Seems fine to me, the entire system belly flops into the western atlantic so it ends up like a fat guy flopping into the skinny end of the pool....makes a big splash and leaves a big hole, but there are no real winners and everyone ends up feeling a little sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Seems fine to me, the entire system belly flops into the western atlantic so it ends up like a fat guy flopping into the skinny end of the pool....makes a big splash and leaves a big hole, but there are no real winners and everyone ends up feeling a little sick. so how does that seem fine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It just seems like there are no surprises in store for the next two storms. All models seems to be on board with two out to sea systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Sunday we might get a few flurries according to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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