CT Rain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That sharp qpf cutoff could very well be real. I'm willing to bet that the deformation band sets up right where that gradient is, and snowfall drops off pretty quickly beyond that. Agreed. Cautiously optimistic HFD/BOS get an impressive thump but I'm worried it may be more HVN-PYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 On the northern edge of the Band in So Ct, Meriden, 1.0-1.5 new snow still falling hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Im trying to enlighten you that you are waiting for a trend to a plowable snowfall that is just not going to happen for us this time around. Your posts have been very imby. Start rooting for some SNE places to get buried now. It wasn't that I wasn't rooting for them, just reviewing over the trends for NH and ME, that have apparently gone downhill. The heaviest snow line looks just NW of Boston down to Plymouth and over to Hartford, CT to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 flurries in blackstone....barely noticeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That sharp qpf cutoff could very well be real. I'm willing to bet that the deformation band sets up right where that gradient is, and snowfall drops off pretty quickly beyond that. I think I'm gonna get Dec 2003ed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That sharp qpf cutoff could very well be real. I'm willing to bet that the deformation band sets up right where that gradient is, and snowfall drops off pretty quickly beyond that. so deformation band in say...htfd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Im trying to enlighten you that you are waiting for a trend to a plowable snowfall that is just not going to happen for us this time around. Your posts have been very imby. Start rooting for some SNE places to get buried now. imby means in my backyard yeah we are fooked on this one, but hey its a good winter and sne still has a shot at some heavy snow! That's a good thing. We'll get ours..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lull in the action now dowstream radar shows 2 or 3 moderate to heavy bands incoming. Lets get all this moving north now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 so deformation band in say...htfd? Maybe, I think it's too early to figure that out exactly, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Light snow here in Glastonbury. Dusting on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think I'm gonna get Dec 2003ed. Probably both of us...but we might end up doing well too. I'm hoping the band ends up a tick NW of where qpf is modeled like it has all year. Crazy uncle is pretty amped up at 12z, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 lull in the action now dowstream radar shows 2 or 3 moderate to heavy bands incoming. Lets get all this moving north now! That'd be nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Agreed. Cautiously optimistic HFD/BOS get an impressive thump but I'm worried it may be more HVN-PYM i HAVE HAD A REAL BAD FEELING ABOUT THIS STORM FOR TWO DAYS NOW FOR THE HFD/SPFD AREA AND NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS A BIG DIFFERNCE BETWEEN THE TWO CITIES IF PROGS ARE TO BE BELIEVED. I THINK YOU MIGHT BE RIGHT WITH THE NEW HAVEN/PLYMOUTH HEAVY SNOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 upton just updated my totals to 8-16 for here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Maybe, I think it's too early to figure that out exactly, however. Whoever that sets up over that is along the CT coastline is going to have an unbelievable total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Burbank calling for a bust What impresses me to this moment still and the reason I stuck up for Barry was how he flat out said essentially "I see the euro, I like the euro, here's why it's wrong"...now like all "verifications" there's a bunch of parts to it. I'm not sure he said much about the two part theme versus it just be surpressed south but in the end it doesnt matter for a huge portion of his viewing area to the west. WSW now up down here. nice to see. That's usually when things start to go south for us Agreed. Cautiously optimistic HFD/BOS get an impressive thump but I'm worried it may be more HVN-PYM Burbank is worried too. I'm probably going to ride a combo of the ARW/NMM/MM5 when they become available. At this range I think they'll do the best and my guess is they are even more SE but have an intense band somewhere near bob-me-phil I think I'm gonna get Dec 2003ed. What was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where to actually locate that 6-12" band was the toughest part. Everything else, easy. I choose to place it a bit NW of guidance just because of some of the most respected members here are having a tough time believing the storm will take a hard right turn east like modeled on some of todays runs. Also, it seems like some of the models are picking up on areas getting a bit more then modeled previously to today because of the current advance of precip already into CT at this time. This shows me the RUC might have some idea what is going on. Also, the GFS came in RUC like at 12z making me believe that is the perfect stripe of 6-12" at the current time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i HAVE HAD A REAL BAD FEELING ABOUT THIS STORM FOR TWO DAYS NOW FOR THE HFD/SPFD AREA AND NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS A BIG DIFFERNCE BETWEEN THE TWO CITIES IF PROGS ARE TO BE BELIEVED. I THINK YOU MIGHT BE RIGHT WITH THE NEW HAVEN/PLYMOUTH HEAVY SNOW stop yelling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Probably both of us...but we might end up doing well too. I'm hoping the band ends up a tick NW of where qpf is modeled like it has all year. Crazy uncle is pretty amped up at 12z, so we'll see. I'd rather sit here, than fiighting off rain.....looks like I really will have to try for the ski MRG band. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Burbank calling for a bust Looking more and more like Barry has had this nailed for two days. He had my area in the trace to 3 inch swath two days ago and I bet that's what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1112 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE TRI-STATE AREA... CTZ005>012-270515- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110127T1100Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 1112 AM EST WED JAN 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 13 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WHEN WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST. * TIMING...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN DURING MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Burbank calling for a bust how is that calling for a bust? sounds like he is tweaking his forecast but it is very consistent with what he has been saying. He seems to have done a good job on this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 how is that calling for a bust? sounds like he is tweaking his forecast but it is very consistent with what he has been saying. He seems to have done a good job on this system. I think in reference to all those that were riding the more extreme solutions for days including a lot of his competitors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'd rather sit here, than fiighting off rain.....looks like I really will have to try for the ski MRG band. lol Part of me feels you'll be ok, but you could be close to the line. It's not out of the question to envision that band forming and moving over you for a few hours before going se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 . . . Nice, moderate snow in Woodstock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm at my office in Medway and the flurries have begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Part of me feels you'll be ok, but you could be close to the line. It's not out of the question to envision that band forming and moving over you for a few hours before going se. I could def. see being closer to the 3", than the 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snow has already started here Looked over 12z and still thinking 5-9'' Several hours away from the snowiest month on record here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate to heavy snow. Excellent dendrites. About .75 new. Visibility 1/4 to 1/2 mile. Really gorgeous this morning before the snow started. The overnight ice fog had lightly rimed all the branches and conifer needles, giving the impression of a living lithograph against the monochrome sky. Made me remember why I love winter so much. Really have no idea what will happen from here on out. Hearing lots of confusion from coworkers, etc, and don't blame them. Having a 16 inch snowpack to fall back on makes the nowcasting fun and stress free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Where to actually locate that 6-12" band was the toughest part. Everything else, easy. I choose to place it a bit NW of guidance just because of some of the most respected members here are having a tough time believing the storm will take a hard right turn east like modeled on some of todays runs. Also, it seems like some of the models are picking up on areas getting a bit more then modeled previously to today because of the current advance of precip already into CT at this time. This shows me the RUC might have some idea what is going on. Also, the GFS came in RUC like at 12z making me believe that is the perfect stripe of 6-12" at the current time. Too generous for us up nath and not generous enough towards the Cape in my not in the least bit informed by science or meteorology opinion. That would be IMNILBIBSMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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