weathafella Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well it's snowing. Since this winter sucks, a little snow is all you can ask for. This. A pretty snow. These never produce as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 jay needs Friday. Lets pull for it. I'm not emotionally involved and neither is tip. we all need Friday-this winter has been a dead ratter for the most part out side of a couple of little systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 00z NAM is crap now. The gulf stream has failed us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Cannot believe models are showing no inverted snows for areas north now Why is that so hard to believe? Its not like they happen all winter long, There a crap shoot and you have to wait to see if they materialize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 No snow afterall eh? Not surprised. Friday will be a whiff too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 What? Are you a chick? Does Rob stand for Roberta? Is there even 1 girl on here? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I still think about 2 inches here, 3-5 SE mass, but damn, just a coating anywhere north of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 No snow afterall eh? Not surprised. Friday will be a whiff too great post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 RGEM and Euro pretty much kept that offshore all along I think. Meso models FTL. This is more of an actual coastal it seems per this NAM run. 1.25" now, only about 1/4 of snow the last 30 minutes. Yeah...I'll wait until verification before crowning a model, but it's looking like congrats Euro despite all of the bashes it took. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The gulf stream has failed us :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Sooo no snow lol? Come ahnn is it so much to ask for a snow day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 just based on tan qpf and my snowfall. looks like 25:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 No snow afterall eh? Not surprised. Friday will be a whiff too I like friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I still think about 2 inches here, 3-5 SE mass, but damn, just a coating anywhere north of the city What about in the city? I'm latching on to any bit of hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah...I'll wait until verification before crowning a model, but it's looking like congrats Euro despite all of the bashes it took. I will take the euro and run right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I fold... HRRR and RAP don't even bring the PA/NJ stuff into SNE as they did a few cycles ago, and inverted trough barely scrapes SNE. for review: Euro nailed this. Meso models were on crack. RAP was "wonky" as Box described it, but eventually settled on the right solution within < 6 hrs (assuming onset of best stuff would have been later tnite) HRRRDev1 > Primary, was a little excessive at first but then honed in on correct solution within < 6 hrs (assuming onset of best stuff would have been later tnite) MM5... may have been correct at 12z today, maybe 1-2" too high. Whatever, I think it's pedal-operated it's so f'n slow. EDIT: And of course... SREFs were probably the worst of the short-range models. NWS changes map by 11pm... Tis the winter of our discontent (as Messenger had in his sig). Erring conservative generally wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah...I'll wait until verification before crowning a model, but it's looking like congrats Euro despite all of the bashes it took. It's gonna be too light I think on the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The gulf stream has failed us NCEP models failed you. SREFs (if this plays out like the HRRR/RAP and new NAM) are having a horrific period. I don't think the R/GGEM/Euro were ever on board. I need this stuff over LI sound to make it up here or I'm in trouble too. The SE coast should do fine as now instead of a trough type deal it's more of a coastal. But it's going to be tight. Feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I still like this for Cape Cod, MA, areas further north not so much. We will get in on those bands in NJ as the low heads ENEward towards the BM, according to the HPC low takes a BM track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro is king again-what a surprise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Some of the srefs are pretty sweet for SE NH/ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 light snow pixie dusting ongoing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 light snow pixie dusting ongoing public works can go to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Euro is king again-what a surprise... Trying to get the title back from its epic 12hr fail the other night. This never looked good for BOS anyways so I don't care what models showed. Whenever you are in the 7-10 split, it sux. I said this even yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Some of the srefs are pretty sweet for SE NH/ME for BOS ... SREFs were 3-15" at 15z then 0-2" at 21z lol. There have been flags for BOS all along being in between the two bands, oh well. Hope the next one works out and maybe we pull out 2" of light stuff overnight. Nice wintry scene out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's gonna be too light I think on the south coast. And in central and south jersey. Nam nailed the the snow there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Trying to get the title back from its epic 12hr fail the other night. This never looked good for BOS anyways so I don't care what models showed. Whenever you are in the 7-10 split, it sux. I said this even yesterday. agree with you on the bust-but whenever the Euro doesnt have something, there's always cause for concern IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's gonna be too light I think on the south coast. Echoes are vanishing up over me, this is really light snow having a hard time really accumulating here. It's going to be close Scott, if that stuff to my SW doesn't make a better push this time I may be about to wrap it up here. The last batch never made it. Maybe the Cape does better but the coating to 2 or 3 seems pretty good here right now. Other tell on this one was the JMA. If that model gives you less than .25" that's not a terrific sign. Let's wait for verification time, but the NAM seems to have the idea down on where this precip actually is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I just told the local paper I'm expecting 3-6". Hoping THAT pans out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hopefully at least pull enough snow out to cover the ground.... want to maximize cold shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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