Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,509
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

2/18/14 Clipper OBS Thread


dryslot

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 825
  • Created
  • Last Reply

If you took the nose of the theta-e 850 tongue like Chris showed, combine with max 850-500vvs and good ratios. 12" was easily attainable. Perfect area for it to occur in NH deep in the colder air. Was not really a surprise to be honest up there. QPF queens might not see it...but all the factors lined up there.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you took the nose of the theta-e 850 tongue like Chris showed, combine with max 850-500vvs and good ratios. 12" was easily attainable. Perfect area for it to occur in NH deep in the colder air. Was not really a surprise to be honest up there. QPF queens might not see it...but all the factors lined up there.

 

I will say the theta-e axis really showed the NH areas well. I am surprised that 10+ totals will be so widespread up here. I thought duration would limit things. Of course we knew that convection would play a role, and did it ever.

 

Definitely some vertical growth (and not just in the clouds) going on in NH around the time of those ridiculous hourly rates.

 

post-44-0-78393900-1392764165_thumb.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you took the nose of the theta-e 850 tongue like Chris showed, combine with max 850-500vvs and good ratios. 12" was easily attainable. Perfect area for it to occur in NH deep in the colder air. Was not really a surprise to be honest up there. QPF queens might not see it...but all the factors lined up there.

Yeah...not really a surprise in hindsight, but it's tough to go 20:1 with 0.50-0.75" of liquid.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I will say the theta-e axis really showed the NH areas well. I am surprised that 10+ totals will be so widespread up here. I thought duration would limit things. Of course we knew that convection would play a role, and did it ever.

 

Definitely some vertical growth (and not just in the clouds) going on in NH around the time of those ridiculous hourly rates.

 

attachicon.gifvis.jpg

 

Well what I mean is when you combine all those factors..it doesn't really strike you as surprising...know what I mean? The instability in the DGZ certainly helped I bet.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah...not really a surprise in hindsight, but it's tough to go 20:1 with 0.50-0.75" of liquid.

 

You know when you think about it, the soundings today were probably cooler than -6 C right up through H7. That's basically about a 300 mb deep DGZ when you factor in salt nucleation. Hindsight is 20/20, but that is definitely something I overlooked.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well what I mean is when you combine all those factors..it doesn't really strike you as surprising...know what I mean? The instability in the DGZ certainly helped I bet.

 

Oh I agree, I'm not surprised at all it happened the way it did. It's tough to go so far out on a limb and forecast conditions quite like this of course. Ha.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Right...but I mean it did look like a fluff bomb there.

 

I was leaning 4-7"/5-8" with 15:1 and about 0.40"-0.50" of liquid. I was worried about it getting it's act together a hair too late for mby and as it turns out I was just on the edge. Fun little storm. I can't wait to snowblow it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was leaning 4-7"/5-8" with 15:1 and about 0.40"-0.50" of liquid. I was worried about it getting it's act together a hair too late for mby and as it turns out I was just on the edge. Fun little storm. I can't wait to snowblow it.

 

I think you were right in the deformation area so you maxed out. That would explain it I think...basically everything available to force snow was over you area and down to MHT. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...