Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I'm saving this post. Watch when Christmas comes,then we are going to be waiting for the New years, and so on. The timeframe keeps getting pushed back. No it hasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 No it hasn't.Read from the beginning of the winter thread starting in December. Every time a good pattern has been showing up, its been for one run on an OP model 10+ days out or 384 hours on an ensemble model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Wow, 27,000 homes without power from lightning in a snowstorm. That must have been some wicked lightning. Never heard of lightning in a snowstorm causing power outages. What's normal depends on where you live. Lightning is lightning. If you get ground strikes they can cause outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Read from the beginning of the winter thread starting in December. Every time a good pattern has been showing up, its been for one run on an OP model 10+ days out or 384 hours on an ensemble model. Pretty typical for a AMWX weather discussion in winter. Weenies should not be able to have access to any data from the models over the hr 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Read from the beginning of the winter thread starting in December. Every time a good pattern has been showing up, its been for one run on an OP model 10+ days out or 384 hours on an ensemble model. Mets have constantly been saying the pattern won't really get good until around Christmas and that is still on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Mets have constantly been saying the pattern won't really get good until around Christmas and that is still on track. This time next week it'll be NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Da Nile isn't just a river in Africa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 12, 2014 Author Share Posted December 12, 2014 Da Nile isn't just a river in AfricaThere will be quite a bit of de Nile when those 2,3,400$ power bills come in the middle and end of Jan.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Da Nile isn't just a river in Africa There you go, being bullish again about winter. I swear, the headquarters for the Legion of Gloom must be in Georgia with you and metalic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 There you go, being bullish again about winter. I swear, the headquarters for the Legion of Gloom must be in Georgia with you and metalic. Based off context clues, I believe you meant bearish, not bullish, Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I'm saving this post. Watch when Christmas comes,then we are going to be waiting for the New years, and so on. The timeframe keeps getting pushed back. The trough is going to try and take root into the Eastern USA after some transient stuff right after Christmas into the beginning of Jan. It's becoming comical with all this torch talk etc. What's happening is it's worked in from other regions, twitter, and some on forums... for their back yards.. JAN-March = best shot at Winter weather in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 There you go, being bullish again about winter. I swear, the headquarters for the Legion of Gloom must be in Georgia with you and metalic. Again, one can be bullish about an entire season and still recognize we aren't there yet. I still maintain that Jan & Feb will be rocking. We may even end up with that fab Feb JB was calling for. Just a few years late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Again, one can be bullish about an entire season and still recognize we aren't there yet. I still maintain that Jan & Feb will be rocking. We may even end up with that fab Feb JB was calling for. Just a few years late. Any broken clock is right twice a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 There you go, being bullish again about winter. I swear, the headquarters for the Legion of Gloom must be in Georgia with you and metalic. No,we are just being realistic. Come on. Why is it that whenever heat shows up on the model 6-16 days out,the models aren't having a good handle on it? Then when the models are showing cold,everyone jumps on it. You got excited yesterday from one run of the Euro and threads were created,now it looks like a severe weather threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Tick tock, tick tock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Again, one can be bullish about an entire season and still recognize we aren't there yet. I still maintain that Jan & Feb will be rocking. We may even end up with that fab Feb JB was calling for. Just a few years late. I find it funny that many were all in yesterday when the Euro showed the fantasy snow into NC/NE GA.. now it took it away at 0z and the other models are meh for it.. and now it's "pattern isn't going to change" etc. The Euro's Winter weather solution was the perfect scenario that most should have known wasn't going to happen as modeled. It could even come back, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Any broken clock is right twice a day.Not if you rip the hands out of that sucker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 No,we are just being realistic. Come on. Why is it that whenever heat shows up on the model 6-16 days out,the models aren't having a good handle on it? Then when the models are showing cold,everyone jumps on it. You got excited yesterday from one run of the Euro and threads were created,now it looks like a severe weather threat. Was that run for the week of Christmas or before? Yes, that was exciting to see. But the mets have consistently said even from the beginning of this month that the real change won't happen until around Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Is it just me or has this December been sunnier than normal ? Day after Day of sunshine. I seem to recall Decembers being on the cloudy side normally. Also, is it typical for December to be dry in an El Nino year ? Atlanta has 0.35" of rain this month, over 1" below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Is it just me or has this December been sunnier than normal ? Day after Day of sunshine. I seem to recall Decembers being on the cloudy side normally. Also, is it typical for December to be dry in an El Nino year ? Atlanta has 0.35" of rain this month, over 1" below normal. Not here. It's been predominately cloudy until the last couple of days. Cloudy and chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Not here. It's been predominately cloudy until the last couple of days. Cloudy and chilly. Here too, it's been quite cloudy this month. Today and yesterday were sunnier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 On this side of the "hill", I am just happy to see the sun. I didn't know if it was ever going to happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 And now the Euro looks like it is going to be different again for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 And now the Euro looks like it is going to be different again for next weekend. You dont say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 12, 2014 Author Share Posted December 12, 2014 You dont say.Exactly, he don't say!! He just regurgitates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Exactly, he don't say!! He just regurgitates! Just making a comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Exactly, he don't say!! He just regurgitates! Brick be like : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Actually, just saying something about others talking about the models changing from what it showed yesterday. Guess what? It changed again. They always change a lot this far out. But the big picture still looks great for the pattern from around Christmas to the new year. There's no reason to be so pessimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Actually, just saying something about others talking about the models changing from what it showed yesterday. Guess what? It changed again. They always change a lot this far out. But the big picture still looks great for the pattern from around Christmas to the new year. There's no reason to be so pessimistic. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45020-december-banter/?p=3186550 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45020-december-banter/?p=3186550 Hahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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