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But you let emotion cloud your judgement too much lately. It’s blatantly obvious. I wasn’t big on the storm Monday either…I doubted it. And agreed with your idea of it wasn’t a good set up. But pleaseTake this constructively….you’re a smart MET. You know your stuff. Folks look to you for some insight. But lately, when a potential misses…you start with the nonsense of ending things. And it’s constant. Whether you’re doing that to get folks upset, or it’s your COPING Mechanism, the signs are blatantly obvious. Kevin said the same thing to you a couple mornings ago. And I actually stayed out of it. But he was right. I know you feel like what can a non MET show me….but believe me it’s clear. So just take that as something constructive. And before you say you’re just keeping it real…it’s beyond that now. I appreciate real, I think most of us do. But it’s abundantly clear that your frustration gets the best of you a lot lately. Not trying to be a jerk, BUT just keeping it “Real” as you like to say, on how it looks from the outside looking in. Stop being the angry frustrated Scott, and go back to the one we used to know.

I think later in the 11 to 15 day what you’d wanna see is as that -WPO ridge retros perhaps we can try to pop somewhat of a +PNA. If you can do that, you’ll limit the amount of Pacific air going into Canada and obviously you’d have a better chance of something here late month or early March. My point in all this is that it looks a little tenuous to me that’s all.

Flurries in Springfield

I'll take number 13

35 / 18 - Today / tomorrow should be the coldest days of the next 10. Overall dry (outside next Thu-Fri) as the storm misses 2/15. Overall warmer above avg 2/14 - 2/20 with the first shot at 50+ between 2/17 - 2/18. 2/12- 2/13 : near to below avg 2/13 - 2/20 : Moderation to / above avg first 50+ possible for some TueWed next week, Rain 2/19-20 2/21 : Moderation back colder 2/22 - beyond : perhaps more activity to track with an overall colder close to the month - at this point it doesnt look significantly strong cold.

Or we’ll have foggy drizzly crap in the 40s on easterly winds. Misery but without the benefit of rain for the water table/reservoirs.

It was 0 at 0z

7.2" since the clipper on the 10th. Snow depth at 2ft!

He must be at work so post a photo for @EastCoast NPZ

Well said. I believe that the soccer version of the Ball model calls for damp raw cold Saturdays for the first 7 weeks of the season, followed by precisely one top ten weather day, followed by 2 weeks of blazing Death Valley heat to end the season. Fall season is the nearly the opposite, but we have time for that.

Flurries 30 degrees

I'll gamble with a -PNA. We need some damn moisture!

30.1 my morning low. Heatwave …..

The WPO is forecast to be significantly negative for the last week of the month. The advertised orientation of the ridge can help offset the -PNA some, and the EPO is forecast to be only slightly positive before rising some the last few days of the month. AO and NAO look to be negative, but not severely. If all this verifies then the only 'unfavorable' index is the PNA, which is forecast to trend less negative from the 20th through the end of the month.

I’m pretty disappointed that no one commented on the 6z nam at 90 hours.

Snowing in Stephenson

For a day anyway! .

If you actually look at 500 mb anomalies you’ll see exactly what I’m talking about.

Dude, I actually look at models. I know what I’m talking about just like the storm on Monday.

as an all-season weather head, I just want wild weather to return

We have a 10% chance of 12+". Let's make it count!

And what a glorious, glorious thing it is.

Nobody does…he’s struggling. Been all messed up all season. Ya hate to see it.