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Just imagine the masterpiece of a symphony Beethoven could create based on the unison of hums from all of the A/C's that will be cranking full-throttle and non-stop for the next foreseeable future.

IMHO, one better have darn good reason and solid model agreement when forecasting all-time record events. esp. several days out. You don't just pick the most extreme scenario b/c that grabs the attention more to drive the hazard home. It is better to start more modest and work you way up as the fcst details become clearer. When you start at the top, it's very hard to come back down b/c of the viral nature of things on social media. And really, we know its going to very hot, so avoid superfluous or extraneous wording early on. The problem is the media doesn't act on a "linear scale." It's like if the temp hits 100, somehow that is *so* much worse or extreme than 99, when it is only b/c 100 is a power of 10 and more psychologically satisfying value. That is meaningless as to sensible wx impact. Another example? A piece of crap low pressure gets named a TS, and it is like end of days to the media, when typical winter storms are *far* more impressive and powerful than a weak sheared TS.

Braun Bay might be 98.6 by Monday, and not because of urine either!

I know there is a risk, but right now I’d say 87-94 with a risk for shwrs/storms late day. I looked at everything and maybe there could be a risk the afternoon’s wettwr, but nothing stands out to me as a disappointment for the holiday right now.

Database issue causing widespread NWS web page problems. IT continues to work on it to get all restored.

Inferno through Monday. What a holiday weekend. Wow.

0.23 inches of rain yesterday.

I topped out at .66" for the event.

What’s your forecast for Saturday?

Yes, the media thrives on sensationalism like oh my goodness , this has never happened before. And, millions of dunces believe it.

Gfs tries for ring of fire stuff but also tries to door east of ORH Wednesday. Still 85-90 in ern areas.

Another possible reason other than overzealous inexperience or pattern recognition denial? CYA - better safe than sorry. I find this a weak excuse these days. Forecast science and skill have come a *long* way in the last few decades alone, and we have models now that can show fine-details and fcst extreme events quite well now, so confidence level should be higher. There are less "surprises" now. We should be taking advantage of this better technology and skill that should result in *less* CYA - better safe than sorry. Over-warning I would argue is as bad as under-warning. Over-warning impacts tend to be more indirect, but still cost lives and lot of $$. "Damp street warning?" LOL. Sounds like something you'd see in Cali. Don't give them any ideas!

105+ across Europe past few days. Records getting shattered every month and yet many will still claim CC has nothing to do with it.

There is no way we'd get anything like that outside of a tropical storm direct hit.

Of note, some WFO CWAs have lowered the threshold of temps for issuing heat advisories and extreme heat watches/warnings. WFO BOX did this a number of years ago. Instead of 95-100 F, it was lowered to 90-95 F. I don't know about other CWAs, but it something to be aware of as our standards and practices change over time, and the trend is lowering the bar for more watches/warnings. And the media takes full advantage of this, acting like changes in wx have demanded this, when it is social/political/economic factors, among other things. We will soon have PDS blizzard and ice storm warnings, and you can bet the media will say, "FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER the NWS has issued a PDS..."

Lots of kids in camp during the day. Mine included

.3" yesterday. Over 4" mtd. NEMD pummeled I suppose.

the ridge doesn't care. crank up the ac

This was either overzealous inexperience or pattern recognition denial OR, the models Now are lousy in summer with precipitation movements and location like they are in winter . i could have issued a damp street warning and been far more accurate

I will not miss the 3km NAM when it goes away later this summer. It almost always overdoes QPF, esp. when orographics are involved. Its fcst sim radar leaves a lot to be desired as well.

Hopefully it’s a front loaded summer. Going on a bread, milk and eggs run today. I don’t plan on leaving the house after Tuesday.

NYC METRO AREA – ALL-TIME TOP HIGHEST TEMPERATURES ============================================================ NEWARK LIBERTY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (EWR) ============================================================ Rank Temperature Date 1 108°F Jul 22, 2011 2 105°F Jul 3, 1966 2 105°F Jul 4, 1949 2 105°F Jul 8, 1993 2 105°F Jul 10, 1993 2 105°F Aug 7, 1918* 2 105°F Aug 9, 2001 2 105°F Sep 2, 1953 3 104°F Jul 9, 1993 3 104°F Jul 15, 1995 4 103°F Jun 30, 2021 4 103°F Jun 24, 2025 ============================================================ CENTRAL PARK (NYC) ============================================================ Rank Temperature Date 1 106°F Jul 9, 1936 2 104°F Jul 21, 1977 2 104°F Jul 22, 2011 2 104°F Aug 7, 1918 3 103°F Jul 3, 1966 3 103°F Jul 6, 2010 3 103°F Aug 9, 2001 3 103°F Aug 26, 1948 4 102°F Sep 2, 1953 4 102°F Jul 10, 1993 4 102°F Jul 4, 1949 4 102°F Jul 8, 1936 ============================================================ LAGUARDIA AIRPORT (LGA) ============================================================ Rank Temperature Date 1 107°F Jul 3, 1966 2 104°F Jul 22, 2011 2 104°F Aug 9, 2001 3 103°F Jul 6, 2010 3 103°F Jul 15, 1995 3 103°F Aug 26, 1948 4 102°F Aug 2, 2006 4 102°F Sep 2, 1953 5 101°F Jun 24, 2025 5 101°F Jun 13, 2017 5 101°F Jul 18, 2012 5 101°F Jul 7, 2010 ============================================================ JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (JFK) ============================================================ Rank Temperature Date 1 104°F Jul 3, 1966 2 103°F Jul 22, 2011 3 102°F Jun 25, 2025 3 102°F Jun 24, 2025 3 102°F Jul 23, 2011 3 102°F Jul 5, 1999 3 102°F Jul 1, 1963 4 101°F Jul 18, 2012 4 101°F Jul 6, 2010 4 101°F Jul 4, 2010 4 101°F Jul 9, 1993 4 101°F Aug 27, 1948 ============================================================ PHILADELPHIA (PHL) ALL-TIME TOP HIGHEST TEMPERATURES ============================================================ Rank Temperature Date 1 106°F Aug 7, 1918 2 104°F Jul 10, 1936 2 104°F Jul 3, 1966 3 103°F Jul 2, 1901 3 103°F Jul 21, 1930 3 103°F Jul 9, 1936 3 103°F Jul 4, 1966 3 103°F Jul 7, 2010 3 103°F Jul 15, 1995 3 103°F Jul 22, 2011 4 102°F Jul 23, 2011 4 102°F Jul 8, 2012 4 102°F Aug 9, 2001 4 102°F Sep 2, 1953 4 102°F Jul 8, 1993 4 102°F Jul 20, 1991 4 102°F Jul 6, 1999

Sea breeze always wins out along the coast with this heat. Upper 80s will feel fantastic next week and the weekend. Ocean temps finally warmed to where I can tolerate it without a wetsuit.

Yup