burgertime Posted January 28, 2014 Author Share Posted January 28, 2014 Radar looks very good for folks in central NC and RDU. Keep looking at the radar probably pointless to look at models right now. You can see that moisture is starting to get thrown back into ENC. It won't be long now. Look at the radar I'm hoping I can stay on the right side of the edge of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 15:1 is about right. Its been powder falling easly blown around by the wind. I've seen up to 17:1 on output from KFAY but 12-14:1 is most likely...higher ratios probably in Harnett Co than in Wake, or so I've noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Pretty amazing to see the heavy axis of precip missing me to the NORTH -- didn't see that coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 15:1 is about right. Its been powder falling easly blown around by the wind. I think at this point we should stop looking at the models and start looking at the radar returns. Looks like it is filling in nice to our SE. Nothing great at this point but there is now good coverage where there was none just an hour back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Shudder to think what's happening in south Alabama (Troy, et al) right now -- blinding sleet storm (if they're lucky) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nraleigh Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Finally snow in North hills in Raleigh, a friend in Greenville said all they are getting is freezing rain right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The models aren't showing good coverage till later tonight as the upper level jet streak and mid level energy inches closer. With that said it's going to be a sharp cut off and painful for some. I'm thinking the cut off will be about a mile east of Widreman's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Radar looks very good for folks in central NC and RDU. Keep looking at the radar probably pointless to look at models right now. You can see that moisture is starting to get thrown back into ENC. It won't be long now. Look at the radar I'm hoping I can stay on the right side of the edge of this thing. It doesn't look like the heavy precip shield will be able to back fill enough to reach the I-85 corridor per the radar and recent model runs (which may be worthless). I'm thinking these initial bands, that appear to be breaking up, will account for the metro area's totals.The most recent 2.9 I've seen from GSP seems a little overdone for the city. Maybe I'm missing something though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Radar looks very good for folks in central NC and RDU. Keep looking at the radar probably pointless to look at models right now. You can see that moisture is starting to get thrown back into ENC. It won't be long now. Look at the radar I'm hoping I can stay on the right side of the edge of this thing. Do you have a good long duration radar link? Maybe smthg that shows precip starting from noon to now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So that's 4-6 northwest of the Augusta area. They are the first to end w/ this storm. What do they have right now? Anywhere near 4-6? Well Camden SC is in the 4-5" streak and there NWS location is calling for 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 15 miles NW of Macon. Heavy sleet and 32 deg. Sidewalk covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 There in an OBS thread folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntjr Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Precip starting to pivot in foothills and piedmont; band on back edge really juiced- next few hours look pretty interesting along 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 15 miles NW of Macon. Heavy sleet and 32 deg. Sidewalk covered. Just doesn't want to give in to snow does it...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Precip starting to pivot in foothills and piedmont; band on back edge really juiced- next few hours look pretty interesting along 85 What radar loop are you looking at? I'm not seeing the heavy rates coming this way, but may be missing something. Also, is the thinking that it's pretty much game over once the back end nears and passes the 85 corridor? Seems as though there's been some back-filling over the ATL metro over the past couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 At the risk of being shunted to the obs thrad, we've been in sleet and ZR in FAY for about 90 minutes. Temp at surface is 27 degrees at the house. Just how thick is this warm nose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 At the risk of being shunted to the obs thrad, we've been in sleet and ZR in FAY for about 90 minutes. Temp at surface is 27 degrees at the house. Just how thick is this warm nose? Same at Fort Bragg??? maybe a met can chime in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dntjr Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 What radar loop are you looking at? I'm not seeing the heavy rates coming this way, but may be missing something. Also, is the thinking that it's pretty much game over once the back end nears and passes the 85 corridor? Seems as though there's been some back-filling over the ATL metro over the past couple hours.Composite on NOAA- looks like it might be back-filling and re-orienting as it pulls moisture in from the coast. There seems to be more back-filling going on towards ATL- I think the area east of 85 will benefit from this the most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cng885 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Been looking at the radar. Any mets losing doubt about amounts from central nc to central va? I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Mobile radar showing some drying up near the coast in S AL and NW FL... interesting. Precipitation should still come south through the evening though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stepandfetch Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 the back edge is really coming in quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 With 1.6" snow, Atlanta has set a daily record for snowfall on January 28. This evening, the snow should continue to increase in intensity in parts of North Carolina and the Virginia Tidewater region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 RAP promise we'll switch to snow by 8:30 to 9 with enough precip for 4 inches or so of snow. NAM holds that warm nose in place until March, I think. GFS has been spot on for surface temp ... and the sleet keeps falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Be warned -- pretty big precip bust in the panhandle -- models insisted .5 to 1.0 of precip, but it looks like just .2 in FWB and surrounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Be warned -- pretty big precip bust in the panhandle -- models insisted .5 to 1.0 of precip, but it looks like just .2 in FWB and surrounding areas. The event isn't over yet. All of the precip to the NW is going to slide south overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 WxSouth just posted on facebook that area from Wake to Norfolk will still see rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Be warned -- pretty big precip bust in the panhandle -- models insisted .5 to 1.0 of precip, but it looks like just .2 in FWB and surrounding areas. Looks like everything is moving NE, but maybe some small help from a diffuse little piece of energy in the gulf tomorrow (????). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheronNC Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The event isn't over yet. All of the precip to the NW is going to slide south overnight. HRRR shows the precip to the NW sliding out the NE without sinking south toward the Panhandle/coast. Any further precip. is likely going to be farther east tomorrow am-afternoon with that secondary impulse that ~30% of ensembles are showing could drop a brief bit of snow along an Apalachicola-Tallahassee-Valdosta (or slightly SE therefrom) line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 WxSouth just posted on facebook that area from Wake to Norfolk will still see rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour. Good question you asked him. He said several inches for Wake but more just east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Just looking at the current radar mosaic, short range model depictions and best omega. Definitely thing the best snow is going to be along and east of HWY 1. Hopefully the area over central Ga/SC will lift more NNE instead of NE and then areas back to Chapel Hill, Burlington, Durham could get in the heavy band for a while. Still like 8-10 from areas northeast of Raleigh to Norfolk. Think probably more like 4-6 for eastern Wake County east of US-1, more like 2-4 west of US-1. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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