yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Can someone please post images of the wx porn from wundermap on here? I can only get 1-2 time steps to load on wunderground (and neither of them is when Irene is around). They should be up now... 63-69 is when we have our biggest wind and rain issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 QPF for the airports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 not getting in... wusa9 wusa9 Mayor Announces Mandatory Evacuation Of Ocean City bit.ly/mZckgN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 crappy servers. anyway.....5-10" of rain, 100 mph winds and 4-8 ft surge in OC. I'm in the process of relocating my ark to OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 QPF for the airports? Rough guess 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 How does one entertain oneself if power is lost? I'm way to dependent on electronic devices haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I think the funniest and most noteworthy part of his post is that he's driving a mini van. That's so he can load it up with technical equipment and probably a life raft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 MANDATORY EVAC OCEAN CITY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 How does one entertain oneself if power is lost? I'm way to dependent on electronic devices haha! Fart in a mud puddle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 How does one entertain oneself if power is lost? I'm way to dependent on electronic devices haha! Use your hand head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Question for the METS: The track, whether just offshore of VA Beach or over it, seems to result in forecasts of very little rain in the Shenandoah Valley (what a shock). However, if this same track were for a Nor'easter, we'd be in line for some serious snow (assuming it were cold enough). What is the difference in these two cases that results in such a sharp cut-off in the precip sheild on the west side of Irene? The nor'easter coming from that direction would gives us persistent ENE winds supplying abundant moisture, but in Irene's case I see we are forecasted for dry NW winds. Is it the lack of Gulf moisture that a storm coming out of the SE would provide? Appreciate anyone's explanation. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 WAMU is reporting that Ocean City MD is being evacuated; everyone out by 5 pm tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 25, 2011 Author Share Posted August 25, 2011 http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html Irene's storm surge potentially extremely dangerous for the mid-Atlantic coast Irene's large size, slow motion, arrival at high tide, and Category 3 strength at landfall in North Carolina will likely drive a storm surge of 8 - 10 feet into the heads of bays in Pamlico Sound, and 3 - 6 feet in Albemarle Sound. As the storm progresses northwards, potential storm surge heights grow due to the shape of the coast and depth of the ocean, though the storm will be weakening. If Irene is a Category 1 storm as it crosses into Virginia, it can send a storm surge of 4 - 8 feet into Chesapeake Bay and Norfolk. I give a 50% chance that the surge from Irene in those locations will exceed the record surges observed in 2003 during Hurricane Isabel. The region I am most concerned about, though, is the stretch of coast running from southern Maryland to Central New Jersey, including Delaware and the cities of Ocean City and Atlantic City. A Category 1 hurricane can bring a storm surge of 5 - 9 feet here. Irene's large size, slow movement, and arrival at the highest tide of the month could easily bring a surge one Category higher than the storm's winds might suggest, resulting in a Category 2 type inundation along the coast, near 10 - 15 feet. This portion of the coast has no hurricane experience, and loss of life could be heavy if evacuation orders are not heeded. I give a 30% chance that the storm surge from Irene will bring water depths in excess of 10 feet to the coasts of Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey. Figure 3. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would push a storm surge along the Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey coasts in a worst-case scenario. The image was generated using the primary computer model used by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to forecast storm surge--the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model. The accuracy of the SLOSH model is advertised as plus or minus 20%. This "Maximum Water Depth" image shows the water depth at each grid cell of the SLOSH domain. Thus, if you are inland at an elevation of ten feet above mean sea level, and the combined storm surge and tide (the "storm tide") is fifteen feet at your location, the water depth image will show five feet of inundation. This Maximum of the "Maximum Envelope of Waters" (MOM) image was generated for high tide and is a composite of the maximum storm surge found for dozens of individual runs of different Category 2 storms with different tracks. Thus, no single storm will be able to cause the level of flooding depicted in this SLOSH storm surge image. Consult our Storm Surge Inundation Maps page for more storm surge images of the mid-Atlantic coast. Figure 4. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would push a storm surge along the New Jersey coast in a worst-case scenario. Water depths could reach 6 - 8 feet above ground level in Ocean City and Atlantic City, and up to 16 feet along less populated sections of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 MD/VA/NJ/NC state of emergency now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Euro should be rolling out soon - hold steady from 0z? What is everyones thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Dr. Greg Forbes HEAVY RAIN FROM IRENE FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING Many places in east NC, east VA, central and east MD, DE, east PA, NJ, south- east NY, CT, RI, MA, VT, NH, and west ME are likely to get 6 inches or more of rain from Irene, with quite a few places getting 12 inches or more with serious flooding in many places. a few seconds ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 My neighborhood is totally going to go underwater this weekend. Good thing I live on the highest point available. Getting out may be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 What's the altitude of the highest point in Ocean City? ~20-30 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 OCEAN CITY, Md. (WUSA) - 9NEWS NOW reporter Scott Broom said Ocean City's Mayor Richard Meehan and members of the city council announced a mandatory evacuation of Ocean City beginning at midnight in preparation for Hurricane Irene. Broom said Meehan asked people to prepare now to pack up and leave. After midnight the mayor said police will not allow unauthorized people or vehicles to enter the city. http://www.wusa9.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=164291 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Generators are already sold out across the area. Thank goodness for Amazon Prime's $3.99 one-day shipping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Dr. Greg Forbes HEAVY RAIN FROM IRENE FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING Many places in east NC, east VA, central and east MD, DE, east PA, NJ, south- east NY, CT, RI, MA, VT, NH, and west ME are likely to get 6 inches or more of rain from Irene, with quite a few places getting 12 inches or more with serious flooding in many places. a few seconds ago That's pretty much the HPC forecast and that of the GFS and Euro. Add to that the already wet soil conditions and we're talkign flooding and power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Question for the METS: The track, whether just offshore of VA Beach or over it, seems to result in forecasts of very little rain in the Shenandoah Valley (what a shock). However, if this same track were for a Nor'easter, we'd be in line for some serious snow (assuming it were cold enough). What is the difference in these two cases that results in such a sharp cut-off in the precip sheild on the west side of Irene? The nor'easter coming from that direction would gives us persistent ENE winds supplying abundant moisture, but in Irene's case I see we are forecasted for dry NW winds. Is it the lack of Gulf moisture that a storm coming out of the SE would provide? Appreciate anyone's explanation. Thanks. I'm not a met, but I assume it has something to do with: 1. Hurricanes are more tightly bound than Nor'easters, and this one anyone is expected to pass well to the East of DC; and, 2. Winter precip comes about from the collision of warm wet air with colder continental air, whereas Hurricanes don't feature the latter clash, so there's no convergence zone of the type that produces downdraft winter precip along frontal boundaries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 12z GGEM looks to be ACY to ISP, which is west of the 00z run a lil bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Generators are already sold out across the area. Thank goodness for Amazon Prime's $3.99 one-day shipping. I thought about getting a generator, but it would cost me more to get the generator than to replace the food in my fridge. And since my power rarely goes out, I'm not too pressed. besides, I have a built in fridge. Not trying to move that sucker out just to hook it up to an extension cord. Not worth the hassle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dayvidpriddy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Wow, what a lot of rude pricks on here! Are you guys all former bullies in high school or what? Honestly, I was just asking a question, I love violent weather and we don't see this around here very often. Excuse me all to hell...I know most of you here with over 10K posts probably have no job or lives so you sit on a weather forum all day and bully people... Oh and I'm grown, thank you! YOU ALL INCLUDING THE ADMIN... you should be ashamed of yourself allowing bullying in here directed at a first time poster. I think it's YOU who should drive off a pier... Does it make you feel better to sleep at night knowing you harass others online to get your kicks? Jesus Christ... To the few and I mean FEW who replied in a mature way, I appreciate the feedback. It’s a shame you are surrounded on here with bitter people. Admin, do go ahead and delete my account, I would never post on here again anyways. What a ****ing troll you are! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I don't think this has been posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 the real question is: are your parents cool with you wrecking the family minivan? Thanks, I just busted out laughing in the middle of terminal 2 at DCA. Now TSA will probably haul me away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Wow...let's ban the fu-king nooB quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I don't think this has been posted that's a pretty epic map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I've never seen HPC have to restart the color bar again. NYC bullseye. That's bad news right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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