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I noticed models are sort of struggling a bit with the ULL placement. But I can buy a band near ern CT to ORH and another one near the coast.

Anyone know where to find information for the winter of 1996 on long island as far as exact dates and amount of each snowfall

If you approach this event, knowing that it has a tremendous capacity for disappointment, then it will be much easier to bare psychologically. I’m planning on a coating here and we’ll see if there’s a pleasant surprise of more than that.

3k has 4 inches over Wexford

He gets free rent, just has to give shitty weather forecasts to her as payment. I am pretty sure that’s DT.

Take a look at the models for yourself. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

F here in central Alabama.

Here's the April 2015 temperature anomoly: This map doesn't look much different than those March 2026 Euro maps.

Another February, another massive -PNA (Aleutian ridge). Pattern change looks to take place around Feb 9th, enjoy your snow tomorrow.

Here are the winter monthly averages for TRI(so far): January -1.6F...snow 8.6 which is +5.6 AN December +0.7F...snow 0.9 which was -0.7 BN February (which will certainly modify some with WELCOMED warmed temps! bring it on) as of 2/4: -17.4F...snow is +0.4 so far February had the coldest day(regardless of month) since 2015 according to David Boyd of WCYB along w/ two record lows on Feb 1st and 2nd. February 1st was -27.8 BN and Feb 2nd was -28.4 BN. There are portions of lakes frozen solid right now which rarely freeze over in NE TN. There have been three record lows set in the 2000s at TRI....February 2026 now holds two of those three record lows. We have had back-to-back winter storms during the past two weekends...an ice storm and snow storm. It snowed again last night. I would guess MBY probably has had about 12" of snow so far this winter. Lots of nickel and dime stuff in addition to the big storm. And yes, temps after Christmas were warm, but oddly TRI didn't set a single record high here, but again....the temps for both December and January will average out BN for both months combined at TRI. With the exception of just a few days, TRI has been BN since Jan 11. This has been an impressive cold spell.

As we sit here today, I think we are exactly where we want to be for next weekend based on what I learn on this forum every winter: 1) We don't want to be in the bullseye 10 days out; 2) We are OK because these events always trend north; 3) we are also ok because these events always trend south; 3) weekend rule; 4) the storm will make its own cold air; 5) the models did not ingest the latest data from airplanes; and 6) its a Baja ejection thing so no worries. We are so back.

Yes, this is ideal actually. Wonder how much the met in this pic is paying his mom for rent. Probably has a tray of Tostinos and Mt Down on that desk.

Toss it…you’re gonna do well.

Does this suffice? Think I found some footage on fb reel of a 150k basement poster

End of next week looking a lot less torchy on guidance. The PNA is headed to negative territory but that block just doesn’t want to budge. Valentine’s may be a severe event but we could also trend firmly into a cad/miller b type of look with just a few more tweaks.

Extreme Cold Watch Issued: 1:03 PM Feb. 5, 2026 – National Weather Service ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills of 20 below possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through early Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

ready 4 spring

Definitely a strong signal showing up at this range. Is the Nino finally kicking in w/ the STJ starting to show some life?

NAM got better for tomorrow too. Drops 1-3” rather than the C-1” it’s been showing.

I'm just glad to know we can still do long sustained cold in these parts... I was getting worried that transient cold was the new norm.

Me, Wxusaf and Cape.

Bravo! Well played!

On the Jersey shore I'm sure it does. To those of us to the north of NYC latitude I've always looked at the first two to three weeks of March as just another winter month. After the 20th or so I agree.

Seriously...take the climate stuff somewhere else. But just so we have the record straight and don't just cherry pick....Temps are BN for DJF so far as a whole for TRI. That is just fact. TRI just booked two record lows for February to start the month. Rivers here are frozen solid here, but I bet you maybe don't know that. The last time I remember that was 17-18. Temps have been BN as a base level since Jan 11. The first half of December was BN. Definitely was a torch right after Christmas with the chinook...but again, you are cherry picking stuff. Take the rest of this garbage to the climate forum or back to your forum wherever that is.

Who does the in person interview?