All Activity

Would be nice and I hope that happens but all of these "nice trends" are going to have to happen upwards of several hundred miles farther west. Not very likely to get that at this stage

I think the banner of snowstorm potential is a little over the top. I'm rooting for it of course, but I wouldn't call a 2 to 4 inch possibility, and that's if everything works out, snowstorm potential. Maybe something like light to moderate event possibility would be a better banner.

Sign me up for 0.3 of frozen

Euro QPF….youre prob bumping that a bit NW on these types of setups. You get good fronto on NW side of that thermal gradient.

Pretty much held qpf wise here not bad. .28” should produce 3-4”. Now will we get that here idk but here’s hoping.

Low end warning event for everyone north of DC.

Underperforming a bit here. Right around an inch so far. An inch yesterday too in unrelated upslope.

The 12z Euro has actual temps in the mid to upper teens by Sunday afternoon with windchills below zero along the northern border of Tenn.

Nice trends I guess. Not sold on anything of significance happening however.

Euro

Going to assume 20-30:1 ratios based on my last snowfall

Not sure if it’s the coastal per se or just good dynamics (jet entrance region and frontogenesis). They’re all linked of course. Maybe. Seems like Sunday is the stronger wave. @SnowenOutTherehas the hot hand. I did the December 2nd rain thread

I’ve been unwavering in thinking this is a measurable event for most of SNE.

You forgot the word of the month, “trying”

The current setup is actually ideal for my area so you know it will be wrong. Earlier digging would result in liquid here.

Nice fatties with the band. Too bad for me it’ll move away quickly but hope you are able to cash a few inches!

start digging the trough farther west towards Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois then maybe there is a chance. Otherwise the most favored spot for sfc low development is still way too south to give us anything outside of some snow showers.

warmup has been well modeled and the snowpack was built on dusters naso surprising to see it get nuked so fast, imo the real bummer is the good pattern ending with a whimper instead of a bang

I think a regional 1-4" might be a good early guess. Still room either way though.

Weatherbell's snowfall maps are being slow right now but I think the 12z Euro should make people happier based on the precip totals 12z 6z

If this holds to HR 60, I nominate @WxUSAF to make the thread.

Looks that way! As that has trended weakee Sundayb has looked better. That's why we need to book the heck out of the Friday clipper thread

Yeah, when I see “could be” “should be” or “close” I just assume there is nothing

honestly, perfect recovery from 00z

So we kind of want Friday to suck for a better Sunday?