IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Most of that storm was a rainy nor'easter for the coast, everything just worked out perfectly for the backend snows. One can't expect every nor'easter that takes that track to behave the same That storm started out as heavy rain here. Then came the thunder and lightning, then came hail to the size of dimes and then came heavy snow. Picked up over 8" IMBY. It kind of ruined Christmas though as all the relatives went home early because of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 It kind of ruined Christmas though as all the relatives went home early because of the storm. Sounds like a miracle to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Sounds like a miracle to me! I always enjoyed everyone getting together for the holidays with my extended family. We were always very big on Thanksgiving and Christmas. Now most of them have moved away to warmer climates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 1.5"-2.00"+ on the 12z ECMWF region wide with the Thursday event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Euro is going big for the second storm too. Ridge axis is over the west coast unlike last weekend so even though we have a progressive pattern things are better aligned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Most of that storm was a rainy nor'easter for the coast, everything just worked out perfectly for the backend snows. One can't expect every nor'easter that takes that track to behave the same It rained heavy in the morning and turned to heavy wind driven snow in the afternoon.5inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Euro is going big for the second storm too. Ridge axis is over the west coast unlike last weekend so even though we have a progressive pattern things are better aligned. I like that set up, one a piece of the trough splits away at 132- and there`s a 2nd piece at 168 as the cold air is diving in behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Think we will get our first "light" winter event this month. With the way this pattern is shaping up cant imagine we dont get atleast a car topper kind of event at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Think we will get our first "light" winter event this month. With the way this pattern is shaping up cant imagine we dont get atleast a car topper kind of event at the end This time of year we need perfect conditions to see accumulating snowfall. We just need to be patient and wait a few more weeks. Believe me, if this active pattern holds by then, you will see your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 This time of year we need perfect conditions to see accumulating snowfall. We just need to be patient and wait a few more weeks. Believe me, if this active pattern holds by then, you will see your snow.Was talking more about just a car topper that would amount to maybe a coating-1". This time of year anything more is a sheer bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 This time of year we need perfect conditions to see accumulating snowfall. We just need to be patient and wait a few more weeks. Believe me, if this active pattern holds by then, you will see your snow. Yeah getting 1" or greater snowfalls in November are still only a once every 10 year kind of event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Perhaps in the cities but def not N and W... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Yeah getting 1" or greater snowfalls in November are still only a once every 10 year kind of event years with a 1" or greater snowfall in November in KNYC... 2012...4.7" 1995...2.9" 1989...4.7" 1987...1.1" 1978...2.2" 1967...3.2" 1955...1.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Perhaps in the cities but def not N and W... Of course, but most people replying are in the city or LI and the contest thread is for Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Of course, but most people replying are in the city or LI and the contest thread is for Central Park I don't think that's right. We have very few posters that actually live in Manhattan. Even though Queens is considered to be part of the city, it has really evolved into its own seperate town. The same with Brooklyn. We have a lot of interior posters, just wait until the next big interior snowstorm, rain for the coast and you will see them come out of the woodwork. Last couple of winters have really favored the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Looks like they took this directly off the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Of course, but most people replying are in the city or LI and the contest thread is for Central Park I chose Central Park for the contest since it is the most popular location in the region and more or less centrally located in the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 That storm started out as heavy rain here. Then came the thunder and lightning, then came hail to the size of dimes and then came heavy snow. Picked up over 8" IMBY. It kind of ruined Christmas though as all the relatives went home early because of the storm. 18" IMBY from that storm... What a winter that was for up here! If I'm not mistaken we had oct & nov snow that yr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I don't think that's right. We have very few posters that actually live in Manhattan. Even though Queens is considered to be part of the city, it has really evolved into its own seperate town. The same with Brooklyn. We have a lot of interior posters, just wait until the next big interior snowstorm, rain for the coast and you will see them come out of the woodwork. Last couple of winters have really favored the coast. Brooklyn and queens are on long Island but not in long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Brooklyn and queens are on long Island but not in long Island Yes, thanks, I think everyone in this area is aware of that, at least I would hope. It really makes no geographical sense to have NYC as anything more than Manhattan itself. I can't think of another city in the world where you can cross a significant body of water and be within the same city limits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I'll be a little surprised if we don't see some snowfall this month given the pattern evolving. You just need a good coastal with some colder air getting involved. Mid level lows are also really good at generating unexpected snowfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Yes, thanks, I think everyone in this area is aware of that, at least I would hope. It really makes no geographical sense to have NYC as anything more than Manhattan itself. I can't think of another city in the world where you can cross a significant body of water and be within the same city limits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Yes, thanks, I think everyone in this area is aware of that, at least I would hope. It really makes no geographical sense to have NYC as anything more than Manhattan itself. I can't think of another city in the world where you can cross a significant body of water and be within the same city limits. Chicago. Baltimore. Boston. San Diego. San Fran. Seattle. I could go all night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 We already saw one very minor statospheric warming event over Sibera occur at 10mb last month. The ECMWF forecast the next one to start around 8-10 days. We also need to watch the E-P Flux vectors to point towards the poleward direction. Currently they are pointing more towards the equator: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 This is just cool to see. Though the fact we are seeing blocking patterns repeat again is good sign for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Imperator Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Yes, thanks, I think everyone in this area is aware of that, at least I would hope. It really makes no geographical sense to have NYC as anything more than Manhattan itself. I can't think of another city in the world where you can cross a significant body of water and be within the same city limits. You have the typical out of towner attitude with regard to Manhattan vs the other boroughs. The outer boroughs are what make NYC what it is. We are the backbone of it all. While we always considered Manhattan the "city", the city as a whole gets its character from the natives from outside of Manhattan. Manhattan is full of transplants who mostly don't know any better anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 The Nuri ET may be one of the strongest on record for so far north in the NPAC. It should really help to pump the ridge over WNAM and drive the PV south into Canada next week. The details will determine if the trough can dig enough into the GL for the first freeze of the season in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 The overnight guidance has trended towards a later, weaker development overnight with the low pressure system for Thursday into Friday. We will have to see if this trend continues today or flips back to a more organized system like yesterdays 12z runs were indicating. In any event, the 00z ECMWF still had roughly an inch in most spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 GGEM keeps showing a strong storm for next week.Would be rain here but snow in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 GGEM keeps showing a strong storm for next week.Would be rain here but snow in Maine. 976mb in the Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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