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looks like radar is starting to fill in again as the ULL approaches

It's really hard to take (publicly accessible) LLM "science" seriously. Sure, there might be some specialized LLMs that the general public can't access that might be trustworthy. But Grok? No.

Could've used this pattern back in Jan-Feb with all these cutoff slow moving systems in April and May.

WxBell/JB continue to strongly push that underwater seismic activity has been an important factor in determining global SST anomalies and thus global air temps. JB asks AI (Grok) to assess I gave the charts below to Grok, 2024 SST, 2025 SST, the graphic of the mid ocean spreading zone and the recent drop off. Then I asked it this: Look at the difference in SST between this year and last year, and look at the rapid drop off in Mid Ocean spreading zone activity. What do you conclude based on this Grok Conclusion:The cooling of SST from 2024 to 2025, alongside the rapid drop-off in Mid-Ocean Spreading Zone Seismic Activity, indicates that the reduced tectonic activity is likely a key factor in the observed temperature change. The decrease in magma upwelling along the Mid-Atlantic Ridge has reduced the heat input into the ocean, leading to cooler SSTs in 2025 compared to 2024. Other factors like ocean circulation or climate variability may also contribute, but the timing of the MOSZSA drop aligns closely with the SST cooling, supporting a direct geological influence. But keep in mind that Grok has in previous JB posts insisted that the number of hydrothermal vents needs to be like a billion+ to have a large enough influence like Dr. Viterito has been suggesting. There are only like a few thousand at most that have been discovered. Let’s say 10K max: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrothermal_vent Even if we up the # of vents to a million, that would still be far too small. Dr. Spencer flat out doesn’t believe that undersea geothermal can possibly be a significant factor: https://www.drroyspencer.com/2024/01/how-much-ocean-heating-is-due-to-deep-sea-hydrothermal-vents/

Nantucket gusting to 45mph and increasing hourly. It’s out there, just to our east. Personally I’ll pass on winds like that this time of year. It would just make a mess.

The coldest departures have been finding a way to miss the Northeast like with a +PNA in January 2025 and a -PNA in February 2021. Our last top 10 coldest month back in February 2015 was a strong +NAO. But if the cold pools were bigger in January 2025 and February 2021, then the Northeast would have been much colder. February 1979 was one of the lowest February -PNAs at -1.82 and still stands as the coldest 2 week period since the 1960s on Long Island. Minimum 14-Day Mean Avg Temperature for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 11.4 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-19 0 2 11.5 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-20 0 3 11.9 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-18 0 4 12.5 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-21 0 5 13.4 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-17 0 6 13.8 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-22 0 7 14.6 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-13 0 8 14.8 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-12 0 9 15.0 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-16 0 10 15.4 1979-02-10 through 1979-02-23 0

Absolutely pouring again down here.

You tell that..........ah nevermind

And 48 right now is highly below average, much more so than some 80's in June.

All the 12Z models keep it dry throughout the 3 day holiday weekend. Rain chances on Tuesday GFS and Canadian. EURO delays any rain until Wed. this run.

No sun here today. Have been socked in with periods of light rain and mist all morning. Some more appreciable showers moving in for the afternoon. 59°.

.84 inches here so far. Radar looks like it’s gonna be a New London county on east kinda storm.

Not in early June. Mid to upper 80s is decently above average.

But the normal highs for the for the first week of June are still in the upper 70s.

Like we typically do every summer when the average high is 87

Its a combination of shrinking overage AND predominately -PNA/+NAO/+WPO.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2025/md0929.html

Upslope enhancement for the 395 corridor in E CT?

Once this pattern breaks we're seeing 85+ easily

Coastal looking great here in S FL, haha!

yeah there wasn't much wind outside of the beaches.

I’m never been a fan of the wide ranges. But they’re not the only ones with that. CyclonicWx, 20/20, and Accuwx have similarly wide ranges. OTOH, I like that CSU forecasts with no range.

Just cracked the ten inch mark for the month of May. 10.03" to be exact as of 1:10pm on 5/22.

Late May cool here, over the top heat for Canada. Easy to call the last 5 years.

42.8F Light rain. On May 25 2012 I recorded 3.1" of thundersnow within about a 2 hour period. I believe the temperature was 33F during that event. That was the latest snow I have recorded. We will not repeat that tonight but at my elevation of 1100 feet it will be interesting to see if I can manage some mangled flakes. Any guesses? What do you think Brian?