Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 New measurements: all right around 2.25-2.5" Light snow continues. We're rolling. It'll be interesting to see if that is all snow down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 how is that calling for a bust? sounds like he is tweaking his forecast but it is very consistent with what he has been saying. He seems to have done a good job on this system. He's had the right idea in general NW of Boston for days now. Really nailed it, although it isn't quite set in stone as I could see a more diffuse area of precip spreading 3-5 into much of SNH. But at the very least, he nailed the potential for this D-3 outcome NW of KBED. Boston south is tougher, if we can eek out 8-12 in the Boston area, then he didn't really nail Boston pts south, but still, a very impressive call especially given the fact that he made it on Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Was surprised to drive east from MHT into some very light snow in Portsmouth NH around 9am, still a few lonely flakes falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Funny… despite everything said – and it was a response to earlier concerns about it snowing there … - the very recent sat and radar trends side with the NAM now. Go figure – it’s like some great god is listening to us and playing games based on our omissions. Hahaha – I like that: explains a lot. Oy vei. Frankly, I have no clue on this event. It really in all seriousness more than appears we are being dealt reverses. Every time someone makes a cogent adjustment based on empirical evidence and sound theoretics, something opposite than that expectation permutes this puppy. In the end this is beginning to come across as every model being right for some reason, just as much as they are wrong for the overall depiction. Good luck with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Was the UK better for folks nw of Boston...didn't see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 First flakes here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Too generous for us up nath and not generous enough towards the Cape in my not in the least bit informed by science or meteorology opinion. That would be IMNILBIBSMO If OKX thinks that the s coast of CT will mix for a time I think areas close to the canal will get plastered with wet snow and ratios will be poor with best banding to their NW.. IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm at my office in Medway and the flurries have begun. I know this is slightly off topic, but, give me your dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 im at 2 inches with heavy snow falling, fire engines are non stop outside, must be like a smash up derby out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I could def. see being closer to the 3", than the 8". Yeah it could be a nail biter, but I think you'll get into the banding for a time. It's going to be a wait and see game for you on radar, but you could be in much better shape then ASH for example. Who knows, it could be over Noreastermass128 (I'm sure he'll measure like it is anyways), but keep vigilant on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This argues for an 8-11 inch snowfall across Boston metro and south to PYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Was the UK better for folks nw of Boston...didn't see it Yes, but its too bad we can't see the 18h qpf frame. At 24h though it has the tail end of the CCB dumping >0.25" from ASH to ORH and southeastward with a bullseye of 0.50" for the 6 hourly near BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 snowing in Willington/Storrs CT nicely right now. I'd classify it as moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How was the euro last night for QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Downtown today....a few obs. Classic snow sky but we had that with nary a flake on the big DC event last year. Not sure what to make of the radar. It looks like BOS may JUST get in on this first batch but it could miss to the south. OT but I also was astounded by how much less snow there was when I got off the T at Govt Ctr vs my by in Brookline.....like literallly 1/3 the amount. I think all the concrete tends to absorb more heat keeping the pack lower as soon as it stops coming down. Who knows.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How was the euro last night for QPF? Terrible. .5 at PYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 GFS is a miller-b fest. clipper after clipper for 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Downtown today....a few obs. Classic snow sky but we had that with nary a flake on the big DC event last year. Not sure what to make of the radar. It looks like BOS may JUST get in on this first batch but it could miss to the south. OT but I also was astounded by how much less snow there was when I got off the T at Govt Ctr vs my by in Brookline.....like literallly 1/3 the amount. I think all the concrete tends to absorb more heat keeping the pack lower as soon as it stops coming down. Who knows.... Urban Heat Island FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Downtown today....a few obs. Classic snow sky but we had that with nary a flake on the big DC event last year. Not sure what to make of the radar. It looks like BOS may JUST get in on this first batch but it could miss to the south. OT but I also was astounded by how much less snow there was when I got off the T at Govt Ctr vs my by in Brookline.....like literallly 1/3 the amount. I think all the concrete tends to absorb more heat keeping the pack lower as soon as it stops coming down. Who knows.... What will become of us, Jerry?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Funny… despite everything said – and it was a response to earlier concerns about it snowing there … - the very recent sat and radar trends side with the NAM now. Go figure – it’s like some great god is listening to us and playing games based on our omissions. Hahaha – I like that: explains a lot. Oy vei. Frankly, I have no clue on this event. It really in all seriousness more than appears we are being dealt reverses. Every time someone makes a cogent adjustment based on empirical evidence and sound theoretics, something opposite than that expectation permutes this puppy. In the end this is beginning to come across as every model being right for some reason, just as much as they are wrong for the overall depiction. Good luck with that! It's funny I was thinking the same thing. It missed a single band maybe two, but in the end it's probably not terrible. This argues for an 8-11 inch snowfall across Boston metro and south to PYM That looks absolutely fine to me for now although I believe it'll be a sharper gradient. -- I wanted to rehash Barry's statements from Sunday. It's not that he wasn't calling for a storm, he felt light to moderate versus blockbuster. ----The model that I rely upon the most continues its amazing continuity from run to run in projecting a major storm in the region Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Normally, I would jump on the bandwagon and buy its solution. However, in closely analyzing the upper air perturbations, I am not convinced that this solution is superior. I do believe that the southern stream short wave will intensify. As a result, a low pressure system does develop along the Gulf Coast and it taps into a rich moisture supply. Meantime, it appears to me that a northern stream short wave in tandem with a deep vortex proceeding steadily across Hudson Bay will force the rather potent southern stream short wave more on an east-northeasterly path. With that setup, I cannot justify the Euro’s game plan of lifting that southern stream short northeastward toward Cape Cod. With all of this in mind, I suspect that the storm exiting the Carolina coast will at worst only brush the area with some light to maybe moderate snow over southeastern MA possibly up to the Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Terrible. .5 at PYM Kind of figured it trimmed down some looking at the updated snowfall maps when I woke up a little bit ago. This still is going to be a pretty solid storm though, not going to complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 So sorry to ask but what is the local consensus for SNE/NNE at this moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm thinking the Euro might not even run today...too ashamed. Maybe just take a day off and reflect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How was the euro last night for QPF? Terrible up here....gave me like .35". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Funny… despite everything said – and it was a response to earlier concerns about it snowing there … - the very recent sat and radar trends side with the NAM now. Go figure – it’s like some great god is listening to us and playing games based on our omissions. Hahaha – I like that: explains a lot. Oy vei. Frankly, I have no clue on this event. It really in all seriousness more than appears we are being dealt reverses. Every time someone makes a cogent adjustment based on empirical evidence and sound theoretics, something opposite than that expectation permutes this puppy. In the end this is beginning to come across as every model being right for some reason, just as much as they are wrong for the overall depiction. Good luck with that! my head hurts after reading this.. i think you mean models look like they will be right about tonights event but wrong from I-84 south about todays event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm thinking the Euro might not even run today...too ashamed. Maybe just take a day off and reflect... We'll wait for verification time but this is the 2nd out of 3 major events this year that the Euro was taken to the woodshed by US modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'm thinking the Euro might not even run today...too ashamed. Maybe just take a day off and reflect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTNoreaster Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Its amazing looking at radar how much the northern edge of the precip is shrinking. All of litchfield county seems to be dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 So sorry to ask but what is the local consensus for SNE/NNE at this moment... In my view it looks like a general 6-10 incher across most of SNE. Sharp drop up to the NH border and just a little up the coast of NH and ME. Brookline should be beautiful tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Terrible up here....gave me like .35". That's a pretty crazy cut back, looked like the GFS/NAM beefed up a bit. I think you're good for about 7-9'' or so...perhaps 10''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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