OceanStWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Tell them lollis to 18" and you can always go higher Start high and adjusted higher if needed. I mean seriously NNE is starting to fall behind SNE, Ekster doesn't like trailing BOS in seasonal snowfall. Wasn't me I forget sometimes that a large part of our population gets BOS stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Start high and adjusted higher if needed. I mean seriously NNE is starting to fall behind SNE, Ekster doesn't like trailing BOS in seasonal snowfall. I forget sometimes that a large part of our population gets BOS stations. It's a long race, I think Ekester pulls out the win on April 30th with a 2 foot tree crushing slop, beating out Boston 132-115 NBA score style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 When/where was it set, John? Four different townships across eastern Massachusetts spanning 30 years all elevations between two and 400 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's a long race, I think Ekester pulls out the win on April 30th with a 2 foot tree crushing slop, beating out Boston 132-115 NBA score style. And then poor X takes a swan dive down Tuckerman's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Did you and Kevin merge into one epic super duper weenie?! Because no model has 2-3 ft falling in the next 10 days. LOLjust like you told me last night you wouldn't get 5-6 today, learn somethings and this is strictly 10-1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Phone calls tonight have been crazy. I don't even get a report for the last 2+ days, just a question about Thursday AND Sunday. "I get that it's too early to tell, but how much do you think we're going to get?" lol, They ask and answer there own question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 But I did get 10 to 1 ratios in this past storm. CT rarely sees more than 15 to 1 ratios for an entire storm and these windy ones really are like capped from 10 to 1 to as much as 14 to 1. Also only got 10 inches probably from this in 3 days, so 4-8 wasn't a bad call. Let me know when total QPF is over 2" on the models Ginxy. I'll start believing then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 And then poor X takes a swan dive down Tuckerman's. Hope you threw a cover over the golf bag it will be less dust to get rid of in the long run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I'd rather this be the storm than Sunday.. Closer..... Added shock value I'd rather both. Yup. Greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 That system on the GFS next week looks pretty sweet Don't hear anyone asking where are all the coastal storms this year............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I'd rather both. Yup. Greedy. I think getting both will be tough. It's a spacing issue. I'd rather have a lull for like a week of temperatures under freezing and then a big BOOM that drops 2 to 3 feet on us all than another 8-14 inch fluff bomb and then a whiff out to sea. I think the big long lasting ones are special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Don't hear anyone asking where are all the coastal storms this year............ What is the latest you have ever ridden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 What is the latest you have ever ridden? Second week of April myself, But a few others i know have gone into May in the far NW part of the state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I think getting both will be tough. It's a spacing issue. I'd rather have a lull for like a week of temperatures under freezing and then a big BOOM that drops 2 to 3 feet on us all than another 8-14 inch fluff bomb and then a whiff out to sea. I think the big long lasting ones are special. I agree, It would be tough to get back to back bombs, Not enough recovery time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I like that 967mb low on that member parked 10 minutes E of ACK ... 12-18" of snow driven along in infrastructural grid failure winds for everyone E of HFD-EEN.... SE Mass denuded off the face of the planet ... comet impacts, dogs and cats sleeping together, Tip finding a g-f ... I mean, you name it: hell comes to Earth on that idea. But, that all said, one thing this system has going for it, in my mind, is that it's too late to be wrong?? What I mean by that, the nearer term guidance (through 48 and 72 hours) is going to be less likely very wrong as Lucifer's hammer comes thundering down out of the Canadian territories and over western Lakes. That much mechanical power has got to be conserved ... to mention, getting a synoptic boost by the L/W axis parked along 75 or so W longitude; that much power is likely to built some S/W ridging out over the Atlantic/seen as bulge-correction in the isopleths running out immediately downstream the trough axis (I suspect going forward..); but that subtlety will tend to feed back on a westerly solution in my mind. Also, on a more conceptual level ... the flow looks too stretched, which was a correction applied to the charts prior to the blizzard, and that correct turned out the course of least regret. What all that means is... the ridge axis in the west is not progressive, so the R-wave arguments are that the deep layer trough in the E should reach its greatest depth/amplitude prior/along 75W ...not E of the coast like some of the eastern solutions appear to be. Anomalies relative to anomalies do take place from time to time, but for me, the better bet is bring this further west and deeper. Which ... I know, is quite fortunate for the denizens of SNE that are so winter starved this season and would do anything imaginable just to see a flake of snow... That is vintage Tip speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Ok Mr. Leatherwood, start analyzing like you really know how to do to see if this is coming west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 You are a meteorologist. Does a model have to show it or do you look at the set up? But I did get 10 to 1 ratios in this past storm. CT rarely sees more than 15 to 1 ratios for an entire storm and these windy ones really are like capped from 10 to 1 to as much as 14 to 1. Also only got 10 inches probably from this in 3 days, so 4-8 wasn't a bad call. Let me know when total QPF is over 2" on the models Ginxy. I'll start believing then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 You are a meteorologist. Does a model have to show it or do you look at the set up? A model can show what it wants, but I like looking at the setup for indications what should happen. I think it is pretty easy from Tip's posts to Will's posts that with the PNA shooting strongly positive and the western Ridge pumping up that we should get 1 out of the 2 next threats. I would call it very unlucky if both of them miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 At least from what I can see with the 0z NAM initialization, all the players are on the playing field, so as long as the models handle the s/w interactions correctly we should start seeing the goal posts tighten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Ok. . Just about time for the 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I like that 967mb low on that member parked 10 minutes E of ACK ... 12-18" of snow driven along in infrastructural grid failure winds for everyone E of HFD-EEN.... SE Mass denuded off the face of the planet ... comet impacts, dogs and cats sleeping together, Tip finding a g-f ... I mean, you name it: hell comes to Earth on that idea. But, that all said, one thing this system has going for it, in my mind, is that it's too late to be wrong?? What I mean by that, the nearer term guidance (through 48 and 72 hours) is going to be less likely very wrong as Lucifer's hammer comes thundering down out of the Canadian territories and over western Lakes. That much mechanical power has got to be conserved ... to mention, getting a synoptic boost by the L/W axis parked along 75 or so W longitude; that much power is likely to built some S/W ridging out over the Atlantic/seen as bulge-correction in the isopleths running out immediately downstream the trough axis (I suspect going forward..); but that subtlety will tend to feed back on a westerly solution in my mind. Also, on a more conceptual level ... the flow looks too stretched, which was a correction applied to the charts prior to the blizzard, and that correct turned out the course of least regret. What all that means is... the ridge axis in the west is not progressive, so the R-wave arguments are that the deep layer trough in the E should reach its greatest depth/amplitude prior/along 75W ...not E of the coast like some of the eastern solutions appear to be. Anomalies relative to anomalies do take place from time to time, but for me, the better bet is bring this further west and deeper. Which ... I know, is quite fortunate for the denizens of SNE that are so winter starved this season and would do anything imaginable just to see a flake of snow... This is art Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 NAM still showing precipitation on Thursday on the coast.. OES I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Take it to banter. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Ok Mr. Leatherwood, start analyzing like you really know how to do to see if this is coming west! Way too early yet. It's all conceptual I don't even think it's possible to track back. Meanwhile we're looking at a day or more of OES over EMA which will be a pita to keep roads clear etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Way too early yet. It's all conceptual I don't even think it's possible to track back. Meanwhile we're looking at a day or more of OES over EMA which will be a pita to keep roads clear etc. yeah, NAM signal pretty strong, 2-3 straight runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Way too early yet. It's all conceptual I don't even think it's possible to track back. Meanwhile we're looking at a day or more of OES over EMA which will be a pita to keep roads clear etc. If its not the first it's the second or third or maybe all 3, don't know how many more times nature has to disprove the can't get back to back storm myth. Spacing is fine,these aren't stalled systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 yeah, NAM signal pretty strong, 2-3 straight runs.would that be the same NAM that at t minus 60 hrs had PF raining for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Nobody going to comment on how the NAM looks eerily similar to the 18z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Nobody going to comment on how the NAM looks eerily similar to the 18z gfs?when do we ever again believe it's output, Do you have access to the Parallel New Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Enough bickering these are festive times. Fairy tale, folklore snow lets enjoy it to the fullest. More threats looming Im hoping the variance in outcomes narrows some more with the 00Z suite. Two straight weeks average double digit temp departures, snow depth consistently over 20" around here, and picked up a +30 departure on seasonal snowfall. Wintry appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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