adk

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Everything posted by adk

  1. adk

    NNE Fall Thread

    About 2.5" wet paste on the ground (and everything) in BTV. Was 0" when I left the house at 5am, and when I returned at 9 there was about 2"...so it snowed pretty well this AM. I'd say 6-10" as you gained elevation. I'm sure that 10" is 12" now. Feels like NWS should have gone with a WWA for the champlain valley for this one. I know temps are "warm" but this is messy slippery snow that is falling at a good pace. Much snowier than I expected BTV to be.
  2. adk

    NNE Fall Thread

    Surprised how warm it has gotten overnight. Up to 37 in BTV and 33 in Mo-Ville. When that cold front pushes through there will be some pretty significant instability.
  3. Heavy mid-layer deformation band snows currently rotating through NE ADK and NW VT (Champlain valley). About 2-3" on the ground in BTV with bouts of heavier flakes. heaviest snow is just north it seems on the radar. Colchester on through into Franklin County look to get pasted good. ADK getting crushed.
  4. I care. West side weenie event IMO. Blocked to start. Though even fewer care about that.
  5. Has anybody seen reports from Calhoun/Liberty/interior Gulf counties? Have to think it is pretty bad there. Though since this was only a Cat1 I'm sure its fine actually.
  6. Possible. There is some archane law on the books about taking shelter when life is in danger that limits damages...they are all cases where people were caught (and not purposefully in the middle of ) bad situations. Not sure what Florida has ...likely something old related to shipwrecks. Insurance should cover it anyway though....most homeowners policies have damage coverage for breaking and entering.
  7. You left out the last part of her statement. I added it in italics. I think the devastation of the panhandles minor inland towns is going to be under-reported and tremendous. That far inland, people take a lot less care and precaution. Gonna be bad for a while.
  8. It's like saying the force of his punch will be dissipated by hitting the jaw.
  9. 930 central pressure at landfall (which we are not at yet obv) would put this in the top 10 most intense storms to landfall. Incredible.
  10. I think once those outer bands start interacting with land, intensity will decrease some. Not that it really matters. Strong Cat 4/weak cat 4 - both are totally devastating.
  11. Yea, Tyndall AFB is not going to fare well. Hopefully they moved all the Raptors out of the way. Really quick way to ramp up storm damage costs. Breaking a few hundred million dollar jets. What's going to also be interesting is how this affects N/S Carolina. Those states don't need a day of 5" of rain with 50pmh gusts. Lots of deadfall still to comedown. Looks to track right through Florence affected areas with pretty significant weather. Southeast is taking a beating this year.
  12. Yea, the NHC was very clear that this evening she was moving out of a shear environment and over warm waters with favorable conditions to strengthen. Not unheard of for a storm to ramp up a notch just before landfall. I recall Charley doing that just before landfall. Charley jumped from a messy Cat 2 to a very intense organized cat 4 in like three hours - right next to Florida.
  13. I think all the focus on the strength at LF misses the point. With a stalled forward speed the amount of rainfall on the Piedmont of NC - where there are actual hills that funnel water - is going to be catastrophic. I was just in Japan where a weak tripical system offshore earlier this summer killed 200+ people from rainfall and flash flooding. If this thing makes 10+ of rain in central NC lots and lots of terrible things will happen. Way overshadowing the impacts on the coast. That's not changing regardless of the max intensity at LF.
  14. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Way more interested in that "80 F" possibility on Wednesday. Ha.
  15. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    I ski and still would GTFO Vermont between March 15 and May 15 (maybe April 1 - June 1). Skiing doesn't justify being 4 weeks behind the rest of the world in terms of spring.
  16. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    It is unbelievable how much snow is on mansfield. Yesterday the Chin was insanely full of snow. Going to be a long, long time till that place melts out. Though, if it wanted to just be 75 and sunny from now on, I'd take it.
  17. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Half BCC drains really well. The other half is muck on top of ledge rock. Doesn't drain at all.
  18. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Starting to change...just had a few window rattlers here in downtown. Nothing too intense but I'd say 35 or so Whiteface recorded 94 already this am. So it's ripping up there good
  19. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Yea. BCC's tenative opening was the 15th. Then the 22nd. Then the 27th. Now....I have doubts about that. This ice event was brutal for soil conditions. There is so much water in the soil right now and this week is going to not dry a ounce of that water up.
  20. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Impressive cold month we have unfolding right now. First 20+ days of April are running -6 degrees below average ...don't see how that doesn't deepen this week with the highest temps barely cresting 45 in the CPV after today. CPC says we have another month of below average temps coming as well. Hopefully that means lows and sunny in May and not 50s and rain. HA
  21. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Could not agree more. I feel like April is the most divergent month between VT and the rest of the US. It's just winter here and everywhere else it's summer basically.
  22. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    Meanwhile, at my parents house in Philly this weekend:
  23. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    The golf course just pushed their opening back to April 27th. I have serious doubts that will even happen....this is def. the most sustained cold "spring" I've experienced here in VT. It will be the third week in April AT LEAST before we get that "nice" day where everybody is on church street hanging in T-shirts. Might even be May given the look of the GFS. -10c 850s all over the place! Meanwhile, NYC is gonna hit the mid 70s this weekend.
  24. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    I'd say there is about 3-4" at my house near Red Rocks Park. At my office downtown, there is easily double that. I've never seen a gradient like that. It's wild. Hopefully we see a little more warming. 89 is really REALLY sketchy in spots as last nights slush froze over with some fresh snow over it. Needs to hit 33 or 34 on those road surfaces to melt it out.
  25. adk

    NNE Winter Thread

    WOW! Down here, there is nothing of the sort. Driveway in south end has like 3" .....