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It's the hour more of sun in the afternoon because of daylight savings time

ngl, I'm hot. 91/77

Looks like Kevin west get clipped with the stuff near Albany.

I think to me what really stands out is the heat just isn't spread out evenly. And the climates that have seen the most summer warming tended to be fairly similar.

Its been a little over a week since solstice I wouldn’t think that would have an impact currently. August perhaps.

My guess of 104°-105° necessary at Newark or LGA for NYC to reach 100° is based on the 4-5°cooler differential back in June 2025 and 2021. The June 2026 heatwave had an even wider gap of NYC running 7°cooler than LGA and 6° cooler than Newark. Even the May 2026 record heatwave was 7° cooler at NYC than Harrison. We will find out in the coming days. So perhaps something more has changed in 2026 relative to even heatwaves as recent as 2025. This coming heatwave will be a good test. Monthly Data for June 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 98 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 97 NJ HARRISON COOP 97 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 97 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 97 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 95 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 95 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 94 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 94 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 93 NY PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL ICAO 93 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 93 NY STEWART FIELD WBAN 93 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 93 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 93 NY CENTERPORT COOP 93 NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 93 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 93 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 92 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 92 NY SYOSSET COOP 92 NY ST. JAMES COOP 92 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 92 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 92 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 91 Monthly Data for May 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ HARRISON COOP 100 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 99 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 98 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 97 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 96 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 96 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 95 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 95 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 94 CT DANBURY COOP 94 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 93

Low pressure over the N. Pacific favors east coast troughing though. Of course if the negative anomaly spills into the West coast like 82-83 and 97-98, that pushes everything east. +AO kind of dominated the pattern in 82-83 though.

Not today. Today was travel, tomorrow we go back to our roots and forecast for SNE.

I think what it comes down to is it's easy to keep the heat out of the eastern regions if it's weaker, but def. agree on the bolded.

This may surprise some people - Nino 4 is neutral in trend since mid-April

BD milddown on the euro Sat night.

That's not east based. I like the way warmest anomalies fade west.

Oh, geez....so sorry. My bad.....yea, I held out some hope initially, but quickly became clear it was not to be.

They just had a good snow event in the mountains of Montana!

Getting a bit more optimistic that line moving into ALB may at least deliver some much needed rain here.

If he buys it will be someone with control for next season, not just a rental for this year.

Storms kicking up a solid breeze. Feels Great.

FYI updated my entry

I recently posted about the issue here, as the trees will make it exceptionally difficult for Central Park to reach 100°. Last June, much of the region saw their hottest June temperatures on record, but not Central Park. In reality, based on the statistical relationships with JFK, LGA, and EWR, Central Park likely hit 100° on two days, including a June record 102°. I will run the numbers during the upcoming heatwave again. My guess is that those numbers will show 2 or perhaps even 3 100° days when the upcoming heatwave concludes. JFK's and LGA's average high temperature from 1996-2025 and 1991-2020 are well above their 1961-1990 average highs. In contrast, both sets of the more recent figures are cooler than their 1961-1990 figures for Central Park. As long-term climate figures are homogenized, the trees are a non-issue for 30-year and longer-term figures. Meanwhile, because daily data is not homogenized, daily records have been sacrificed. Even as this is the case, the news media still cites Central Park's figures as New York City's official data. In fact, during summer, Central Park's highs have become more a testament of the cooling power of trees than the City's actual readings.

We do have a decreasing sun angle; has that been considered in the forecast?

Definitely an odd mesoscale setup with the old modified arctic airmass sitting off the coast and mixing down the drier air on the eastern shore whole the mountains get obscene moisture

Then, it's going to be a very, very rare event. EWR has only hit 107+ once (108 on 7/22/2011).

There's gotta be some kind of pooling in the mountains. Even the Poolesville sensor is showing a trend towards higher surface dews and HI.

Thew MD Mesonet station in Frostburg is hovering around a dewpoint of 75-76 degrees with a station pressure of 939.8mb. That's 21 g/kg Mixing ratio which is CRAZY.