wxmanmitch Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Congrats on 1-3 tonight Not sure, atmosphere is kind of warm. I bet a lot of it's mixed precip and not snow, but we may get something. The WSW to ENE motion brings most of it toward VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 That's so typical though for these squall lines to fall apart on approach to the Hudson Valley. This one holds together just long enough for me on the NAM. But then they can upslope and have second life. The Hudson Valley is a snow desert on any kind of westerly wind component. Squall line right now bearing down on me and my bet is it will just about shot by the time it reaches the Hudson River. Not quite sure why the NAM disintegrates the squall line as it moves east toward New England. Column looks pretty moist. Regardless, these are the type of things that can get pretty wild here in the Berks as these lines get orographically enhanced sometimes as they pass through. I remember some wild ones from January 2004 with some of those arctic FROPAs that put down a flash 3-4" of fluff snow in an hour. They were a nice break from the monotony of that cold, dry period. Could get fun here tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Gawd I could use a good WINDEX blow right now Legs are mush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Tonight's squall line, almost on it's last legs, managed a very wind whipped moderate wet snow for about 10 minutes. Just a coating - and temperature was 34-35. Looks like it's holding together a bit longer north of here. Gawd I could use a good WINDEX blow right now Legs are mush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 0z nam bit of a bummer not much if anything measurable for tomorrow night....hopefully things change starting with goofus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 0z nam bit of a bummer not much if anything measurable for tomorrow night....hopefully things change starting with goofus. Odd in that parameters still there on soundings, dry low level might screw the pooch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 About to get into a fight with falcon fans...asshles???worse in spports Was at the game tonight, Nothing like walking up to the ticket window and paying $7 and sitting at center ice. BTW that's 11 in a row for your heroes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 gfs same, conflicting signals......but the last two runs of both the gfs and nam are drier. Lets hope things look better in the am, potential is there. Ground truth nam and gfs in kahooootz. Looks good out by the cape and se mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2012 Author Share Posted January 29, 2012 Sorry...that last post was supposed to be in the sports thread and I didn't event know I wrote that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I wouldn't focus too much on qpf charts with this type of deal. While I think the best stuff will probably be to the west of new england (and then probably refire over the warmer ocean), I think this is something we need to watch for quick convective squalls with isold lightning. Low level moisture could be better, but it's pretty rare to see NAM FOUS data have an LI of 0 in the middle of winter in any scenario. I think tomorrow night will be interesting. Then, just after the front passes the potential for an hour or two window of 50 mph wind gusts with the pressure rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I wouldn't focus too much on qpf charts with this type of deal. While I think the best stuff will probably be to the west of new england (and then probably refire over the warmer ocean), I think this is something we need to watch for quick convective squalls with isold lightning. Low level moisture could be better, but it's pretty rare to see NAM FOUS data have an LI of 0 in the middle of winter in any scenario. I think tomorrow night will be interesting. Then, just after the front passes the potential for an hour or two window of 50 mph wind gusts with the pressure rises. Agreed. I think the best bet for some accumulation is from the Greens, Berks and points west. This may be one of those deals where the mountains/hills in WNE gobble up some of the moisture and get accumulations (generally 1-3") while points east get a quick, but possibly impressive squall and a quick coating to half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 29, 2012 Author Share Posted January 29, 2012 I wouldn't focus too much on qpf charts with this type of deal. While I think the best stuff will probably be to the west of new england (and then probably refire over the warmer ocean), I think this is something we need to watch for quick convective squalls with isold lightning. Low level moisture could be better, but it's pretty rare to see NAM FOUS data have an LI of 0 in the middle of winter in any scenario. I think tomorrow night will be interesting. Then, just after the front passes the potential for an hour or two window of 50 mph wind gusts with the pressure rises. I was waiting for you to post!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 About to get into a fight with falcon fans...asshles???worse in spports Saw a whale/falcons game in early Jan...whale lost it in a shootout 5-4. Back on topic, interesting dynamics from tomorrows WINDEX event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The 00z SPC WRF (a model I have been watching and have generally liked) really re-ignites the line across Eastern CT eastward. We really need to watch this. http://www.emc.ncep....animate_1h.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The 00z SPC WRF (a model I have been watching and have generally liked) really re-ignites the line across Eastern CT eastward. We really need to watch this. http://www.emc.ncep....animate_1h.html Squall line going through at 2am and having to be up at 6am FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The 00z SPC WRF (a model I have been watching and have generally liked) really re-ignites the line across Eastern CT eastward. We really need to watch this. http://www.emc.ncep....animate_1h.html Just looked at that, Do you remember a mid winter TT of 61 in a cold Env? At an all night indoor charity Womans softball tourney, nice views. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Just looked at that, Do you remember a mid winter TT of 61 in a cold Env? At an all night indoor charity Womans softball tourney, nice views. I 've seen near 60 a few times, but it's pretty damn rare. pics? :-p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Euro Skew TS crazy too, but little precip, meso models should be interesting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 BTV continues with its thinking of a period of heavy snowfall tonight with whiteout conditions. I love the "Heavy Snow" graphic the NWS puts up on the point 'n click... still have 2-4" in the forecast for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The 00z SPC WRF (a model I have been watching and have generally liked) really re-ignites the line across Eastern CT eastward. We really need to watch this. http://www.emc.ncep....animate_1h.html Really shows nicely in eastern SNE. For many of the rest of us, not so much. But we'll see how that plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 This is for Ginx... Tim Kelley sent me a text at 5:30 this morning and it said, "Weir is hyped for tonight, saying 6 inches +" Can never feel bad about an event when Windex Weir Lundstedt is on board. Gonna get ripped in the northern Greens tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 This is for Ginx... Tim Kelley sent me a text at 5:30 this morning and it said, "Weir is hyped for tonight, saying 6 inches +" Can never feel bad about an event when Windex Weir Lundstedt is on board. Gonna get ripped in the northern Greens tonight. Congrats! BOX is disappointing for their CWA with: ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LITTLE...A TRACE TO LESS THAN HALF OF AN INCH AS THERE . ALY throws some bones to their northern reaches: THERE COULD BE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE NORTHERN AREAS WITH LOCAL DUSTINGS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 SPC WRF makes sense. Gets a taste of the moisture and fires up over ern areas. I really like that model as well on a mesoscale level. Some of the other models seem to fire the line up as it moves into ern areas so we'll see.Soundings continue impressive. Could be some weird stuff happening later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 LOL, pretty unstable over Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Looks like a yawner for SNE . Only this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Looks like a yawner for SNE . Only this winter Probably for your area. Should be some interesting stuff around..maybe more towards Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Probably for your area. Should be some interesting stuff around..maybe more towards Phil. Looks like for almost everyone even the Berks. Phils area is probably rain or a mix if he gets anything. We have all these crazy parameters and almost nothing is going to happen except some wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Looks like for almost everyone even the Berks. Phils area is probably rain or a mix if he gets anything. We have all these crazy parameters and almost nothing is going to happen except some wind Did you actually look at anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Did you actually look at anything? Nothing American Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Nothing American They all look the same. I think once it taps into some moisture, something may form and move east. It could happen just to your east, but I think ctrl and ern areas may see some interesting stuff. It may not be widespread, but some might. That's how it goes with these things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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