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Another thing to consider is the dry ground almost coast to coast. May add some warmth to those numbers unless it turns wet. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
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Ya cuz water from your well/reservoir, and water from the sky are different…? It’ll due in a pinch... put the stuff down.
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news to me
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That doesn’t water in fertilizer .
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Do you own a hose or sprinkler?
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With how warm it has been since early March, I'm surprised there were still spots that hadn't reached 80 yet this year. My first 80 was March 10. While a Greenland block means cold May, I highly doubt a -2 to -4 monthly temperature is going to verify. Keep in mind, May 2023 came in at -1.5 and June 2023 at -2.6 at PHL, compared to 1981-2020 normals. We haven't seen that cold at that time of the season since 1985. If this verifies, it would be the coldest at this time of the season in over 4 decades. Probably not going to happen.
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80 here
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Thanks guys! Both of those are great.
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2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not so sure about that. 2015 was a warm summer and especially fall, and there was no nina or -PDO influence. If anything, that was a solid +PDO year. -
Feeling more like a Chicago split right now but will see
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Approaching 80. July in April.
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EPAWA weather outlook for May
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* All time April record at MSP was broken in 2018 with 15.8” during the 4/13-16 blizzard. Brilliant blue skis and bright sun also appeared the next morning.
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Just too nervous about getting Steined to drop the fert. Certainly can see how it may storm this week, but can easily be total Stein too . Wringing of hands
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This is more for Wednesday but wild differences between guidance at BOS for tomorrow 6z MAV: 65 0z MET: 57 9z high then dropping 7z NBM: 69 I was actually expecting the 13z NBM to tame down at BOS but nope...came in at 71 . Been that seems wayyyy too high. Highest 3hr value anyways is 64 which still might be a bit high...though BOS might have a chance to climb before the E winds kick in
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Morning rain is dying off fast, has a feeling it's gonna be one of those days
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Yeah I doubt much makes it into that green shaded area
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I feel like a cool summer and fall would be an indication that this Nino could be more Nino like. A warm summer and or fall to me indicates there’s still some Nina/-PDO influence. -
Me either. Guessing it will be very isolated
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The Mariana islands gets just about as many high end typhoons as anywhere else I nthe world. Saipan took a direct hit from a cat 5 back in 2018. I am guessing that Saipan didn't get much above cat 2 winds from this, with maybe some higher gusts. Good timing with the ERC. -
Interesting, didn't know we were expecting much today.
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Absolutely wild the differences in guidance in how convection develops/evolves tomorrow. the 3km NAM highlights exactly what I was thinking yesterday in terms of potential/evolution but it doesn't have much support. But then again, not one model has support from another. Ahh the fun of convective forecasting
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Lot of convective rains too.... Could be thundery warmth
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They should. The ENH also needs to be greatly expanded as well, as that secondary zone of interest further south ( C IL) is gaining steam.
