weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The 6z GFS/NAM *slightly* backed off on the highest wind gust potential across northern CT...probably just enough to continue warrenting the wind advisory rather than a HWW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Paul--when do you anticipate these zephyrs to kick in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Paul--when do you anticipate these zephyrs to kick in? Once the front really begins to close in the winds will start to increase rather quickly...in fact, just ahead of the front there could be a pretty decent temperature spike as southerly/southwesterly winds increase...this is how you'll know when the front is near. As soon as the front passes though there will be a major wind shift and the CAA will start to kick in. All this should begin taking place over the next few hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Once the front really begins to close in the winds will start to increase rather quickly...in fact, just ahead of the front there could be a pretty decent temperature spike as southerly/southwesterly winds increase...this is how you'll know when the front is near. As soon as the front passes though there will be a major wind shift and the CAA will start to kick in. All this should begin taking place over the next few hours or so. Thanks--hopefully that spike will be short-lived! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Thanks--hopefully that spike will be short-lived! Yeah any spike will be brief and will actually be much more apparent the further south you go...so far the strongest spikes are occurring across southern CT so perhaps this effect will be confined more towards central and southern CT than it will be for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Temps will definitely spike near and just behind the front like we talked about yesterday, but should fall quickly later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 Where are the HWW? Expect them to be upgraded regionwide today i think e/se areas could/will flirt with HWW (more warranted today than yesterday - don't know what that was about) this afternoon. for the rest of the area, the advisory is justified and should actually verify for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 WHat a torch outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Is the front on time? When is it expected in vt/wne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Newark gusting to 51 mph! bobmaxon (Bob Maxon) MESONET observation at Newark Airport gusting to 51 MPH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Paul, My Wife just came back from running and she said that around 6:45, there was pea size hail. Enough to accumulate and make it slippery to run. That's the 2nd time this winter that we've had hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Paul, My Wife just came back from running and she said that around 6:45, there was pea size hail. Enough to accumulate and make it slippery to run. That's the 2nd time this winter that we've had hail. Awesome! Thanks for the report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 30.4F and ZR here...everything covered in ice. Should see us finally crack freezing for a couple hours later this morning before we fall again. That snow pack is going to turn into a solid brick once we plummet later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 30.4F and ZR here...everything covered in ice. Should see us finally crack freezing for a couple hours later this morning before we fall again. That snow pack is going to turn into a solid brick once we plummet later. That's awesome. I was surprised to see that ob from orh this morning...thought spots might tick up back to 33/34 late last night after the evening drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Balmy 40F+ out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The sleet is ridiculoudly loud up here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Just started sleeting up this way. Precipitation is trucking northward as are the clouds up near the summit. There must be some serious wind right off the deck. Going to be fun to mix that down when the cold front moves through. Our internal forecast is calling for gusts up to 55mph this afternoon, with locally higher gusts around midday. Impressive obs out of upstate NY... quick vis drops to 1/2sm or less when it changes over. ASOS ticking at 0.15-0.20" of liquid per hour out there at SYR and ART. Definitely some forcing associated with this. All forecasts calling for roughly 4-8" of new snow from noon today through noon tomorrow from upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 50-60 kt winds just offshore now working their way into RI/SE MA and llvl lapse rates should be on the increase soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 EWR is down to 37F now with some snow/rain mixed. that's a pretty good drop . it was 50F there just a couple of hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 -RASN here with the sun out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Rain/snow sun showers here in Stamford.....officially our first trace since October lol........horribke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Flash freeze here as rain showers turned to heavy snow for short time...now a lighter snow shower. It dropped about .4". We were at 31-32 all night with fog and freezing drizzle. It spiked to 37 before arctic fropa and now back down to 30.5. -RASN here with the sun out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 snowing here now, maybe well snag 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 12z nam and 13z ruc soundings say it really rips out here late afternoon 3 or 4PM-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 50-60 kt winds just offshore now working their way into RI/SE MA and llvl lapse rates should be on the increase soon Great. I bet you're all freaking giddy inside. Enjoy the freaking wind as it's all we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 12z nam and 13z ruc soundings say it really rips out here late afternoon 3 or 4PM-ish. with Sun you will be mixing very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Front went through here around 9:45. Could really tell when it did. Winds suddenly shifted from E to SW and things temporarily cleared out. Currently getting a RA/SN mix with dropping temperatures. Peaked at 39.0° F as front came through. Now down to 37.0° F and dropping fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 12z nam and 13z ruc soundings say it really rips out here late afternoon 3 or 4PM-ish. Yeah the period from 3-6 PM is when the strongest gusts should occur I think...at least that's what's being presented on the models and bufkit. That's when not only the core of the strongest winds will be aloft but the llvl lapse rates will be steepest as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Here in Ansonia (north of New Haven) Winds picked up, but we just started spitting granules I have pics I will post soon....and a quick swual with snow and a little rain mixed in.... I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 BUF/ROC/SYR and environs getting crushed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.