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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread II

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

There would be a tornado warning at LSC when I'm home.

LOL right over LSC.

TORNADO WARNING

VTC005-009-015-019-292015-

/O.NEW.KBTV.TO.W.0003.120529T1912Z-120529T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT

312 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN CALEDONIA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...

EAST CENTRAL LAMOILLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...

SOUTHERN ORLEANS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...

SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT.

* AT 307 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE POSSIBLE

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ALBANY CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...

WEST GLOVER...BARTON...GLOVER...STANNARD...SHEFFIELD...SUTTON...

NORTH DANVILLE...WEST BURKE...EAST BURKE...LYNDONVILLE...EAST

BURKE...EAST HAVEN...

THIS TORNADIC STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT

LINE WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

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Allenson

Allenson

Posted
Posted

More obvious even on loops, there is a boundary ( I suppose the backdoor front?) near the Connecticut River- while storms will quickly become elevated when the cross it, but as they are crossing it (ie, ORH area) that could be magic ingredient for spin ups.

Yeah, the real warm stuff hasn't gotten here and not sure it will. We've been in the low/mid 60s all day here, hopefully taking some of the punch out of things.

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OSUmetstud

OSUmetstud

Posted
Posted

That meso will act like a vacuum and enhance updraft strength.

could be one of those days with big cape and moderate deep layer shear but just not quite enough 0-1km helicity/speed shear to get tornadogenesis. I've seen days in TX with monster mesos (way bigger than these) and it was just a big hail/wind day...no tornadoes.

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wxsniss

wxsniss

Posted
Posted

new MCD:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0962

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0226 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN/UPSTATE NY...WRN MA...VT

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 313...

VALID 291926Z - 292030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 313 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE WW AREA. SIGNIFICANT HAIL

AND DMGG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS THAT CAN

DEVELOP. A SMALL SEVERE WW MAY BE NEEDED EAST OF WW313.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINES HAVE

DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WW AREA IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS

WITH THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE W. WITH THE SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN

LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...A MORE NOTABLE STORM HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WARM

FRONT OVER FAR NERN VT/NWRN NH. VAD WIND PROFILE DATA AT BURLINGTON

SUGGESTS 175 M2/S2 0-3 KM SRH...WITH A LOCALIZED ENHANCEMENT LIKELY

GIVEN BACKED WINDS NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. COMBINED WITH THE

AMBIENT AIR MASS...AN ISOLATED TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE. STORMS ARE

EXPECTED TO BECOME ELEVATED AS CONVECTION PROGRESSES INTO THE

UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO THE EAST OF THE WARM FRONT.

OVER UPSTATE NY...ANOTHER LINE OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE

CANADA/U.S. BORDER...AND MAY GRADUALLY PROGRESS INTO THE WW AREA.

..HURLBUT.. 05/29/2012

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

In Troy, NY now...watching the radar. Watching the stuff developing to the SW

Dude you are in a perfect spot. Local SVR maxima. East side of the river and west slopes of Taconics. Storms act on the valley moisture then hit the terrain. Averill Park, Greenbush, Berlin (2000ft), Renssaeler, etc get crushed a lot of the time.

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