jhj Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Snowing in Old Lyme snowing in niantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Should someone call Matt Noyes after last night, or is he probably geeking out already? I haven't been able to follow along the past few days due to travel but recall Barry Burbank getting laughed off this board a few days ago for calling this a 3-6" boston N+W instead of 2-3Feet. Was Noyes calling for a blockbuster? I recall seeing some crazy numbers of 18" + on here just yesterday. Burbank is still sticking to 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rboarderi Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A few flakes are flying in Groton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The HRRR version of the RUC...and to some extend the RUC too seems to be focusing on redeveloping precip over sne later today. It brings this current batch of snow down by NYC out to the east, but then redevelopment occurs overhead and begins to connect with the stuff forming from the ULL in the MA. You can see this here. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011012613&plotName=1ref_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=15&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Normally I would too, but it actually was the only model to get it right this morning to our SW. This afternoon's potential not withstanding, I think you'll be fine in BOS for this storm. I'm a lot more worried where I am...could see 3-5" while 15 miles SE of me sees 10" Confession: There is an added anxiety for me, as I have unintentionally established myself as the forecaster for my entire company. In particular, the CFO leans on me directly for forecasts so he can get an idea of whether to have a delayed opening or cancellation. He has already dropped by my desk this morning to express his disappointment in my forecast for 5-10 because "Burbank is only calling for four inches." Even though I've been rock solid with what I've given him so far this winter, he's the type wherein a single perceived bust will destroy all credibility. And boy, would I like to rub eight inches in his face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I haven't been able to follow along the past few days due to travel but recall Barry Burbank getting laughed off this board a few days ago for calling this a 3-6" boston N+W instead of 2-3Feet. Was Noyes calling for a blockbuster? I recall seeing some crazy numbers of 18" + on here just yesterday. Burbank is still sticking to 3-6". LOL...going to be some interesting replays. -- Scott...RGEM hands down has been the best. It's been rock steady FTMP (ie always had western/NW MA in the scratch zone, heaviest SE). Others not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The HRRR version of the RUC...and to some extend the RUC too seems to be focusing on redeveloping precip over sne later today. It brings this current batch of snow down by NYC out to the east, but then redevelopment occurs overhead and begins to connect with the stuff forming from the ULL in the MA. You can see this here. http://rapidrefresh....omain=t3&wjet=1 Yeah after 21z it does it like the regular RUC does. What I wouldn't give to have that 15h forecast verify, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 . nice! man i love being right, I can't wait to see the people from my class this morning that laughed at me when i said 7-15" and snow starting by 9am.. one lady says but scott haney said 4-6" and not starting til 5pm.. thank you scott haney for making me look really smart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I haven't been able to follow along the past few days due to travel but recall Barry Burbank getting laughed off this board a few days ago for calling this a 3-6" boston N+W instead of 2-3Feet. Was Noyes calling for a blockbuster? I recall seeing some crazy numbers of 18" + on here just yesterday. Burbank is still sticking to 3-6". Noyes stuck with heavy heavy snows for the region with a pretty broad area of 12" - many watched his live online feed as the disastrous 0z models rolled in. He looked nervous but stuck with his call - he was banging the RUC back then cause it was the only model that supported his expectations haha. Looks like sticking to his guns might work out for much of the area except for a bust on the NW side of his forecast. Too early to say though, this storm is already pushing further NW than almost all of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The HRRR version of the RUC...and to some extend the RUC too seems to be focusing on redeveloping precip over sne later today. It brings this current batch of snow down by NYC out to the east, but then redevelopment occurs overhead and begins to connect with the stuff forming from the ULL in the MA. You can see this here. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011012613&plotName=1ref_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=15&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1 Lmao that death band would drop 15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The HRRR version of the RUC...and to some extend the RUC too seems to be focusing on redeveloping precip over sne later today. It brings this current batch of snow down by NYC out to the east, but then redevelopment occurs overhead and begins to connect with the stuff forming from the ULL in the MA. You can see this here. http://rapidrefresh....omain=t3&wjet=1 LOL, check out the banding that sets up at the end of the run. Take that fwiw, but the potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Do you have sun breaking through up at your house Mike? 'Tis here. Still hoping we pull of a few inches but one thing models have been consistent on is the sharp cut off. I could see S. Orh co. getting 5-10" while up near Dave in Hubbarston there is only 4". We shall see... et tu Brute? I'm thinking 5" for me, but would not be surprised with an inch in either direction... Maybe 6" here at work in Leominster if a couple of big flakes stand on end Congrats messenger (gave him props last night, ya know!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The HRRR version of the RUC...and to some extend the RUC too seems to be focusing on redeveloping precip over sne later today. It brings this current batch of snow down by NYC out to the east, but then redevelopment occurs overhead and begins to connect with the stuff forming from the ULL in the MA. You can see this here. http://rapidrefresh....omain=t3&wjet=1 I think that's exactly how it's going to play out in terms of the first pulse slipping out, residual moisture being acted upon as the second part wraps into the region. HRRR is probably too far NW with part two, but we'll see how that goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Few light flakes starting flying here at work in Essex not long ago. Bring on round 1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Confession: There is an added anxiety for me, as I have unintentionally established myself as the forecaster for my entire company. In particular, the CFO leans on me directly for forecasts so he can get an idea of whether to have a delayed opening or cancellation. He has already dropped by my desk this morning to express his disappointment in my forecast for 5-10 because "Burbank is only calling for four inches." Even though I've been rock solid with what I've given him so far this winter, he's the type wherein a single perceived bust will destroy all credibility. And boy, would I like to rub eight inches in his face. is he hawt? you goin to the GTG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow some spots in central jersey already 4 and 5" reports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 is he hawt? you goin to the GTG? No, I just like triumph. And no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LOL, check out the banding that sets up at the end of the run. Take that fwiw, but the potential is there. Scott I think later - speaking specifically of the ocean south of us...it's going to be more along these lines. I think the 2nd spoke is going to be pretty wicked...even before the CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1024 S+ huge dendrites 1" new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Mod snow in Danbury. Love that HRRR/RUC loop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Flakes are flying here - steadier precip is just south of me trying to work NE. 20 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow some spots in central jersey already 4 and 5" reports And with the stuff off NJ someone in CT might from the first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Noyes stuck with heavy heavy snows for the region with a pretty broad area of 12" - many watched his live online feed as the disastrous 0z models rolled in. He looked nervous but stuck with his call - he was banging the RUC back then cause it was the only model that supported his expectations haha. Looks like sticking to his guns might work out for much of the area except for a bust on the NW side of his forecast. Too early to say though, this storm is already pushing further NW than almost all of the models. keep pushing NW that's all I want. 6" out of this for my area would be a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate snow here in Hamden, looks like a nice band is working its way in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 1024 S+ huge dendrites 1" new Not huge but improving, very nice ones now. Perhaps I will see yours soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 watching the dec storm last year here in spfd was really depressing and unless something changes this one will be well beyond devastating.. why doesnt some one just say it.. hartford might get a half foot and springfield a dustiing or heavy heavy virga its not an epic winter everywhere in sne when stuff like this happens!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Going to class, woke up to a bit of a surprise after last night, hopefully come back to even more of a surprise in the form of snow flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Thinking now 2" hard to get for you...will continue to fly with it for now but I am taking ALB down to D-1" with Noon update. Lol. So close. I refused to fill my gas can to help tempt the fates. Alas...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Not huge but improving, very nice ones now. Perhaps I will see yours soon. You are just down the road, give it ten minutes, its awesome and well worth the wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I think for now drying is winning the race, RUC excitement somewhat cancel: http://radar.weather...id=okx&loop=yes Can see up in NW CT some drying working east. Can see the same on the water vapor....from middletown to torrington (NY to CT) it just got dryer. http://www.rap.ucar....e=-1&duration=6 Going to be a squeaker along coastal sections and we may have a rogue band break loose further north but ... Down by philly you can begin to see the start of phase 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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