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Urban chasing is tricky. I try to target areas where there's a less traffic but a good road system. Let use north Maryland for example. 70 is good for getting in but not for chasing an actual tornado. I chased out by Thurmont in Carroll County. Good roads, good views, and no traffic mayhem. You don't want to be stuck in traffic with an ef 3 tossing cars and coming at you. Watch for trees. I take my chainsaw just in case I need to cut my way out. Be careful and good luck. Btw. I'm not a met. I'm just nuts about weather lol. I'd join you if I wasn't working.

Round 1 of shoveling I measured 7-8” depending on the spot. 12” storm total definitely still in play.

These always gust 50-55 EOR and especially with elevation. . 60 is magic number for those that want damage

I have no interest in 0 metering. More a storm structure guy.

I do think linear convective systems in our region tend to roll through a bit earlier than even short range models predict. There are exceptions, of course - but with a solid line - it wouldn't shock me to see it bump 1-3 hours earlier as we close.

It was very convenient to be clear most of the night and immediately cloud up at sunrise to lock the cold in. 27.7° now off of a min of 24.7° We do the dews tomorrow. Remaining packs cryin’ for their mama.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0241.html Never heard any thunder myself but the Lakeview, South St Paul, and Lake Elmo obs sites all reported thunderstorm in vicinity around 6 am

If you do, please be careful. Fast storm motions will make this potentially chaotic.

Thinking I might chase tomorrow. Any met want to tell me a good grounding location? I was thinking orange VA

March is the pneumonia month every year. Hold on to your sinuses...

Too cold.

Yeah coming down nice in this secondary heavy right now. 7” over here in Woodbury as of 7 am and I’m guessing MSP is doing at least as well given they reported 5” at midnight. Looks like jackpot zone of 10-15 from Rochester over to Wausau and then a buffer zone of 6-10 up to the southern half of the metro. Bummer for the north side though being so close. AIFS over the past few days was the closest with the placement. Most models showing 4-6” additional today over here so that 12-13 threshold for significant storm still in play for MSP? .

That's a heck of a radar in LaCrosse, WI right now. Thundersnow and thundersleet.

Not to downplay how bad things are out there right now because they are bad but it’s going to end up being a huge anomaly in the end. Didn’t you guys just have a string of good winters the last decade? I know 22-23 was cold in the west for sure. It’s not like some switch was flipped and now this is the “new normal”. When March 2012 happened over here after a warm and snowless winter, I read a couple of articles about how this was going to happen more because of climate change. Well, no surprise to me, nothing even close to that has happened since. Or how about the “permanent” Texas drought I kept reading about in the early 2010s? Next thing you knew it was flooding there.lol.

This heat event will be among the most impressive heat events on record relative to climatology. It will rank up there with the March 2012, June 2021 PNW, September-October 2024 Southwest heat events in terms of peak temperatures relative to normal. The national March high temperature mark of 108° should fall. Numerous cities will surpass not just March, but also April monthly records.

Updraft Helicity Index

@Ginx snewx would you happen to have a snowfall total recorded for Jan 7-8 1996? I dunno how far your records go back but you gave me Dec 2000 so i thought maybe you might have one.

Yeah it’s ripping right now. We still have 10+ hours to go according to the HRRR

Hi sorry, just seeing this. Was at a concert last night. I see it’s all been handled. Thanks for starting a thread

Urban heat island? lol

So SEPA can anticipate at least some wicked thunderstorms right?

Pretty big numbers for sure. One model NAM 3K, but this brings attention here in the Triad area.

Guidance has also backed off on the blocking a bit.

This new band should help the totals a bit. All depends on how long it sticks around. Really coming down right now. .