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I did? 47.6 is highest this month on Jan 9th. Today may beat that but let’s not make shit up . And tomorrow drops all afternoon after morning 40

When I first became introduced to forecast models and I'd see those "white blob" like -30F 850 temps I think it was from Plymouth models...I used to open my freezer and suck in the air as hard as I could to prepare for breathing in that cold

I know you know this, but using that wording inept idiots... I understood the grounds for criticism and questioning how it was done and like I said, we could have done one and probably ideally would have farther north. If I were some rando that just moved here for work and started posting, wouldn't be too excited about posting in the future after seeing that. I obviously know it comes with the territory here, us getting criticized at times. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

Straight?

stg i cant tell if you're being sarcastic or not but this is gold

Just looked at the 12z runs and they have improved with more precip. Snow is down to patches around here so it will be nice to rebuild the snowpack again.

00z Euro dumped an legit ice box on most of the US towards the end of January. If we can manage any snow cover, it wouldn't surprise me to see some days with highs in the lower to mid 20s.

RGEM gives us some white rain on Saturday

I saw diamond dust for the first time a few weeks ago and it was so cool.

Thanks. I didn't want to clog the main thread but didn't know how to move it lol. I appreciate the great idea. I never really considered a rain hike up there. I do rain hikes a lot at my local spot (Bacon Ridge). It's so peaceful during a spring rain hike.

Any squalls look to be tomorrow evening

The latest GEFS forecast for the PNA has reinforced the idea of a PNA regime change to predominantly positive following the end of the recent 34-day PNA- regime.

The main reason that event has sort of tamed is the SER is not quite as strong as it was being shown to be in that period next week anymore. I still don't love Sunday due to lack of a high in SE Canada, it would need to be a pretty close to perfect setup right now

I know I did - I feel like I often forget to check the 6z runs unless people are talking about them here. Looks like a pretty easy high-end advisory event. Too bad it's Day 9

We knew. He’s ticking 50 today and tomorrow and did earlier last week.

Fwiw, Webb thinks this comes northwest down to 0 hour

Today 50-55 , tomorrow a few squalls

Yes, Instead of sitting behind the keyboard pissing and whining all day about the lack of snow.

Yea this was a complete flip. We had cold that overperformed to that date—temps consistently below forecast. It’s been the opposite since…

Fwiw, Eric Webb says he thinks this becomes an overrunning event. Said its January 2014 like...

I lost 52 inches of snow in 6 hours

Short rangers looking juicy, 8-12 through Fri roughly here and north, some are a little more north and just miss here with the heavier stuff. 6"+ looking likely. Wouldn't be surprised to get upgraded to a warning.

6 out of the last 7 at 990ft now

Upgraded to WSW for some areas URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Morristown TN 1225 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026 TNZ041-072-074-141800- /O.UPG.KMRX.WW.Y.0001.260114T2000Z-260115T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KMRX.WS.W.0001.260114T2000Z-260115T1600Z/ Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Including the cities of Gatlinburg, Elkmont, Cades Cove, and Hartford 1225 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, mainly at or above 3000 feet in elevation. Locally higher amounts of 10 inches or more are expected along the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

@SnowenOutThere @dailylurker moving the rain hike discussion to banter. I second this idea. We stayed somewhere near Luray in late September 2022 on a weekend that was a total washout. Took the kids out for a rain hike anyway. Can't remember where exactly. It was fantastic, stumbled across small waterfalls that clearly only exist during rainstorms. Felt like we were in the prehistoric cloud forest!