paweather Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 PGFS isn't so great tho. and the QGFS gives me nothing....seriously these models are insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 very fine snowflakes/small rain drops falling here and freezing on deck and part of sidewalk... have not checked driveway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ended up being busy today, just lovely to see the models have made things about as uncertain as they were a few days ago.. what a cluster haha. This has been a miserable storm to try to forecast. I think if the south central counties and LSV are to get any surprises in the form of snow or ice with this system.. it's going to be with this initial wave of precip riding up overnight tonight into tomorrow morning before the deform sets for farther eastern PA and especially from the Pocono region northeastward. Not really sold on anything major in terms of backlashing precip for the C-PA the next couple days other than some snow showers and possibly some periods of light snow here and there.. where maybe some places could pick up an inch or two (especially Laurels and NW) Also have been having some freezing drizzle and snow grains off and on this evening, creating a very thin coating on untreated surfaces. Watching the radar to see how much develops back this far, there is some heavier stuff developing overhead currently here on the back edge. Starting to see some large dive bombing snowflakes reaching the ground now. Temp is 28ºF here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Sleeting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Sleeting. It has completely let loose down here to the southwest with heavy snow falling. There's already a half inch on the deck. State College might flip over pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Sleeting. deck, driveway and sidewalks all pretty icy right now. radar still looks like this batch will roll through pretty quickly though. main batch of precip along the coast and NJ/DE looks like its heading east of all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Hey guys...check out pa511.com and look at all the major roads surrounding Harrisburg. They all have very heavy traffic and/or stopped traffic. The freezing rain must be causing major black ice issues. Where's Sauss and his scanner reports?? Temp is 30.0 here with light freezing rain. My son just told me that he got a text from a friend of his who works in Harrisburg (at one of the hospitals as an RN). She was trying to get on to 581 westbound but no cars are moving anywhere. A policeman told her that she might be sleeping in her car tonight! He also told her not to walk back to the hospital because it would be too dangerous. Yikes. This sounds serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Life on the edge: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Hey guys...check out pa511.com and look at all the major roads surrounding Harrisburg. They all have very heavy traffic and/or stopped traffic. The freezing rain must be causing major black ice issues. Where's Sauss and his scanner reports?? Temp is 30.0 here with light freezing rain. My son just told me that he got a text from a friend of his who works in Harrisburg (at one of the hospitals as an RN). She was trying to get on to 581 westbound but no cars are moving anywhere. A policeman told her that she might be sleeping in her car tonight! He also told her not to walk back to the hospital because it would be too dangerous. Yikes. This sounds serious. Wow. This is something I was fearing for you guys in south-central PA to start. Stay safe everyone!! I hope your sons friend will be ok Carlisle. Ice is no joke when it's freezing on the roadway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Hey guys...check out pa511.com and look at all the major roads surrounding Harrisburg. They all have very heavy traffic and/or stopped traffic. The freezing rain must be causing major black ice issues. Where's Sauss and his scanner reports?? Temp is 30.0 here with light freezing rain. My son just told me that he got a text from a friend of his who works in Harrisburg (at one of the hospitals as an RN). She was trying to get on to 581 westbound but no cars are moving anywhere. A policeman told her that she might be sleeping in her car tonight! He also told her not to walk back to the hospital because it would be too dangerous. Yikes. This sounds serious. Looks like its gonna be a really nasty night for the 322 corridor between harrisburg and state college. stay safe everyone and hope the snow comes for more of us tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteo Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Its snowing pretty heavily out.....main road out front covered...id say close to half inch already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 The Euro is really liking EPA with this one. 2-3" of precip through 12z Wed. Mount Pocono does pretty good this run. Very sharp gradient out west, but it does give 0.5" to CPA and more the further south and east you go. The 1" line starts in central Franklin on east and really cranks out a lot once into York on east. Pretty good run and more consistent than the others. Now casting and short range model stuff now, but I'll keep the Euro run in the back of my mind for posterity with the others just to see who's more correct in the overall solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Bright echos between AOO and UNV...sleet in that band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Bright echos between AOO and UNV...sleet in that band? Heavy snow in it.. especially toward the State College part of it. I picked up about 0.6" in 30 minutes with that band. 511 cams on Atherton out towards Valley Vista drive have heavy snow falling on it.. probably will be on campus any minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Got a sleet-snow mix, more snow than sleet it seems. Just about to get into the band here south of campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 It's pretty much all snow, but a very icy snow. Decent-sized flakes. It's moderate, not heavy. And it's really not piling up that quickly, probably because of how icy it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 It's pretty much all snow, but a very icy snow. Decent-sized flakes. It's moderate, not heavy. And it's really not piling up that quickly, probably because of how icy it is. Not gonna last too much long either... hopefully the radar looks more fun in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 LOL at all the reports west of me with precipitation. Looking at radar this early hour (have to head to York this morning) and the I-81 Schuylkill County dry slot has already showed up. Sorry, couldn't resist... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 The Euro is really liking EPA with this one. 2-3" of precip through 12z Wed. Mount Pocono does pretty good this run. Very sharp gradient out west, but it does give 0.5" to CPA and more the further south and east you go. The 1" line starts in central Franklin on east and really cranks out a lot once into York on east. Pretty good run and more consistent than the others. Now casting and short range model stuff now, but I'll keep the Euro run in the back of my mind for posterity with the others just to see who's more correct in the overall solution. Briefly mentioning about the rest of the Euro run past this storm.. wow. While the GFS still likes a warm-up after the coastal storm relinquishes it's grip, it never comes for the northeast on tonight's European run.. with temps generally looking average at best right through 240. Not much of any true arctic air around but the southern stream looks alive and well with a couple features being progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 this thing is going heavy negative. just looking at the satellite loop. could possible go a bit west as progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 30/29 at Millersville with light frz rain. Nice glaze on a lot of surfaces already. The morning commute might be a little tricky around these parts, but out to the west, the commute will be disturbing. Take care out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Crunch & a glazing here this morning. Be careful driving today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Yea, slick over here too pawatch, really disappointed in schools for not delaying. Our driveway was a sheet of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Most schools down this way are running on a 2 hr delay. Good call imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I'd say judging by radar and Low pressure placement, this event is essentially over for the western 2/3rds of the state. HRRR shows banding in the eastern 1/3rd, so these areas may still see accumulating snow through the day (in cold enough places anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I'd say judging by radar and Low pressure placement, this event is essentially over for the western 2/3rds of the state. HRRR shows banding in the eastern 1/3rd, so these areas may still see accumulating snow through the day (in cold enough places anyway). Rough post to wake up to haha. Very light freezing drizzle here currently, cars have a decent coating of ice on them as well under the sleet/snow/whatever is out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Up to nearly 35 here now, no ice when we woke up anywhere to find. Something tells me HBG's winter might rival my awesome 10" total from last year with these misses, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Up to nearly 35 here now, no ice when we woke up anywhere to find. Something tells me HBG's winter might rival my awesome 10" total from last year with these misses, ha. I noticed it was warmer on the east shore than west shore this morning lol... Had 32 at the house with only deck and parts of sidewalk icy... bridge that runs over i-81 was a sheet of ice but roads just wet otherwise. Does the positioning of the high seem a little bit east of where models had it the past few days? Water vapor imagery also looks as if best moisture is going to get too far north and east before this system deepens and tries to pull anything moisture/colder air wise in on backside of system. Other than far northeast PA I have a feeling this will end up more of a bust which NWS State College I believe was first to accurately drop forecast totals for. NWS Binghamton I think has too high of totals still in areas west of Mount Pocono but we shall see how these bands that are starting to form set up in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Models way off with precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Up to nearly 35 here now, no ice when we woke up anywhere to find. Something tells me HBG's winter might rival my awesome 10" total from last year with these misses, ha. You really only had 10" last winter down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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