packfan98 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Happy hour again. Don't get sucked in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Y'all remember 2 or 3 years ago, Dallas was suppose to get an inch or two and wound up with 12+ ? Keep hope alive! I do think in an overrunning type situation like this there's a lot more room to boom than bust. Someone's gonna make out really well with this when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Is this website just for people that are studying meteorology? It seems like my questions or posts often get deleted. As I was ASKING....What causes some storm systems to take hours to "moisten" the air before precipitation falls to ground level? We're in some pretty dry air right now, aren't we? Your 2nd question is essentially answering your original. Not to get into backyard specifics but yes the airmass across the SE currently is quite dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Will my area get any type of Winter weather advisory or warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikepie Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Happy hour again. Don't get sucked in! LOL it's like Groundhog Day on the 18Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 LOL it's like Groundhog Day on the 18Z GFS Pay no attention to the model behind the curtain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You basically answered your own question. The dry air evaporates the early precip before it reaches the ground. Depending on the rate of precip and the dryness of the column, the process can take anywhere from a few minutes to a few hours. Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist and I didn't sleep at a Holiday Inn express last night. I wonder what the dewpoint needs to be at before moisture starts to fall to ground level. Is there a magic number? BTW...thank you for answering. I thought the front of this website said people interested in the weather were welcome. Maybe that was a different site. Or maybe it's because I'm female. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Don't allow yourselves to be 18z'd again... MUST RESIST!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Great job looks about perfect, especially to NO SNOW circle!!! lol Thanks, Frosty! You don't have to throw it at us in BIG DEEP RED SORROW! lol I'm sorry, but I thought that was the best color choice. Please, for all that's good, don't leave me out of your maps, too. Always the step-child down here. :/ I got a chihuahua in this fight. I apologize, Peach. You're correct, you should be inside the red circle of death too. So correct me if Im wrong here: Winston-S no snow ale red paint m blizzard That's about spot on! Remember that there is a tight gradient with this thing as we go from east to west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 So is our only hope in the foothills/piedmont overrunning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I wonder what the dewpoint needs to be at before moisture starts to fall to ground level. Is there a magic number? BTW...thank you for answering. I thought the front of this website said people interested in the weather were welcome. Maybe that was a different site. Or maybe it's because I'm female. The dew point is derived from temperature and humidity. Air can hold more moisture as its temperature increases. The dew point is simply the temperature at which the air reaches 100% of the moisture it can hold. I don't think being female will cause you to have less responses. After all, 95% of the forum is made up of horn dogs of various ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The Nam goes drier and the GFS goes wetter. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I wonder what the dewpoint needs to be at before moisture starts to fall to ground level. Is there a magic number? BTW...thank you for answering. I thought the front of this website said people interested in the weather were welcome. Maybe that was a different site. Or maybe it's because I'm female. Really....smh Instead of getting upset about your post getting deleted because you answered your own question, why don't you check out the newbie information thread for some learning materials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Winter Storm WARNINGS issued for most of the Florida Panhandle... Now that's something you don't see every day. I was thinking the same thing. I went to Destin last year to go to the beach and now they are looking at a wintry mix there. Pretty crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Really....smh Instead of getting upset about your post getting deleted because you answered your own question, why don't you check out the newbie information thread for some learning materials. You're pretty grumpy for someone who is about to get their first winter storm in 123 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The Nam goes drier and the GFS goes wetter. Nice. Did the NAM turn out appreciably drier for anywhere except the Gulf Coast? IIRC it was pretty much the same if not a little wetter for western and central NC/SC. I wonder what the dewpoint needs to be at before moisture starts to fall to ground level. Is there a magic number? BTW...thank you for answering. I thought the front of this website said people interested in the weather were welcome. Maybe that was a different site. Or maybe it's because I'm female. Yeah that's totally it. Everyone knows the motto of AMWX is "Women Can't Do Science." We have a female moderator for Christ's sake lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The Nam goes drier and the GFS goes wetter. Nice. NAM and GFS were wetter for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You're pretty grumpy for someone who is about to get their first winter storm in 123 years. I'm not grumpy Just tired of deleting instead of being able to read/look at the information coming in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Did the NAM turn out appreciably drier for anywhere except the Gulf Coast? IIRC it was pretty much the same if not a little wetter for western and central NC/SC. Yeah that's totally it. Everyone knows the motto of AMWX is "Women Can't Do Science." We have a female moderator for Christ's sake lol. Maybe I looked at a cached image or something..... hmmmm. NAM and GFS were wetter for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The Nam goes drier and the GFS goes wetter. Nice. Hey, I made that call earlier today. But, we all know that was too easy. 18Z was guaranteed to go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Did the NAM turn out appreciably drier for anywhere except the Gulf Coast? IIRC it was pretty much the same if not a little wetter for western and central NC/SC. Yeah that's totally it. Everyone knows the motto of AMWX is "Women Can't Do Science." We have a female moderator for Christ's sake lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Hey, I made that call earlier today. But, we all know that was too easy. 18Z was guaranteed to go west. Haha, yes you did! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 So Lanie Pope is calling for nothing imby. She said we are in the "have not" part of the Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Major Winter Storm on tap for Eastern North Carolina, impacts look greater than 12-26-2010, I don't think coastal sections will rival 1989, but this is a ~1 in 10 year event for folks east of 95. We are likely sacrificing the next 2 or 3 winters, oh well, we should be back in play in time for an epic solar min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Oh trust me. I won't be losing sleep over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Robert seems less bullish about WNC accumulations. Don't know what happened there....his thoughts seem lined right up with current modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 "The ULL aint sitting there like models projected. its moving due east now!" Saw this posted in the other thread. Is this a good thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 "The ULL aint sitting there like models projected. its moving due east now!" Saw this posted in the other thread. Is this a good thing? Yes very good. RAP is moving it quick now. At this rate by tonight it could be starting to phase lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How long until the radar and satellite hallucinations begin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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