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Usually my favorite time of year. Sunny mild days before the real heat and humidity arrive
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Strange anomalies across the region for May. BOS was 2.4 and HFD was -0.6.
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That is the Wake County motto ever since the dry slot.
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Tied for my 3rd warmest spring to go along with the 4th driest.. Last below normal spring was back in 2018.
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May rainfall here was 3.22". Up until the Memorial Day weekend rainfall the monthly total was only 1.29" so that holiday weekend rainfall saved the month from being extremely dry. Rainfall looks light, <.50" over the next 7-10 days for most locations. Hope everyone has a good June!
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Gotta love your optimism. We are just about at the earliest sunrise time and about 10 min to go for latest sunset so you can add that to your list of positive things. I'm not a fan of extreme heat and humidity but gotta enjoy Summer for what it has to offer. Don't rush your life away. Keep your expectations for Winter 26-27 low. Without a renegade "biggie" might be slim pickings this coming winter based on Nino climo. We'll see. Same thing for hurricane season. Looks about as hostile as it can be moving forward. Some of the longer range guidance from Canadian and EURO are BONE dry over the tropics right through August. It only takes one to make it memorable through.
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June 1 1993: St. Cloud records its latest ever freezing temperature, with a record low of 32. For Monday, June 1, 2026 1812 - Apple trees at New Haven CT did not blossom until the first of June, the latest such occurrence during the period beginning in 1794. Snow whitened the ground in Cleveland OH and Rochester NY. (David Ludlum) 1903 - A strong tornado just 50 to 75 yards in width killed many persons around the Gainesville GA Cotton Mill. The tornado strengthened and widened near the end of its four mile path, killing 40 persons at New Holland GA. A total of 104 persons were killed in the tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - A man from Falmouth ME was struck by lightning restoring his eyesight. The man had been blind and partially deaf since a truck accident in 1971. (The Weather Channel) (Note: WOW! That's so cool!) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Lower Ohio Valley produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Albert Lea Airport in southern Minnesota, and baseball size hail around Otterbein IN, Sarona WI, and Danville IL. Two inches of hail totally destroyed 5000 acres of corn and soybean north of Danville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched north central Texas with torrential rains, with more than 14 inches reported in Commanche County. Afternoon thunderstorm in New Jersey and Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 70 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the afternoon over the Southern Plains Region produced severe weather through the evening and the night, spawning nine tornadoes. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Alpine TX, and baseball size hail at Balmorhea, TX, Fluvanna, TX, and in Borden County, TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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DLH May avg temp 49.8 (-2.2), and precip 1.27" (-2.10"). Did a little better with precip up the shore here in TH with 1.86" (-1.44") with an avg temp 46.3 (-2.1).
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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I’ll believe it when I see it
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I ended up with ~2” yesterday evening from rain (no thunder) that lasted for hours with few breaks. The heaviest was during early evening as I posted about was ~6-7:30PM. This 2” is my heaviest in months and likely in all of ‘26 to date (I’d have to double-check to know for sure.). That brings me to ~4.7” for May with ~3.2” of this May 28-31.
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managed just enough from the early morning showers to give the plants a nice drink
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RDU finished with just 1.54” of rainfall during May which is less than 1/2 the normal amount for the month. With only 8.32” for the year it also marks the driest start to a year through June 1 in history (132 years) for the observing site.
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My ‘26 prediction is for 8/4/1 with 52 ACE. Anyone else?
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Another gorgeous morning - comfortable dew points for the whole work week ahead? Sign me up for that, any week june thru sept.
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Decent chance for rain coming later this week. Lets hope for a better month in that regard.
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That all aside ... heat, where are we and what - What was once merely suggestive is now ... call it 'modestly' impressive. A signal for heat along 100 W/mid latitude continent. This has been in the ensemble clustered means for days -overnight is interesting. The simple version first, if and when this wave function collapses, the heat it containers will unleash and synoptically spread E with the prevailing vector. A hot time for day if not a heat wave. GFS ensemble mean centered on June 9 ... notice the +AO, too - The EPS and GEPs are in principle the same, with the same implications. The trough sag on the EC is legit... some 1/3 members refuse to admit to this [probable] evolution. The ridge NE of HA over the lower GOA is a favorable wave geometry for positive height anomaly around Michigan - heat wave for them... But the +AO/+NAO, ongoing, suggests that spreads E. I'm noticing even in the operational runs there are occasional Sonoran release signals, an implication whenever there is ridge-trough-ridge signal between 130W and 90W/mid latitudes. The operational versions are definitely toying with something of a warmer recovery... They are not taking advantage of the expansion this aloft gives them, but the polar branch appears to finally be decaying. That's precarious. At least in so far as what all this means for us N-E of the Mason Dixie, where we've been stuck in a troughy/cold purgatory for several weeks. As an side, despite the heat wave in May, May had trouble actually averaging above normal ... Logan ( ironically) did best in that regard, but interior climo sites were decimals of average, despite having days in the 90s. That means that the weight of the month was colder -statistics sometimes lie like that. Like Scott and I have noted several times in the past, we just go bonkers when we do get warm, and this is stressing/offsetting the perception of a cooler sensible journey.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Because it has the front draped just north -
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Yikes, the ensembles are not pretty for total rainfall for the next couple weeks. Posting the canadian for no real reason, the others all tell the same dry story:
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- let the flood gates open
- oh thats where the moisture is
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