Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Relevant http://www.theweathe...ermo/interpret/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 The one thing that stands out to me is the instability spike...occurs right when the strongest low level moisture advects in. Seeing a major instability spike like that tells me there will be some intense lift just ahead of the front which the models won't pick up on unfortunately. Another thing that stands out is the actual instability gradient that will be in place between central and eastern sections...another area where lift will be enhanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Relevant http://www.theweathe...ermo/interpret/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 The one thing that stands out to me is the instability spike...occurs right when the strongest low level moisture advects in. Seeing a major instability spike like that tells me there will be some intense lift just ahead of the front which the models won't pick up on unfortunately. Another thing that stands out is the actual instability gradient that will be in place between central and eastern sections...another area where lift will be enhanced. wet microburst, snownado gust front?, should be interesting, wish it was daytime though. absurd Cape near the Cape and Block island for winter, what the heck is going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 wet microburst, snownado gust front?, should be interesting, wish it was daytime though. absurd Cape near the Cape and Block island for winter, what the heck is going on. I wish it was during the day as well. What's going on??? How often do you see -30 to -40C at 500mb here and -20 to -30C at 700mb here? That is pretty crazy...especially when sfc temps will be in the 30s to near 40 in plaaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 nice face plant dude , holy crap Thanks Steve, Eye is now swollen shut. Lots of stinging pain haha. Went to do a cork 900 and at about 720 I saw the ground and knew I was in for a slam. People screamed and I just looked up and gave the devil horns with a bloody face haha. Lift is right over the jump. What I meant to do What happened.. aint easy being extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Thanks Steve, Eye is now swollen shut. Lots of stinging pain haha. Went to do a cork 900 and at about 720 I saw the ground and knew I was in for a slam. People screamed and I just looked up and gave the devil horns with a bloody face haha. Lift is right over the jump. What I meant to do What happened.. aint easy being extreme Looks like you're pretending to keep that eye shut. Can tell by the wrinkles on your forehead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 Looks like you're pretending to keep that eye shut. Can tell by the wrinkles on your forehead I'm going to give you a weenie from the bar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 I love how I can weenie from the bar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Looks like you're pretending to keep that eye shut. Can tell by the wrinkles on your forehead The wrinkles are from the extreme amount of pain that the littlest bit of light causes to my eye. You just wish you had the balls to do what I do...instead you put on short shorts and run for hours at a time. #Extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 banter thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 banter thread? Every time I start a thread this happens. Does this mean this thread will be locked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Every time I start a thread this happens. Does this mean this thread will be locked? Lol...no, but it should be kept on topic about the windex potential tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Every time I start a thread this happens. Does this mean this thread will be locked? We moved the cat fight to the obs thread, enjoy your game tonight and to everyone I wish you all good luck on the models later tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Quite the disconnect between this thread and the forecasts (at least my ZFP). MAZ002-290900- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 415 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Lol...no, but it should be kept on topic about the windex potential tomorrow night. Can not remember TTs and BBr numbers so high in such a cold environment, absurd really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Quite the disconnect between this thread and the forecasts (at least my ZFP). MAZ002-290900- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 415 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. That is why this is your best source of wx info bro.We have time to dig deep. If these soundings stay as they are tomorrow you might see a change in your P&C fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 Lol...no, but it should be kept on topic about the windex potential tomorrow night. I agree...how often do we see TTs in the 60s here with mlvl lapse rates near 9 c/km? I'm literally in awe over that...you never see that here...even 5/31/98 and 6/1 wasn't like that. I hope Ekster gives some thoughts on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 Can not remember TTs and BBr numbers so high in such a cold environment, absurd really. As long as I've looked at soundinds...since 2997 I've never seen tts above 58here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 As long as I've looked at soundinds...since 2997 I've never seen tts above 58here time machine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 I agree...how often do we see TTs in the 60s here with mlvl lapse rates near 9 c/km? I'm literally in awe over that...you never see that here...even 5/31/98 and 6/1 wasn't like that. I hope Ekster gives some thoughts on this. You can get those lapse rates in the winter sometimes. Lapse rates are simply the rate at which temp decreases as you go up into the atmosphere. In the winter, you can have steep lapse rates...it's just that the overall atmosphere is colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 time machine? I'm not good at typing on my phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 You can get those lapse rates in the winter sometimes. Lapse rates are simply the rate at which temp decreases as you go up into the atmosphere. In the winter, you can have steep lapse rates...it's just that the overall atmosphere is colder. Really? I stand corrected...I never look at those much in winter...I'm a poop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Really? I stand corrected...I never look at those much in winter...I'm a poop Well I've never seen them this steep, but you can get them in WINDEX deals, and even near dryslots in storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 28, 2012 Author Share Posted January 28, 2012 Well I've never seen them this steep, but you can get them in WINDEX deals, and even near dryslots in storms. Interesting. Remember the windex last winter? Was like november or something...there was hail!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! What we're lapse rates in mid levels? That's when I had no cpu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Quite the disconnect between this thread and the forecasts (at least my ZFP). MAZ002-290900- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 415 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. Depends on the NWS office... I think you guys in the Berks have a solid chance at a 2-3" snowfall. LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 556 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012 .SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 That is why this is your best source of wx info bro.We have time to dig deep. If these soundings stay as they are tomorrow you might see a change in your P&C fetish. Agreed, Steve. Point of correction though--I have a qpf fetish, not a p and c one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Not quite sure why the NAM disintegrates the squall line as it moves east toward New England. Column looks pretty moist. Regardless, these are the type of things that can get pretty wild here in the Berks as these lines get orographically enhanced sometimes as they pass through. I remember some wild ones from January 2004 with some of those arctic FROPAs that put down a flash 3-4" of fluff snow in an hour. They were a nice break from the monotony of that cold, dry period. Could get fun here tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Slightly OT for this thread since it focuses on tomorrow night's threat, but there's an incoming line of snow or mixed precip just to my west out in NY. Some nice 35-40 dBZ echoes in there. I'll post if it gets interesting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Slightly OT for this thread since it focuses on tomorrow night's threat, but there's an incoming line of snow or mixed precip just to my west out in NY. Some nice 35-40 dBZ echoes in there. I'll post if it gets interesting here. Congrats on 1-3 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.