HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 My son's school already has an early dismissal! Woot! (Quabbin, as well as N. Middlesex all ye Pepperellites!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We better hope round 1 produces here in CT or otherwise I don't think many of us are getting more than 7'' here...might have to significantly lower my 8-12'' for the northern part of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can you make that a little smaller so we need a telescope to read it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 18z NAM bufkit is a total mess in N. CT...has mainly all snow for round 1 but does mix us...then for HFD it pretty much as all IP/ZR for round 2...it even has rain...which I would say would be ZR...this run would probably be a decent icing event here. An even bigger disaster is that my school blocks bufkit and bufget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 GFS gives me about 1.4" and the NAM about 1.75"....nice. I buy that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 12-20 north of a line from LWM-FIT What's he have in the BOS-ORH belt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah 12" will be easy, even assuming 10:1. big time fail if we don't break a foot. I think it'll be fair to add 10-14'' or so to whatever falls tomorrow. If we break 5-6'' tomorrow, then 18-20'' is possible, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 An even bigger disaster is that my school blocks bufkit and bufget That blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 To have elements of 1960-61, 1993-94, and 1995-96 visit us in the same winter....over the same 35 day period is simply mind boggling. Let's mixin some '69, '78 and '97 and... 1717 for Ginxy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can you make that a little smaller so we need a telescope to read it? LOL...I dont know how to...for some reason it came up with an old image anyway. Link here: (not sure if there's a new one he just showed on air) http://www.theboston...name%3DSnowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 To have elements of 1960-61, 1993-94, and 1995-96 visit us in the same winter....over the same 35 day period is simply mind boggling. i know the indices were totally different..... but this winter is defintely beginning to take on the appeal of 93-94 up here too now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 And if they tick north, then probably lower. We should be able to squeeze 2-4 out minimum on Tuesday, maybe as much as 6" so long as the 18z NAM idea isn't right. The 2nd system I have little faith in for down here....I just don't believe we'll have a handle on that until AFTER this first impulse/weak low moves out and we get a feel for what's leftover in terms of temps, and high to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We better hope round 1 produces here in CT or otherwise I don't think many of us are getting more than 7'' here...might have to significantly lower my 8-12'' for the northern part of the state. I think round two will start as a couple hours of heavy snow in the northern third of the state before it flips to pellets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 2010-2011: Karma Sutra of winters To have elements of 1960-61, 1993-94, and 1995-96 visit us in the same winter....over the same 35 day period is simply mind boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can you make that a little smaller so we need a telescope to read it? From his blog earlier today: Right now, I expect the heaviest snow well north and west of Boston. Around Orange and Keene, NH, 14-20" of snow from Tuesday and Wednesday is possible. 12-18" is possible MetroWest, North Shore, Worcester county into southern NH. Boston will be right on the line with 8-12" just to the south, in northern Brisol and northern Plymouth counties. Southern MA, including the South Shore will receive about 4-8" of snow. Much of that comes on Tuesday with a change back to snow at the end of the storm Wednesday. Cape Cod and the islands will have about 2-6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 GFS gives me about 1.4" and the NAM about 1.75"....nice. I buy that. I think you are in a great spot, man. Latitude will be the key and you have the advantage over most of SNE, while being further east which always helps in these situations. Throw in any ocean enhancement and you've got a whopper. Time for you to catch up to Kev in the seasonal snowfall totals while CT pings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 What's he have in the BOS-ORH belt? 9-18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 We better hope round 1 produces here in CT or otherwise I don't think many of us are getting more than 7'' here...might have to significantly lower my 8-12'' for the northern part of the state. The differences between the 18z GFS and NAM are laughable for CT especially for round 1. NAM gives southern areas basically no snow and northern areas (with some exceptions) about 3-5". The GFS is mostly snow 10 miles away from the shore and a solid 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 9-18. Smart range actually. I think around a foot is the average for the immediate Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not a shocker, but he really has been spot-on all winter with his forecasts. He might have been a little heavy on the Boxing Blizzard, but overall has gotten it right. 9-18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Smart range actually. I think around a foot is the average for the immediate Boston area. It's INSANE to think your getting another foot on those streets, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not to spoil the party but 18Z OP has a huge snow eating torch at the end of the run. Plenty of cold in Canada though so we're not even close to being done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think round two will start as a couple hours of heavy snow in the northern third of the state before it flips to pellets. That's what I was kind of leaning towards thinking, I think it might take a bit longer than what the models are showing for the warm air to work in but past history with these sort of events here is we usually change over sooner rather than later. We might be able to squeeze out 2-4'' perhaps from round two...hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nice. 12-18 for Boston out through metrowest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Noyes thinks someone (SNH or SVT) might get 2 1/2 feet Broad 18-24" swath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 The differences between the 18z GFS and NAM are laughable for CT especially for round 1. NAM gives southern areas basically no snow and northern areas (with some exceptions) about 3-5". The GFS is mostly snow 10 miles away from the shore and a solid 4-8". I think the entire state gets snow from round 1 and a decent amount of accumulations. Round 2 is where things become quite tricky and difficult for us. Waiting on the bufkit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Not bad but the angle of the dangle makes no sense to me. The cut if anything may be even more wnw to ese than box. That map makes this look like a regular coast front situation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I think you are in a great spot, man. Latitude will be the key and you have the advantage over most of SNE, while being further east which always helps in these situations. Throw in any ocean enhancement and you've got a whopper. Time for you to catch up to Kev in the seasonal snowfall totals while CT pings. I won't get OE...that reaches rt 128, at BEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Seems overly generous for Northern CT. The gradient should be more N-S over CT instead of NE-SW like this map shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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