tdp146 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 That's the difference between weenies and true weather enthusiasts. The weenies want highly irrational and highly unlikely snow bombs in their backyard while the enthusiasts and some mets actually take the time to appreciate and be in awe at such a powerful and highly anomalous storm. It's a double edge sword. Yes I'm looking at some of the forecast over the open seas thinking "wow, 100 knt winds and a -6 Standard deviation pressure with a non tropical system". And at the same time part of me feels like my team just lost the Super Bowl on a field goal going "wide right". Great season yes, but we just missed on the "big one" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 For several days now this has been a Hail Mary nothing more and nothing less. Your chances of a Hail Mary are less than one percent. We gotta live with it and admire the storm and congratulate the winners 2 our South & North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It's a double edge sword. Yes I'm looking at some of the forecast over the open seas thinking "wow, 100 knt winds and a -6 Standard deviation pressure with a non tropical system". And at the same time part of me feels like my team just lost the Super Bowl on a field goal going "wide right". Great season yes, but we just missed on the "big one" Good analogy. Great season, but I often wonder what could of been with this storm if it took an optimum track for us. My guess is that it would of been a DC to Boston blizzard with snow amounts of 1 to 3 feet from south to north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Of course... once Spring approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 This could have been an epic blizzard for us. Payback for march 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 This could have been an epic blizzard for us. Payback for march 2001. Many of the last threats could have been great snow producers. Sucks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 This could have been an epic blizzard for us. Payback for march 2001.You didn't want it enough. It wanted to listen to you, and shift west, but you didn't believe hard enough. It's missing us to the east, and it's all your fault.I hope you can sleep at night, denying all of us of our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Some years it almost seems as if it wants to snow. This winter was the tale of two halves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Again u look at the radar image and it stops where the other two march storms stopped. It would Be crazy is atlantic city and coastal md gets more snow than cape cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Here was my forecast for this storm for Northern New Jersey that I posted to my blog 10 days ago.... I wish I had stuck with that forecast... Saturday, March 15th, 2014 - Evening Weather Discussion Then the next storm that is likely to bring someone along the East Coast another significant snowstorm will start developing along the Gulf Coast on Tuesday. This storm will then start to move northeast in our direction. Of course the big question is whether this storm will make it far enough north to affect our area. Honestly, the way these storms have have been going for the past month, if you have friends or relatives down in Virginia, you might as well just tell them now that they will be getting another big snowstorm next Tuesday. Of course I am just kidding, there is really no way to be certain of exactly where this storm will go this far out, but often history does repeat itself. Saturday, March 15th, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion I can’t yet declare winter over as there is a strong signal for another storm along the East Coast next Tuesday, with lots of cold air in place. This storm will likely bring someone along the East Coast another chance of a significant snowstorm. If you had to bet though, the way these have been working out lately, it will find a way to hit Virginia again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 1234abc, I think the reason many jumped on board the "coming NW" train was because they figured that those areas could not get yet another march snowstorm. Also, the pattern is sometimes look at as something that gradually comes north to bring on spring, and that subsequent storms will follow that north trend until they come further and further north. Not true though, as we've learned. The same areas can continue to get hit and storms can continue to be suppressed until a sudden "shock to the system", or pattern change Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 1234abc, I think the reason many jumped on board the "coming NW" train was because they figured that those areas could not get yet another march snowstorm. Also, the pattern is sometimes look at as something that gradually comes north to bring on spring, and that subsequent storms will follow that north trend until they come further and further north. Not true though, as we've learned. The same areas can continue to get hit and storms can continue to be suppressed until a sudden "shock to the system", or pattern change Sent from my iPhone Very true and very well put. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 And Here is a Post I Made 9 Days Ago About This Storm Click on the date below or just read below. I made this post 9 days ago. Sunday, March 16th, 2014 - Morning Weather DiscussionThe next storm to watch will be a developing low along the Gulf Coast next Monday. This storm will then turn northeast at the same time the Polar Vortex once again makes a visit to Southeastern Canada. This will bring us a chance for snow next Tuesday, but honestly, the way things have worked this month, if you have friends in Virginia, I would just tell them now they have a good chance at a snowstorm next Tuesday, and expect nothing more than flurries here. Of course, I am kidding, there is no way to tell exactly where this storm will end up that far in advance, but it would not surprise me if it finds a way to miss us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Nam is .01" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Of course... once Spring approaches. The funniest thing about this is that snow is not out of the question in April and I heard HM in the mid atlantic forum mention this. Of course the question will be whether it will be cold enough by then. Of course knowing our luck we'll get the perfect coastal storm but it'll be like 33-34 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 The funniest thing about this is that snow is not out of the question in April and I heard HM in the mid atlantic forum mention this. Of course the question will be whether it will be cold enough by then. Of course knowing our luck we'll get the perfect coastal storm but it'll be like 33-34 and rain. If it snows in April then the sun angle would instantly vaporize the snow on contact with the ground. JK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Time to change the avatar.... Already did that. You didn't want it enough. It wanted to listen to you, and shift west, but you didn't believe hard enough. It's missing us to the east, and it's all your fault. I hope you can sleep at night, denying all of us of our snow. Now I can, since winter is over. Just to think I stayed up until 3 am the other night when the Euro had 6-12 inches nearby If it snows in April then the sun angle would instantly vaporize the snow on contact with the ground. JK I wouldn't be shocked if we do get another storm in April ( just to see the MidAtlantic get hit again) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 HM likes another storm threat around the 1st week of April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 HM likes another storm thread around the 1st week of April Where is this being discussed? (obviously the Mid-Atlantic forum, specific thread?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 If it wasn't for the time of year, I'd be hyping the crap out of 4/5-4/10 (Matt's window). The problem, besides it being April, will be the tendency for the Plains/W-C warmth to limit the cold air coming down. Otherwise, the NAO / Atlantic become favorable for another coastal storm threat then. Here's the good news for you: typically, El Nino-type forcing promotes a ridge in the means over the Midwest-Northeast as we move deeper into spring. Eventually, that ridge is going to win; but, we have a few hiccups to get through, both with the tropical forcing itself and the NAO. Huge GEFS support for this window. Everything is there for a threat, not using Analogs: 1. Retrograding helps boost ridge in West 2. NAO signal peaks early April and retrogrades with 50-50 low / cyclonic wave breaking in Atlantic. 3. Split stratosphere supports NAO and holds cold air source in Canada. I love this potential, I just hate the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 It's great looking at that heavy band south of LI slowly building northwest. It's exactly the tease the models indicated it would be. Not a flake, snizzle, or even virga here. Time for bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/5920-nycphl-dec-26-27-potential-part-6/ ..... and then I don't feel so bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Clown in Staten Island lol http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2014/03/a_creepy_clown_is_scaring_the.html#incart_river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Pretty wild lookin at the nova scotia cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Very true and very well put. did you save all my correct posts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 1234abc, I think the reason many jumped on board the "coming NW" train was because they figured that those areas could not get yet another march snowstorm. pure wishcasting, nothing else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 It's great looking at that heavy band south of LI slowly building northwest. It's exactly the tease the models indicated it would be. Not a flake, snizzle, or even virga here. Time for bed. I should've stuck to my initial guns and said no accumulating snow at Central Park. I thought they might sneak in with 0.1" or something so I went with 0.5". Pretty much from Sunday on I thought this would be an inch or less. But it just wouldn't be March 2014 without Cape May getting another warning criteria snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 the large volume of content free posts from various members here is a real downer If you dislike this place so much why do you stick around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 If you dislike this place so much why do you stick around? +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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