doncat Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 The difference between 85F and 90F is hardly significant, it's barely discernible. Talking about mean temps... for example a 76 degree mean in July would be average but a 71 degree mean would be near record territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 It's a running gag we've had related to his avatar for many years now. It started during the terrible winter of 1934. You know Ed, its funny...but all one need do is consult the Biographical Survey: 2006 (the last one they published) to see that everything I said was indeed true. Though currently out of print...you can probably pick up a copy at the Exchange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 Any snow coming up? The 24,084 hour CFS shows a monster getting ready to nail the whole Northeastern corridor. It might be dicey for the coast though, looks like it could be a coastal hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 ^^ long way to go lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 ^^ long way to go lol Road trip to Vermont? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 The 24,084 hour CFS shows a monster getting ready to nail the whole Northeastern corridor. It might be dicey for the coast though, looks like it could be a coastal hugger. 18z throw it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 You know their is a lot more to weather in this area than snow. It's like if it's not snowing and cold all winter long and sunny and warm all summer long then it's a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 ^^ long way to go lol I miss winter so bad already, although this weather is fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 The may thread is fantastic lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 The may thread is fantastic lol Lol sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Glad to see people are talking about weather again here :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 I miss winter so bad already, although this weather is fantastic. I really miss tracking storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 The may thread is fantastic lol And some wonder why a good number of mets wont post around here on a regular basis... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 lol, yanksfan changed his name to look smarter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 enjoy the above normal warmth this weekend. nyc will easily hit 80 by tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 I really miss tracking storms Outside of winter and a very rare rogue sandy like storm they're really isnt much to track from NJ-east. Severe storms are all but none existent and once spring closes out widespread dumping rains become alot more sparse. Besides heat waves and garden variety/brief severe cells from may-october they're really isnt anything exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Outside of winter and a very rare rogue sandy like storm they're really isnt much to track from NJ-east. Severe storms are all but none existent and once spring closes out widespread dumping rains become alot more sparse. Besides heat waves and garden variety/brief severe cells from may-october they're really isnt anything exciting Most of us enjoy tracking tropical systems during the summer even if they never directly threaten our backyards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Outside of winter and a very rare rogue sandy like storm they're really isnt much to track from NJ-east. Severe storms are all but none existent and once spring closes out widespread dumping rains become alot more sparse. Besides heat waves and garden variety/brief severe cells from may-october they're really isnt anything exciting Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Outside of winter and a very rare rogue sandy like storm they're really isnt much to track from NJ-east. Severe storms are all but none existent and once spring closes out widespread dumping rains become alot more sparse. Besides heat waves and garden variety/brief severe cells from may-october they're really isnt anything exciting The worst part is we get teased with days that look like perfect setups for a decent severe weather event to only have them fizzle out. Either we're missing a trigger and the storms don't form or they die out as the move east or reform and blast monmouth county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 The worst part is we get teased with days that look like perfect setups for a decent severe weather event to only have them fizzle out. Either we're missing a trigger and the storms don't form or they die out as the move east or reform and blast monmouth county. If this area ever truly saw a severe weather outbreak with tornados, large hail and damaging winds, similar to what occurred in Alabama and Mississippi last week, a majority of people here would crap their pants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 If this area ever truly saw a severe weather outbreak with tornados, large hail and damaging winds, similar to what occurred in Alabama and Mississippi last week, a majority of people here would crap their pants. Usually when I think severe in this part of the country its small hail and 45-50 mph wind gusts, not truly severe weather or our once a decade derechos. I don't even care if its severe, I just like thunderstorms, especially at night..heavy rain lots of thunder and lightning. So rare these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 The worst part is we get teased with days that look like perfect setups for a decent severe weather event to only have them fizzle out. Either we're missing a trigger and the storms don't form or they die out as the move east or reform and blast monmouth county. It more often than not happens to be meager lapse rates. Last years "epic" severe setup was nill because the lapse rates were very poor and we also had cells pop up ahead the derecho that killed it when it got to NJ. I got some rain and lightning and that was it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 One phrase, Elevated Mixed Layer. We don't see enough of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 If this area ever truly saw a severe weather outbreak with tornados, large hail and damaging winds, similar to what occurred in Alabama and Mississippi last week, a majority of people here would crap their pants. Agree, not many people know what to do when an actual tornado is going to bear down on their home. Im surprised when i talk severe weather preparedness how many people say other stuff when how to take cover over what your suppose to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 One phrase, Elevated Mixed Layer. We don't see enough of them. The mid west and central states this is more common place where here its as rare as hens teeth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 If this area ever truly saw a severe weather outbreak with tornados, large hail and damaging winds, similar to what occurred in Alabama and Mississippi last week, a majority of people here would crap their pants. As a transplant from Oklahoma to Massachusetts, I agree 1000%. I had just moved here in July, 21 years ago. I was going outside from my office and there was a fairly dark cloud coming in from the west, bit of wind, a little thunder, but really pretty wimpy by my standards. Everybody thought I was nuts for going outside and they knew just any minute I was going to be sucked up in a tornado. I laughed and told them not even close to anything to worry about. They were scared witless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 As a transplant from Oklahoma to Massachusetts, I agree 1000%. I had just moved here in July, 21 years ago. I was going outside from my office and there was a fairly dark cloud coming in from the west, bit of wind, a little thunder, but really pretty wimpy by my standards. Everybody thought I was nuts for going outside and they knew just any minute I was going to be sucked up in a tornado. I laughed and told them not even close to anything to worry about. They were scared witless. I agree. I've been to Kansas many times. Was at a restaurant during a tornado warning in May 2004 with sirens blaring and people were just eating like nothing was happening. When I see a supercell on radar and read the severe weather statement I get scared just reading it. 80 mph winds, baseball size hail, get indoors immediately. You know they mean business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 I think what people dont understand who dont live in The Alley is that these things are isolated to smaller areas. You'd be suprised how many run of the mill people know how to watch a radar and understand what they are seeing. Every TV met down there has a state of the art doppler that can pinpoint a hook echo within a half block. I could be 1 mile from a F0-F3 thats on the ground and if it's moving away from me on doppler, I dont worry about it. (F4 or F5, I'm headed to the cellar). So when the sirens go off, you need to look at where it actually is before you panic. Nobody worries to much about a little straight wind or hail. If it beats the roof off, call Allstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Geography is everything when it comes to significant tornado climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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