Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,509
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

January 21/22 Storm Obs/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 715
  • Created
  • Last Reply

most here know this.

 

Most... seemed like a "here it comes" atmosphere with some posts, when in reality bulk of our synoptic stuff is literally still over PA.

 

In any case, it's nice to see good accumulations even with this stuff... we are getting decent obs in locations with barely 20 dbz echoes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

RAP depicts this well... this is the stuff that eventually blossoms over NJ and moves up into eastern SNE (including eastern CT) by 7Z:

Yea I'm trying to guesstimate timing on things. It appears that PHL stuff heads over the ocean and interacts with/induces a mesolow? to form somewhere over SNE and enhance precip then induce the inv trough into SE ME/NH when it heads east of BOS - timing appears to be around midnight?

 

I'm not exactly sure of all the meso-processes at play but that's my best guess for timing - somewhere around midnight for round 2 to form in SNE if it forms at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yea I'm trying to guesstimate timing on things. It appears that PHL stuff heads over the ocean and interacts with/induces a mesolow? to form somewhere over SNE and enhance precip then induce the inv trough into SE ME/NH when it heads east of BOS - timing appears to be around midnight?

 

I'm not exactly sure of all the meso-processes at play but that's my best guess for timing - somewhere around midnight for round 2 to form in SNE if it forms at all.

 

Yeah that's my read as well from the RAP and HRRR... best stuff starts to develop in eastern CT / RI / SEMA around 12-1am...

 

But wow, really impressed by the visibilities we are already getting even with 20-25 dbz echoes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am surprised that Matt Noyes just said a C-2 for Boston. What do you guys think?

Could be C-2" just as it could be 4-6" or better, short range models suggest C-2" but some other mesos have us at much more, it's one of those things that we won't know really until probably midnight as it's unfolding. It's all just mesoscale processes that aren't modeled all that well.

 

That is after this initial band which should give us the C-2"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...