Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 You are toast. Fairly good chance we flip to snow at the end in the hills. Question is..is it for 10 minutes or long enough to drop an inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Fairly good chance we flip to snow at the end in the hills. Question is..is it for 10 minutes or long enough to drop an inch or It depends on track and intensity. Just looks like crap for you unless an inch saves your day. I guess I look at things differently then you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 It depends on track and intensity. Just looks like crap for you unless an inch saves your day. I guess I look at things differently then you. As long as we can all have 1-2 OTG to me that's winter. I'll still enjoy the frigid cold, with no snow..but I d much rather have the ground white at the very least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 I'm not really looking at the soundings verbatim becuase they have flip flopped quite a bit...but if the ML center takes a Euro track, I could def see some paste collapsing SE at the end. Sort of like Oct 2009 when we had marginal 0C temps down to about 900mb to perhaps 925mb in N ORH county....and snow was ruled out for everyone outside of the highest spots. Add some intense UVM in and we saw what happened. Not predicting the same thing but just sort of thinking out loud on possibilities. Climo time of year too, I made a cardinal mistake and read here before looking at the synoptic, I agree with you that this setup calls for a paste bomb in the Berks, ORH hills too. guess we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 I'm not really looking at the soundings verbatim becuase they have flip flopped quite a bit...but if the ML center takes a Euro track, I could def see some paste collapsing SE at the end. Sort of like Oct 2009 when we had marginal 0C temps down to about 900mb to perhaps 925mb in N ORH county....and snow was ruled out for everyone outside of the highest spots. Add some intense UVM in and we saw what happened. Not predicting the same thing but just sort of thinking out loud on possibilities. Yeah I see that.. Just seems like it's a bit too warm outside of maybe you and points north. It's almost going to have to tear a whole in the atmosphere to get snow. It's not like the 850s are at 0C to start..it needs work just to cool it to -1C. If this could move SE then I think the chance is much better for >2". But 1-2" at the tail end is possible for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 yeah but looking to transition to some sleet. Is this trending warmer?Sent from my LG-E980 Coast may see some rain to start then changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 There's been some innuendos posted (and deleted) on here over the past several days. Cut the crap...esp in the storm threads. Just help us make it easier to moderate and for others to read. Whether they are PG-13 vs rated R might be up for debate, but what isn't is that they will take threads off topic for like half a dozen posts and its more work for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 No love for our area?Sent from my LG-E980 Lots of love, hugs, kisses and canoodling for our area. Let's see what modeling brings today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 There's been some innuendos posted (and deleted) on here over the past several days. Cut the crap...esp in the storm threads. Just help us make it easier to moderate and for others to read. Whether they are PG-13 vs rated R might be up for debate, but what isn't is that they will take threads off topic for like half a dozen posts and its more work for us. Self moderation ftw I deleted my own lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 45 but I was talking generically, to say no one sees snow etc like he does does not address the entire board, look at the poll we are a diverse group spread out over the area. I took the back roads to work today, 33 miles, saw 6 cars the entire way until work.Nice cover of snow in the hills by the way. Yeah the little bit of snow yesterday really beautified the region. Sparkling winter day today but my walk requires some traction. All good...it's New England in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 LOL just saw the RPM. Pike north can always hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 LOL just saw the RPM. Pike north can always hope for that.I saw an image from the rpm last night that looked decent. But not sure what run it was based on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 I saw an image from the rpm last night that looked decent. But not sure what run it was based on It does what I mentioned yesterday. It tracks the cold front slipping SW through Maine and as the low develops...it pulls the cold into the circulation. To me that's the best way to get snow outside of the 1k hills near NH. That seems like a stretch, but the cold isn't that far away. I think either that, or an uber VV bomb is needed to flip to snow. I'm pretty sure the Monads will get a good dumping and perhaps down to the extreme nrn ORH hills. South of that..I just don't know. Like Will said...maybe it flips near the end for some elevated areas. Hopefully the runs today tick SE. The airmass ahead of this low is beyond annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 It doesn't seem like it would take much physics for that blob of warmer air to be pushed out of the way by a fast moving, denser wall if cold. It is really precarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Same pattern repeats. Cold then a messy situation. I'm up north we should do very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 I could see this as a transitional storm from non blocks to a blocking type pattern with the NAO going negative for a time and the 2-4th storm is the one with the blocking regime and we get smoked by the 6z GFS with a sub 980mb low, a bit too far west for coastal locales though verbatim. I think this is just the appetizer for the main event on the 2-4th. If we get anything for accumulation even as far southeast as the upper Cape for this storm is just a bonus, but as we get into January the storms start to favor a further southeast track as the air just gets colder naturally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM coming in colder I believe with the northern stream system coming in faster than last cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 This thread is for the 29th. There isn't a rinse/repeat thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 LOl, wth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 This seems like a rain to snow situation for anyone west and southwest of BOS as well as just north of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 This thread is for the 29th. There isn't a rinse/repeat thing. Some need to check thread titles before just posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 This is how you dump blue snow bombs in oRH. Massive omega dynamically cool the atmosphere. I could see this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 LOl, wth That must be using the Wetbulb temp for output becasue the TwisterData skew has ORH above 0c from about 800-900mb, from about 18z Sun to just after 06z Mon when the bulk of the moisture falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Not a lot of time with that dumpage though. I would prefer it start sooner, but what can ya do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 That must be using the Wetbulb temp for output becasue the TwisterData skew has ORH above 0c from about 800-900mb, from about 18z Sun to just after 06z Mon when the bulk of the moisture falls. Check out the post I just made Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 That must be using the Wetbulb temp for output becasue the TwisterData skew has ORH above 0c from about 800-900mb, from about 18z Sun to just after 06z Mon when the bulk of the moisture falls. Yeah, probably goes isothermal paste job if omega is great enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM continues the sauna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM is still on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 with no cold air, not sure what some are expecting....looks like a rainer for 80-90% of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 This is how you dump blue snow bombs in oRH. Massive omega dynamically cool the atmosphere. I could see this scenario. That's an ugly sounding, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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