Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond temps are a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Quick and dirty I'd probably go 5-8" for DC and immediate suburbs, with ~4" for DCA JYO - 10-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Really nice run of the Euro. It caved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond is rain boston gets fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 boston gets fringed they are just like we were at 84 hrs they will get hit, count on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think euro may have one more qpf increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The GFS ensembles look like someone got lazy and just copied every member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond temps are a disaster They do flip eventually, but with this north trend by 0z they may be complete rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 8 to 12 for baltimore esp nw of I 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro completely caved, looks a lot like the NAM now. Looks like a solid consensus for the area has been reached. completely caved? lol. it looks mostly the same as it did. these small nudges should be expected on any model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Reposted from the CWG Twitter page: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does it still have decent QPF making it down into SW Va southern and central VA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think euro may have one more qpf increase locally perhaps. it's actually lower on the max .. but it was too high initially probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro is really holding onto the precip longer I hope it starts increasing qpf to the east of DCA my gut says it will, and Ian's comments that it keeps moving the higher snow totals east is encouraging too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro 850 temps are cold I haven't seen any forecast considerations of Euro warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Can someone tell me the (rough) QPF and temps for IAD? I've got to worry about snow removal, as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 IAD - 1.3" QPF with 1000/500 thickness below 540 and dropping when precip starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro is really holding onto the precip longer I hope it starts increasing qpf to the east of DCA my gut says it will, and Ian's comments that it keeps moving the higher snow totals east is encouraging too it's been doing it the past few runs. i'd expect that to continue at least to a degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 IAD - 1.3" QPF Grazi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Based on no science at all, I'm going to average all the models and go 5-10 for dc, 10-15 for loudoun and 15+ west of that. Mark my words. Since the models are "science" and basically you're doing an ensemble mean, I'd say it's scientific! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Surface and/or BL temps for the Euro? Has it cooled down to the ~1C range like the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Imo if the euro ens are north of op it would be nail in the coffin to post winter storm warnings confidently. You would then naturally expect another north trend in overnight euro. You have to be curious how the rain snow line develops obviously. A place considered to be out of jackpot prestorm might luck out by being further north and west. I think as long as banding develops as modeled there will be no problem staying snow away from the normally warmer spots. An isothermal paste typhoon tip blue snow bomb might occur in spots. Significant power outages might be expected along with moderare to somewhat strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Surface and/or BL temps for the Euro? Has it cooled down to the ~1C range like the GFS? Pretty much unless your in Chester va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Surface and/or BL temps for the Euro? Has it cooled down to the ~1C range like the GFS? they still look pretty meh on the maps -- 32 well NW-- but not sure i care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Surface and/or BL temps for the Euro? Has it cooled down to the ~1C range like the GFS? It's warm, IAD is coolest, 1.3 to 1.5 during heaviest precip rises to 2 when precip falls off. BWI is 1.9-3.2 during heaviest precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Based on the 18z Wednesday map DT just posted, surface low placement at that time looks IDENTICAL between the GFS and Euro. Then the Euro does it's funky SE jog thingy and the GFS goes NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sorry about the IMBY- how does CHO do with surface temps an QPF on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It's warm, IAD is coolest, 1.3 to 1.5 during heaviest precip rises to 2 when precip falls off. BWI is 1.9-3.2 during heaviest precip. 34 degrees or so... so its a wet snow bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Based on the 18z Wednesday map DT just posted, surface low placement at that time looks IDENTICAL between the GFS and Euro. Then the Euro does it's funky SE jog thingy and the GFS does NE. if EUro loses the SE jog, I would expect heavier qpf to make it NE than currently depicted ending up similar to GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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