ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 No way.. there's no chance of this as a cat 1 in hfd We need a fookin miracle.of Delmarva They must be seeing something, I guess well find out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 look how far w the center is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 look how far w the center is. Rain or winds? Lol Remember that noreaster two weeks ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 You guys can take this crap to the b**ch thread. I'll be happy with what we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 You guys can take this crap to the b**ch thread. I'll be happy with what we get. Even Mets are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Nhc, many mets, twc still all have this as a cat 1 on second landfall. You guys should really relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 You guys can take this crap to the b**ch thread. I'll be happy with what we get. you are right, we know a storm is coming and that's the good news. I agree, it is more interesting than arguing over low temps or the usual boredom. However, it's also clear the more west track is going to steal some thunder that we wish we had seen. Have fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Nhc, many mets, twc still all have this as a cat 1 on second landfall. You guys should really relax Ok that means winds could be 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 you are right, we know a storm is coming and that's the good news. I agree, it is more interesting than arguing over low temps or the usual boredom. However, it's also clear the more west track is going to steal some thunder that we wish we had seen. Have fun. Woty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I've been so unable to follow this storm the last few days. But, Pete, Chris and I all have the identical forecasts with the "excess of 4" rains wording and the gusts of up to 85mph. I have to think that those winds will be too high for us on the western side? What do I know. You folks out east can enjoy the winds without the deluges. Not a bad deal in my mind. QPF fetish be damned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Even with the weakening, there is a large wind field to the east of the center. This is a large circulation with Irene. There is good divergence and upper air evacuation to the N of the cyclone when the system approaches western LI. This helps offset weaking a little anyway.. or maybe I'm reaching. Decent inland wind gusts in SNE seem reasonable. A nice storm. We don't want catastrophy anyway with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 well looks like TS or Cat 1 she is coming with plenty of rain and decent wind, either way still a good storm for SNE, beggers can' t be choosers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The live reporters in nc really aren't showing too much wind lol "Gusts to 50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The live reporters in nc really aren't showing too much wind lol "Gusts to 50" Well MRH has gusted to 59kt and HSE 73kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just stop the BS, this is going to be good. Sunday: Tropical storm conditions expected, with hurricane conditions possible. Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 3pm, then rain likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. High near 75. East wind 50 to 60 mph becoming south between 45 and 65 mph. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Well MRH has gusted to 59kt and HSE 73kt. I know I just don't know why they keep cutting to reporters standing in 40kt winds. Twc really didn't put anyone in hatteras? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Thats right, I agree with big boy Ginx.. this will be decent. Stop whining in this thread. .SUNDAY...RAIN. PATCHY FOG. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. STRONG WINDS AND HUMID. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 45 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND...INCREASING TO 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 85 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. PATCHY FOG. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. STRONG WINDS AND LESS HUMID WITH LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just stop the BS, this is going to be good. Sunday: Tropical storm conditions expected, with hurricane conditions possible. Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 3pm, then rain likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog. High near 75. East wind 50 to 60 mph becoming south between 45 and 65 mph. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible. Well said, Steve. Rainshield is on my doorstep over on the eastern shore. I'll be meeting my daughters for breakfast; should be on the road by 9:30a.m. Hopefully I won't encounter too much traffic as the storm nips at my heels up the coast.. I have to remember to buy coffee on the way home. What a sucky storm it would be without a couple pots of joe. 76/64 here at BWI 60.8/59 at the Pit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Sitting here at my condo on the water in Falmouth (albeit on a 30 ft bluff). My sister's wedding hasn't been cancelled for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Absolute weenie gold happening here.....a must see.... http://www.ustream.tv/channel/live-severe-weather-webcam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I hope i can get some of you off the edge of the cliffs you're on sustained... gusts in knots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Sitting here at my condo on the water in Falmouth (albeit on a 30 ft bluff). My sister's wedding hasn't been cancelled for now. My first wedding was during the aftermath of Hurricane Bob. The Old Lyme Country Club was without power until less than 12 hours before start-time. Went off without a hitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just getting up and taking a look at Hype-o-cane Irene. Looks like models went west a bit overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I hope i can get some of you off the edge of the cliffs you're on sustained... gusts in knots... What is the link for these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 All systems go. Gusting to 85 over HAT now..We're gonna rock.. 16 miles in the books Nice to come home to this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What is the link for these? http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/wfo/sectors/box.php#tabs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 http://www.weather.g...rs/box.php#tabs Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Roll with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Buoy near Moorehead failed to reach hurricane criteria. So far has any ocean or land location other than the drop from the NHC maintained that this is even a hurricane? Dry air really just wiped this thing out yesterday, interesting case study. I really don't ever recall seeing a hurricane bumped so tight up against that much dry air aloft..and thanks to the drought at the surface. One of the mets made a point about it ingesting dry air yesterday off the drought ridden land. There were reasons why that was't exactly the case (they were right inflow was mainly from east of Florida), but it had to have some effect when all else was pretty good including marginal/weak shear. NHC was right the system lost it's core. Their track has been very good all things considered. About 150 miles east of landfall winds are not yet at TS storm force. Best chance comes in a bit out there http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=41001 Cape Lookout peaked at just under 60 knots pre "landfall" in sustained winds. Going to be a messy day Sunday, flooding problems. With the storm west I'm probably thinking about 58-60 wind max gust at Falmouth Otis, PYM airport maybe 57. PVD 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Buoy near Moorehead failed to reach hurricane criteria. So far has any ocean or land location other than the drop from the NHC maintained that this is even a hurricane? Dry air really just wiped this thing out yesterday, interesting case study. I really don't ever recall seeing a hurricane bumped so tight up against that much dry air aloft..and thanks to the drought at the surface. One of the mets made a point about it ingesting dry air yesterday off the drought ridden land. There were reasons why that was't exactly the case (they were right inflow was mainly from east of Florida), but it had to have some effect when all else was pretty good including marginal/weak shear. NHC was right the system lost it's core. Their track has been very good all things considered. About 150 miles east of landfall winds are not yet at TS storm force. Best chance comes in a bit out there http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=41001 Cape Lookout peaked at just under 60 knots pre "landfall" in sustained winds. Going to be a messy day Sunday, flooding problems. With the storm west I'm probably thinking about 58-60 wind max gust at Falmouth Otis, PYM airport maybe 57. PVD 65. There have been gusts on the OBX to 110 mph sustianed at 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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