snowNH Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JFK reporting 1/4 +SN and LGA Look at the 13z ruc people!!! Will have you ever seen the RUC And other models this far off?? Its continuously hammered SNH points south with Probably a foot of snow... Jan 2000 you think? Is there any hope for me up here? I don't think well see as tight of gradient as modelled .. ruc or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow what a nowcasting event!!! how exciting! I think southern CT is going to get rocked today... they may get 7-12+ out of this. I'm thinking like 5-10 for HFD/TOL? First guesses here tho haven't looked at much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 36h total precip. Wow that is tight... over .75" at BOS and under .5" at ORH with almost nothing at CEF. There are going to be some very happy people and very unhappy people in SNE, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow what a nowcasting event!!! how exciting! I think southern CT is going to get rocked today... they may get 7-12+ out of this. I'm thinking like 5-10 for HFD/TOL? First guesses here tho haven't looked at much How can anyone even consider the NAM at all now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow what a nowcasting event!!! how exciting! I think southern CT is going to get rocked today... they may get 7-12+ out of this. I'm thinking like 5-10 for HFD/TOL? First guesses here tho haven't looked at much Sweet man! Really ripping good already down here at work in Norwalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow what a nowcasting event!!! how exciting! I think southern CT is going to get rocked today... they may get 7-12+ out of this. I'm thinking like 5-10 for HFD/TOL? First guesses here tho haven't looked at much Looking at Radar and models, I'd definitely want to be SE of I-84 through CT. Inside of I-90 out to exit 9 (Sturbridge) and down I-84 looks golden... NW of that the jury is still out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Here's what the 12z RUC is doing. It does not look unreasonable at least where I focused along the extreme coastal areas over towards me. (Ie I'm not speaking of Will's area, or you guys up further north..thats someone elses place to tackle.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 wow what a nowcasting event!!! how exciting! I think southern CT is going to get rocked today... they may get 7-12+ out of this. I'm thinking like 5-10 for HFD/TOL? First guesses here tho haven't looked at much Do you mean Fairfield County or the entire shoreline? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 How do you like this statement from NYC? A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 1 PM. THIS BAND WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE...WITH SOME SPOTS FALLING BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE. SNOWFALL RATES IN THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A HALF TO ONE INCH AN HOUR. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 1 PM. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ryan, what do you think about the Waterbury area in terms of snow amounts and conds. this morning into the aftn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Look at the 13z ruc people!!! Will have you ever seen the RUC And other models this far off?? Its continuously hammered SNH points south with Probably a foot of snow... Jan 2000 you think? Is there any hope for me up here? I don't think well see as tight of gradient as modelled .. ruc or bust for the Jan 2000 comment... and I actually do think we will see as tight a gradient as modeled. This something where a SE side of a county gets a foot and the NW side gets 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 RUC has had a bit of a nw bias with most of our storms this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Do you mean Fairfield County or the entire shoreline? I think we'll get 10"+ around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Here's what the 12z RUC is doing. It does not look unreasonable at least where I focused along the extreme coastal areas over towards me. (Ie I'm not speaking of Will's area, or you guys up further north..thats someone elses place to tackle.) For comparison, the 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JFK 1/8SM now. Sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 BOX && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion --LOW VISIBILITY DUE TO PATCHY FOG IMPROVING THIS MORNING. LOW CLOUDS SHOULD EXPAND ALONG THE COAST TODAY AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. ALSO NOTING HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. INCREASING CLOUDS TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. NOTED SNOW MOVING UP THE COAST A BIT FASTER THAN FORECAST. HAVE UPDATED THE POPS TO SPEED UP THE ONSET OF SNOW... PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. HAVE LIGHT SNOW STARTING BY 18Z THIS AFTERNOON QUICKLY INCREASING IN INTENSITY. THIS AS A RESULT OF INCREASING WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT THIS AFTERNOON. THOUGH THE H85 AIRMASS WILL INITIALLY BE RATHER DRY...THE COLUMN HAS MOISTENED ENOUGH THAT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS FALLING IN THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AT 9 AM. THERMAL PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SNOW ACROSS THE AREA...EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE SE COAST WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM PLUS 2 TO PLUS 3 CELSIUS WITHIN THE LOWEST 200 FEET...COURTESY OF THE ONSHORE FLOW. THIS WILL FAVOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MIXING IN DURING THE START OF THIS EVENT.-- End Changed Discussion -- && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 for the Jan 2000 comment... and I actually do think we will see as tight a gradient as modeled. This something where a SE side of a county gets a foot and the NW side gets 3". My big question on today, part 1...is how tight is the gradient? Is the RUC overblowing the northern extent and it's instead a super tight gradient? Or not? I'd like to see Will/Scott and others way in, nobody cares if we're right/wrong at this point on this part...is it coming or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 JFK 1/8SM now. Sh*t. that's pretty sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT snow falling in Ansonia I am about 2 miles from New Haven...Yet if I listened to my local forecaster (not Ryan or his station) said don't look at the radar its not even touching the ground and won't until 4pm in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Props to cweat on the 2 parter kind of idea. That's where we're heading now. Also looking at the euro from last night... way for them to totally back off. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z NAM had no precip for NNJ and NYC thru 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 went to sleep at like 10 last night. has anything changed for Needham/Newton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well I'm off for Meriden in 10 mins, i guess I'll be driving into the snow on the way down there. May try and log on around lunch time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 it's coming bitches..take heed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Ryan, what do you think about the Waterbury area in terms of snow amounts and conds. this morning into the aftn? light snow already in nothern new haven county.. its coming for you and nothing to stop it according to radar.. i think something like 2-5' through the southern half of ct before the main event tonight.. some areas of pa and jersey are reporting 2-3"/hr and its all rotating up here and filling in to our south.. perfect scenario..it keeps on filling in and snows non stop until just after midnight.. with average intensity of an inch per hour that yields 15".. worst case the precip is really spotty after this and we only get 2-5" from the second part tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 RUC has had a bit of a nw bias with most of our storms this winter. No doubt that's part of the solutions we are seeing but how much? OSU the NAM was pretty attrocious again. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20110125&endTime=-1&duration=6 Off the DE coast...the dry edge of the dry punch. I don't know but my thought is we start to see some progression of the back edge now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 LOL Intellicast with "snow showers" forecasted. Makes the whole thing sound so trivial. Compare that with the NWS service forecast showing the sleet mixing again. Sleet was not noted an hour or so ago. Time to just sit back and see what Mother nature throws our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well I'm off for Meriden in 10 mins, i guess I'll be driving into the snow on the way down there. May try and log on around lunch time it'll be snowing there any second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Any text updates would be much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 12z NAM had no precip for NNJ and NYC thru 18z That's what I mean, I would completely throw it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.