Superstorm93 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Looks like they will be in the northern eyewall. Best of luck to them with this 195 mph monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Most surreal thing is seeing twitter accounts of people completely clueless of what is about to unfold in the area....and seeing people from all around the world attempting to explain what is about to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Most surreal thing is seeing twitter accounts of people completely clueless of what is about to unfold in the area....and seeing people from all around the world attempting to explain what is about to happen. can you link some examples? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Isn't it true that one could assume the forward speed of the storm can be added (to the northern eyewall in this case) to the sustained winds? Actually, the translational speed is already taken into consideration when determining the 1-minute maximum sustained wind speed. It's not like adding a 20 mph forward speed to a 195 mph MSW to get a MSW of 215 mph. In this case, it's highly likely that the MSW of 195 mph is located in the NE quad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Josh is in just about the meteorologically worst spot he can be in (best for chasing but...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Yes,they're certainly in the eye wall, to clarify, we were discussing whether they would be inside the eyewall, i.e., in the clearing of the eye. They will be in the eyewall, they don't have to be in the middle of the eyewall to be considered in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Gotta wonder if the nrn eyewall having passed over a little bit of land may affect how things play out for Josh. It's certainly not going to weaken it by any significant margin, but you have to wonder if that little bit of increased friction is going to weaken the sustained winds ever so slightly but increase the downward turbulent flux of even higher momentum air and increase gust intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Getting raked.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 http://www.mobypicture.com/user/atomaraullo/view/16186328 http://www.mobypicture.com/user/atomaraullo/view/16186281 http://instagram.com/p/gboELfKWyn/ (wow) http://instagram.com/p/gbow7rKWz7/ https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151718881876485&set=a.10150291431706485.336369.712841484&type=1&theater you have to think many of those buildings will be gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Tanauan is where you need to be for stadium effect shots. Looks like Josh may barely clip the northeastern portion of the eye, but overall he is just going to take a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Wow, just wow. In the northern eyewall of a rapidly moving Cat 5+ storm. Probably some of the strongest winds a hurricane chaser has ever experienced. Reminds me of the Charlie video of that gas station being shredded. It almost looks like he could just very briefly break out into the eye. We probably will not hear from him for sometime, that city is going to have horrific damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 This will likely cause unprecedented damage from a TC. I fear the death toll may be substantial. Prayers for all those in harms way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 With 50k people in Tanauan, and the spread of digital cameras on cell phones, I suspect there's a good chance someone will get the holy grail picture, though it won't look as good as if one of the pros snapped it. Tanauan is where you need to be for stadium effect shots. Looks like Josh may barely clip the northeastern portion of the eye, but overall he is just going to take a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Tanauan is where you need to be for stadium effect shots. Looks like Josh may barely clip the northeastern portion of the eye, but overall he is just going to take a beating. Maybe just maybe someone would get some eye shot pictures, Tanauan seems fairly sizable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 It's got some mesovorts /pinwheels going.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Assuming he survives unscathed it might be a while for him to get in a place to communicate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Typhoon “YOLANDA” has made second landfall over Dulag-Tolosa Leyte with maximum sustained winds of 235 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 275 kph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Hopefully, the interaction with land, before it got to them, will have slightly mitigated the extreme effects they are experiencing...Although, they are no doubt getting hammered, to say the least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Is all communication with Josh down?? Thinking they may have been spared the most extreme effects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 short vid from tacloban city http://instagram.com/p/gboELfKWyn/# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Is all communication with Josh down?? Thinking they may have been spared the most extreme effects. They are sitting in the middle of the northern eyewall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 The fairly populated Tacloban city, to Tanuan area are getting the full brunt of it..There is a 3500 ft ridge it has to cross, but not until it gets to the other side of Leyte. After it crosses the ridge the next populated area it will get is the north coast of Panay. Just for reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Typhoon “YOLANDA” has made second landfall over Dulag-Tolosa Leyte with maximum sustained winds of 235 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 275 kph. That would put it around 146 mph sustained at landfall by their account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Is all communication with Josh down?? Thinking they may have been spared the most extreme effects. As much I would love to have that feeling at this point, it's 100% unwarranted. They're currently in what should be the most intense part of the eyewall per radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Typhoon “YOLANDA” has made second landfall over Dulag-Tolosa Leyte with maximum sustained winds of 235 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 275 kph. Quite a reduction from the current estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 short vid from tacloban city http://instagram.com/p/gboELfKWyn/# That's actually really intense video for their location-- facing into the courtyard of a low-rise apartment complex. 7:05 am is right near peak conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 That would put it around 146 mph sustained at landfall by their account. Yeah I doubt that. It certainly doesn't seem supported by the radar presentation, nor the satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Quite a reduction from the current estimate. PAGASA has had it much lower than JTWC through the whole thing so far I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Quite a reduction from the current estimate. how accurate is that? where are they getting the estimates from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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