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The sun actually makes a difference now.. you can even get the spring feel when its 30 out

Starting to think winter might be done. Maybe we get one more non-accumulating event in March, but next week is gonna be a serious thaw. Kinda sucks because I’ll be busting over on my snowfall forecast.

My bus took a hit but keeps on going! On to 18z

30's and 40's with some sunny days is nice for middle or later February. zero complaints

“Possibly”

This is fools gold

It's in the air. When the breeze flattens out in those moments out there leaving that unabated sun un-harrassed there's a nape quality to that. Meanwhile, rivulets it in the gutters. It's trying I'm noticing the the PV is dislodged to the Canadian archipelago side of the NP. So long as that's the case, it's likely to limit how much we recover from that two to three week BN span we just passed through. It's compressing the heights into southern Canada which is a confluence headachy look. Warm fronts might penetrate to Toronto on D8 charts, but we know better. Ha... maybe if we're lucky ... this will be the worst it can be for both sides! yay. No more winter of value. Not warm enough to d-drip the spring enthusiasts. Actually said look might make some nickle dime mixy deals come to pass. So, right now it fairs the winter geese in the early gallop polls.

There is a chance

Not when there’s basically no cold air incoming lol. But yes, it can snow when it’s warm the day before. I honestly am leaning towards this being more rain than snow. I’m not really buying this setup.

Better hope the storm comes through or we be coming for you.

and in capital letters

It’s really variable locally where I live. My particular street is sunny with not a lot of protection and sloped too. The other part of my neighborhood definitely has a lot more shade and retains quite well. But you can definitely tell the difference between more rural spots on the south shore versus where I am, which is obviously less wooded.

Upton still has a 40% chance of snow Sunday night - I have no opinion at this point .

Oh, I know what you meant lol.

Can we change the title to Presidents No Potential?

It's about the same here..but I think I'm running a local min due to bad luck with the past couple systems, specifically last weekend. Wouldn't be surprised if places like Ptown have higher depth. And I guarantee PYM northward does.

Are you sure? Why is it that the Wikipedia page on the subject: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outgoing_longwave_radiation doesn't discuss ENSO? The chart that's there doesn't seem to follow ENSO cycles: Keep in mind we're not talking about radiation *into* the atmosphere here (what I think is most affected by ENSO), we're talking about radiation from all earth elements (including the atmosphere) out into space (outgoing longwave radiation). Though I haven't attempted any kind of mathematical correlation - I thought ENSO cycles were generally much longer duration than what's in that chart.

Not a lot, honestly.

Not to nitpick, but as recently as 6z today (and for most of its recent prior runs) the Euro AI showed us hardly getting any precip from the storm. That isn't exactly deadly.

only 5-10" pack left here. some bare spots already showing along the road embankments!!

stolen from the mid atlantic forum... euro AI EPS trending cooler as well and backs up the OP. It'll be fun to watch until 18z

i love the euro twins but we need some other models to get on board.

Is there any other model support for Sunday? We need an February 1983 repeat