WintersGrasp

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  1. HRRR still does show a couple bands coming through most of the area 7pm-9pm and also 11pm-3am. Good chance these could put down another 1-3 for most areas, maybe up to an additional 4” for the higher elevations of NWNJ through SNY. Picked up about 2” here in Essex county so another 2” would be 4” total, making it a great forecast by NWS (3-5”)
  2. 33 and cloudy right now. HRRR still does show a couple bands coming through most of the area 7pm-9pm and also 11pm-3am. Good chance these could put down another 1-3 for most areas, maybe up to an additional 4” for the higher elevations of NWNJ through SNY. Picked up about 2” here in Essex county so another 2” would be 4” total, making it a great forecast by NWS (3-5”)
  3. Should be snow north of this line I would think? Heavy precip winning the race with the mix line
  4. The mix line is headed north, but all models show this having a tough time making it up through EWR/NYC before sliding east and out. In the next 2-3 hours, much of NE-NJ through the city should pick up 3-5” as the heavy banding sets up right over our area before racing off NE. Should be fun
  5. NAM and ICON has NE NJ and NYC in the upper 20s to freezing at the surface 12z Sunday. GFS has those same areas over 50
  6. Haven't really had anything heavier than 1"/hour though...I can't see any way the 12-18" verifies. Unless the snow bands really explode in the next few hours, this should be more like a 6-10" storm with 12-14" lollipops maybe somewhere in CT, which is an awesome storm anyway
  7. Been on the northern edge of the heavier band for the last couple hours. About 4” on the ground, Essex county . Pro
  8. This gives a good idea of where that heavy band set up And more detailed : . Pro
  9. Upton totals so far : https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=txt&version=1&glossary=0 Mount Holly : https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=PHI Many places 15-20” . Pro
  10. Wow this doesn’t usually happen, but 5” here eastern Essex county. Western Essex county picked up around 20”. Insane. Usually that would only happen when you get to the areas over 800 feet up (rockaway, north and west) . Pro
  11. About 4” here...might finish with 5. Definitely the snow hole here in NE NJ. I’m really curious what the totals will be around Bound Brook...wouldn’t be surprised to see some 2’ amounts there . Pro
  12. Hoping to get in on a nice band of snow before it all pulls away. Pull west, pull west! Don’t you just loaf when the bands meat up in the end? It’s all coming back to me now... . Pro
  13. Clearly, in March, you need one of two things (both help, of course)..elevation or the best banding over your area. If you have neither, it’s very, very difficult to exceed 6” of snowfall. I feel like the last several storms have been right around 5-6” total. I do agree with the decision by the NWS to forecast amounts up to 16” though. Their maps are also very useful showing the lowest/highest amounts amounts and the chance of each happening. My forecast has been for 10-16”. 3-4” down and I could see us getting 6, maybe 7 here..but areas not too far to the SW, W, N, and NW (maybe even E on LI) will definitely get 10-12”+, easy . Pro
  14. Just to show what an incredible storm this is . Pro