weathafella Posted September 25, 2013 Author Share Posted September 25, 2013 Some great disco in the DC/MA winter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 25, 2013 Share Posted September 25, 2013 Some great disco in the DC/MA winter thread. They've gotten porked bad since '09-'10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 They've gotten porked bad since '09-'10.last winters car topper that was advertised as a blizzard was bad. Lots of good snow loving friends traveling far to get a fix. We need a 95 top to VA winter for all the weenies. 60/61 type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 They've gotten porked bad since '09-'10. And might still be above avg for snowfall over the past 4 winters. (Though that's "cake yesterday".) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 And might still be above avg for snowfall over the past 4 winters. (Though that's "cake yesterday".)Some of those spots seemed to get like a decades worth of average snowfall in that one winter...so regressing to the means might be painful. In terms of averages, that was like a 300" winter in Boston, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 Some big time cooling in the past week in the GOAK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Some of those spots seemed to get like a decades worth of average snowfall in that one winter...so regressing to the means might be painful. In terms of averages, that was like a 300" winter in Boston, lol. It wasn't that much...more like 3-4 winters worth in the jackpot zones. Probably on par with about 150-160" for Boston. But its hard to put it in terms like that since its not really comparable. It really should be done in terms of sigma values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 The GOA definitely was/is at risk for cooling so I'm not surprised there. I would think the next two weeks will cool further..perhaps significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 lol, Accuwx, There would be a lot of melt downs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 The GOA definitely was/is at risk for cooling so I'm not surprised there. I would think the next two weeks will cool further..perhaps significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Me thinks the PAC NW should start the snow season with a bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 lol, Accuwx, There would be a lot of melt downs Lol, "snow at times" and only far NNE, pretty sure the meltdowns would reach cataclysmic levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Interesting map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Lol, "snow at times" and only far NNE, pretty sure the meltdowns would reach cataclysmic levels. I take anything from them with a grain of salt, They have had some record snow ones in the past that have failed miserably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 lol, Accuwx, There would be a lot of melt downs Implying a train of cutters like what we saw the winter before last. All I'll say is that acorns falling here in my yard in NJ are huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I take anything from them with a grain of salt, They have had some record snow ones in the past that have failed miserably Yeah absolutely, an outlook released this time of the year is going to be taken about as seriously as random weenie YouTube outlooks IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I did some Boston snow research and came up with this...Boston has seen in 122 years, 100"+.......1 90-99.9" ..1 80-89.9" ..5 70-79.9" ..4 60-69.9" 14 50-59.9" 13 40-49.9" 27 30-39.9" 25 20-29.9" 19 10-19.9" 11 T-9.9"......2 52% of the time Boston gets over 40" of snow...65 of 122 years...40-49.9" has the most years......The average snowfall is in the 40's so it fits in good...25 times Boston got 60" or more...20%...Anything over 60" looks like a great winter for Boston...That's coming from a person who lives in a place where 40" is a great winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I did some Boston snow research and came up with this...Boston has seen in 122 years, 100"+.......1 90-99.9" ..1 80-89.9" ..5 70-79.9" ..4 60-69.9" 14 50-59.9" 13 40-49.9" 27 30-39.9" 25 20-29.9" 19 10-19.9" 11 T-9.9"......2 52% of the time Boston gets over 40" of snow...65 of 122 years...40-49.9" has the most years......The average snowfall is in the 40's so it fits in good...25 times Boston got 60" or more...20%...Anything over 60" looks like a great winter for Boston...That's coming from a person who lives in a place where 40" is a great winter... Keep in mind too that Logan waterfront location is not completely representative of just inland areas like Jerry in Brookline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 lol, Accuwx, There would be a lot of melt downs sure would look diff (as in completely opposite!) if JB was still with them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 sure would look diff (as in completely opposite!) if JB was still with them Yes it would, The whole country except the deep south would be covered in snow............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 lol, Accuwx, There would be a lot of melt downs "Back & Forth" is a gutsy call, lol, and "Snow At Times"... no really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Keep in mind too that Logan waterfront location is not completely representative of just inland areas like Jerry in Brookline. Areas like Back Bay over to Jamaica Plain probably average closer to 46-47" per year vs 43-44" out in Boston Harbor where Logan Airport is. The old Chestnut Hill coop used to average in the high 40s when it was still active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Accuweather has not released a winter forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Accuweather has not released a winter forecast It's from Paul Pastelok's long range blog from AccuWeather Pro. He's predicting a mild winter all the way to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Maybe you were thinking of this one?Quite likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted September 27, 2013 Share Posted September 27, 2013 "Snow at times"...are you kidding me. Somebody actually let that go out publicly? "Stormy", "Wet episodes"...ugh. That's an embarrassment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 27, 2013 Share Posted September 27, 2013 So it's accuweather vs the Old/new farmers' almanacs this winter, we'll see who is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27, 2013 Share Posted September 27, 2013 Well in looking what HM posted, SAM's MQI work and what one of our guys said here, the westerly weakening and changing of the guard did show favorable MJO activity for winter wx here in the east. Of course when the westerly wind shear weakens at 50mb is key. If it waits too long, then it might not be applicable here. We may just be on the cusp by the time we need it. In the mean time I really don't see the harm in the AK vortex at this time. We always see this in some shape or form in the Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 27, 2013 Share Posted September 27, 2013 Well in looking what HM posted, SAM's MQI work and what one of our guys said here, the westerly weakening and changing of the guard did show favorable MJO activity for winter wx here in the east. Of course when the westerly wind shear weakens at 50mb is key. If it waits too long, then it might not be applicable here. We may just be on the cusp by the time we need it. In the mean time I really don't see the harm in the AK vortex at this time. We always see this in some shape or form in the Fall. Thankfully we do not live south of NYC where the correlations with qbo, nino and the Pac are so much greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27, 2013 Share Posted September 27, 2013 Well in looking what HM posted, SAM's MQI work and what one of our guys said here, the westerly weakening and changing of the guard did show favorable MJO activity for winter wx here in the east. Of course when the westerly wind shear weakens at 50mb is key. If it waits too long, then it might not be applicable here. We may just be on the cusp by the time we need it. In the mean time I really don't see the harm in the AK vortex at this time. We always see this in some shape or form in the Fall. From a thermal wind argument alone, it's not hard to see why perhaps a weakening +QBO may try to have poleward ridges near the Aleutians or even into AK itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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