aldie 22 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 0.21" here. Why are you always colder and wetter than me? Wait, did CTBlizz move? He has been colder and wetter than everyone else lately....might be time for an intervention...my new favorite word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I predicted less than 0.50" thru sunset today, yesterday, so we seem on track. I went back to at least the 18z run, and through 21z the NAM isn't actually doing that bad QPF-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 0.21" here. Why are you always colder and wetter than me? Wait, did CTBlizz move? making stuff up is fun. I just looked at 3 wx stations that record prep on Wundermap. Springfield: .38 Huntley Meadows: .35 Barcroft: .36 Seems all are fairly close to what I have so I don't know what to tell you. Temps seem cooler for me so far. Not sure why. Could be the chuck of ice i keep right next to my PWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 He has been colder and wetter than everyone else lately....might be time for an intervention...my new favorite word Desperate times call for desperate measures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 making stuff up is fun. I just looked at 3 wx stations that record prep on Wundermap. Springfield: .38 Huntley Meadows: .35 Barcroft: .36 Seems all are fairly close to what I have so I don't know what to tell you. Temps seem cooler for me so far. Not sure why. Could be the chuck of ice i keep right next to my PWS I'm too lazy to go out and check but think I'm up with you for storm totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I went back to at least the 18z run, and through 21z the NAM isn't actually doing that bad QPF-wise. I think most of the models had like 85% of the rain in 10 hours or so starting this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 EWR already in a ground stop. Gonna be some fun travels next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On the plane, was delayed 45 min due to the incoming plane. ~Sent from a device that cannot speel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 i guess we can stick to gradient talk for now. hrrr_t2m_washdc_14.png wow good golf weather, might as well enjoy it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Yay jyo says its snowing....it's rain but the station says snow so that's my ob....me and H2O....we got the ob thing going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 .37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Just drove from Frederick to Winchester. Pretty good icing on trees around Sharpsburg and Brunswick. Roads are just wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 54 at the place in Millville, DE, but still 34 here. Been stuck there all day. Wonder when I'll hit 60 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Does anyone want to discuss the 18z gfs? It looks to me like it is showing more snow than before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Definitely some glaze on the trees and bushes here. 34 with rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Rain and 38 by the train station in balt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Does anyone want to discuss the 18z gfs? It looks to me like it is showing more snow than before. It does look fairly decent.. among the better runs for snow. Sfc temps are probably an issue still and it generally favors n&w of 95. Leesburg might get frosted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Temp is up to 32.7F in Clarksburg. Stayed below freezing all day until just a few minutes ago. The glaze of ice has just started to come cracklin' down all over the place and is finally bringing down the last of the pincushion oak leaves. I'd guess the ZR total was 0.1", only on raised surfaces even tho the ground was frozen this morning. 0.49" in the bucket so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 It does look fairly decent.. among the better runs for snow. Sfc temps are probably an issue still and it generally favors n&w of 95. Leesburg might get frosted. I suppose there's been enough evidence to think snow falling from the sky for a period is becoming kinda likely. I'm pretty sure everyone in the forum would consider that a win of sorts. The usual suspects to the NW may have some photo ops. UL energy has a way of taking are of business in these parts. In this case an hour or two of snow tv at the window is plenty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I suppose there's been enough evidence to think snow falling from the sky for a period is becoming kinda likely. I'm pretty sure everyone in the forum would consider that a win of sorts. The usual suspects to the NW may have some photo ops. UL energy has a way of taking are of business in these parts. In this case an hour or two of snow tv at the window is plenty good. Yeah. I'm kinda poopooing today but it's more interesting than most of our "backlash" events with that southern 500 low/remnant passing by pretty nicely. If it was scheduled to come thru at like midnight I'd probably feel better in my backyard tho since I've downplayed today it probably will perform... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 18z GFS, looks like a snow sounding for DC from 27 hr on, after which hopefully 0.10 falls (hard to tell with the 6hr precip maps). So maybe we get a nice little period of snow after all. Looking at 18z NAM we don't get a good snow sounding til after the precip is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 18z GFS, looks like a snow sounding for DC from 27 hr on, after which maybe 0.10 falls (hard to tell with the 6hr precip maps). So maybe we get a nice little period of snow after all. 24? the 24 hr sounding is still a bit warm but it's probably rapidly cooling. the 27 is solidly snow but precip is done by then. it looks like some fraction of this would be snow around here.. which is still the same general conclusion tho could be like half non snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 the weenie cheater view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 24? the 24 hr sounding is still a bit warm but it's probably rapidly cooling. the 27 is solidly snow but precip is done by then. it looks like some fraction of this would be snow around here.. which is still the same general conclusion tho could be like half non snow? gfs_namer_027_precip_p03.gif gfs_namer_030_precip_p03.gif i'll happy take it. snow before thanksgiving is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 that weird bullseye is on almost every gfs run. it must think there is a 10,000 mtn there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 the weenie cheater view. gfs_6hr_snow_acc_washdc_21.png WinterWxLuvr probably just popped a hole in his roof looking at that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 WinterWxLuvr probably just popped a hole in his roof looking at that map. it accumulates there from hr zero. it must be one of the algorithm issues unless he hasn't checked in because he's lost power from the heavy wet snow or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 the weenie cheater view. gfs_6hr_snow_acc_washdc_21.png That says T for me. I'll take some globby flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 it accumulates there from hr zero. it must be one of the algorithm issues unless he hasn't checked in because he's lost power from the heavy wet snow or something. Ah makes more sense, that guy definitely has a portable generator so he can charge up his phone to come on americanwx . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 that weird bullseye is on almost every gfs run. it must think there is a 10,000 mtn there. the technical term is a snowboob. Kinda like a lolli only bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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