stormtrackertf Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What's that little line/squall that just moved into Wayne/Oakland county from the east? Whatever it is, it just caused the heavens to open with some massive fatties. Legit +SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 SN Might make a run at 5-6" in some spots. Good thing dtx didn't issue advisories or else this storm would have never overperformed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Set my alarm for 5 am. -SN with an inch so far. Guess my Vegas call 48 hours ago for 10-12 is a bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What's that little line/squall that just moved into Wayne/Oakland county from the east? Whatever it is, it just caused the heavens to open with some massive fatties. Legit +SN. WUNIDS_map.gif So THIS is what it was. From DTX's AFD this morning, awesome: SURFACE RIDGING AND LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION IS AGGRESSIVELY PUSHING INTO SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. IN FACT...KDTX AND TDTW ARE SHOWING A FASCINATING FINELINE OF ENHANCED Z VALUES THAT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWESTWARD OFF OF LAKE HURON. THIS IS THE LEAD EDGE OF A BACKDOOR COLD PUSH OF HIGHER DENSITY AIR THAT IS WORKING UNDERNEATH THE ONGOING MIDLEVEL FGEN SNOW EVENT. MODEL DATA SUPPORTS THE NEAR SURFACE COLD PUSH WILL MAKE IT THROUGH LENAWEE AND MONROE COUNTIES PRIOR TO 12Z. THIS HAS LED TO THE DECISION OF LOWERING HIGHS A DEGREE OR TWO FOR THE RIVER LOCATIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Measured 3.4" here... Looking at radar we could make a run at 4 before it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Maybe DTX thinks we are too bad@ss for an advisory after this winter. Ahh, 4-5 inches..... Whoopdi doo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Maybe DTX thinks we are too bad@ss for an advisory after this winter. Ahh, 4-5 inches..... Whoopdi doo! DTX has had a rough winter forecasting snowfall. Wave 1: 0.7" Wave 2: 3.7" Total: 4.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Measured 3.4" here... Looking at radar we could make a run at 4 before it's done. I also measured 3.4" here at 7 AM and still snowing nicely. I may not make my predicted 6.4, but it still looks nice out there. I would like to get within an inch of my prediction, but I don't think it will snow long enough unless we can get a little surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 0700 AM SNOW ROMULUS 42.22N 83.37W03/02/2014 M4.5 INCH WAYNE MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS 9.9" to go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Finished with 5.0". 0.42" of water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 0700 AM SNOW ROMULUS 42.22N 83.37W 03/02/2014 M4.5 INCH WAYNE MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS 9.9" to go... We've gotta make it now...I can feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Snow depth is 16" at DTW this morning. Can tack on another day of 16+ inches of snow on the ground to the records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Finished with 5.0". 0.42" of water. Nice fall for you. Certainly beats the old crusted snow we were looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 3 inches of snow here in Dunlap se of Elkhart. Nice refresher coating to whiten things up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 748 AM CST SUN MAR 02 2014 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0740 AM SNOW PORTAGE 41.59N 87.18W 03/02/2014 M8.8 INCH PORTER IN TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW ONGOING AND ESTIMATED VISIBILITY OF ABOUT THREE QUARTERS OF A MIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looks like an average of 3-5" fell across Detroit. The models did show this and I previously predicted this (DTX only expected 1-3"), so it depends on what predictions you're looking at as to whether or not this was an overachiever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Nice solid event here. Smack dab in the middle of my 3-5" call. Only 1.1" at IND so far. Gonna need to bust out the super rally caps there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Dee Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0158.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Nice solid event here. Smack dab in the middle of my 3-5" call. Only 1.1" at IND so far. Gonna need to bust out the super rally caps there... Would appear a good chunk of central illinois into central Indiana busted hard. Got a report from my parents outside of Decatur, Il of less than 2". 36 hours ago, the winter storm watch was stating 8-10", with 4-6" listed last evening, and 3-5" this morning. The winter of model mayhem continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Would appear a good chunk of central illinois into central Indiana busted hard. Got a report from my parents outside of Decatur, Il of less than 2". 36 hours ago, the winter storm watch was stating 8-10", with 4-6" listed last evening, and 3-5" this morning. The winter of model mayhem continues. Yeah, appears so. Such a difficult forecast with almost no model consistency leading up to this event. I'm glad I do this for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 ORD finished with 5.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 ORD finished with 5.1" 6.1 call not as lame as I thought. Need to learn not to buy into the board pessimism 6 hrs. before events even begin. Especially, this year.Another well done event by LOT as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 ORD finished with 5.1" I guess that puts ORD at 73.4" now. Only 3.7" more and the city breaks into 3rd place. Only behind here 0.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 6.1 call not as lame as I thought. Need to learn not to buy into the board pessimism 6 hrs. before events even begin. Especially, this year.Another well done event by LOT as well. This. I was buying into it too as most more. Original not knocked down call by LOT was solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Unsurprisingly, models struggled with the placement of the narrow bands of heavy snow. Overall, for Iowa the nam and gem were too wet leading up to the Saturday event. Some of their runs had 0.50" precip here, which was way overdone. The euro, on the other hand, was pretty abysmal with its extreme dryness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Nice solid event here. Smack dab in the middle of my 3-5" call. Only 1.1" at IND so far. Gonna need to bust out the super rally caps there... We're probably not entirely done yet though unclear how much we will get out of the next round. Could be close to the northern edge and heaviest will pass south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 ORD finished with 5.1" Nice. My call was spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 We're probably not entirely done yet though unclear how much we will get out of the next round. Could be close to the northern edge and heaviest will pass south. I'm not sure we're going to see much more than mood flakes with the next round. Heck, I'm not sure about Indy...but looking at the way things are currently lining up, I think they'll tack on some additional. How much is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Unsurprisingly, models struggled with the placement of the narrow bands of heavy snow. Overall, for Iowa the nam and gem were too wet leading up to the Saturday event. Some of their runs had 0.50" precip here, which was way overdone. The euro, on the other hand, was pretty abysmal with its extreme dryness. Yeah they weren't too great. Our 4.5" was actually one of the heavier amounts around this immediate area. My original forecast was 2-4", then scaled back to 2-3, and then 1-2 yesterday afternoon. Radar looked terrible, reports out of Iowa were weak sauce with vis above 2 miles in many locations. Also, the normally too wet RAP showed pockets of <0.1" precip around the area. Probably should have just stayed with the original 2-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looking out west, some fun obs for early March. Topeka is 4º and snowing. Kansas City is 2º, and looks like some snow moving in shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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