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GFS nearly identical to 18z

I just took an invigorating walk at the park with middle to low 40s, dewpoints in the high 30s, and no more than a light breeze. This is close to ideal walking wx for me.

Without something to make it go negative us northern folk are screwed

A December to forget lol

Did you really think that?

2000-01 may have finished with average snowfall, but the way the season ended, with that epic snow bust in March, made that season feel like a disappointment.

Winter Weather advisories out for parts of Oklahoma including OKC and Tulsa.

The 18z Euro has a light upslope clipper around the 8th....need to keep an eye on that one.

I hope someone good who has some distance can one day write an article about the absolutely no prisoners taken war I'm hearing pieces of going on up in state college. Pulitzer prize material stuff for the right person. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Late night Caps game and tracking a potential event on Friday…life is good y’all.

Some nice trends on both the NAM and RGEM if you like frozen. To me, this also bodes well for future systems. It looks like modeling under-did the NW shield of the precip. So this super dry sliders which follow tomorrow night...might have a bit more juice. Good luck on overnight modeling to everyone. I hope someone gets an early season snow!

Don- Thanks as always for your always interesting and enlightening stats.

0z NAM was colder and more snow northern piedmont

Even the notoriously cold biased RDPS has gone to all rain here..

Latest LWX probabilities as of 9:15p has DC with a 84% chance of 0.1”+, 64% 1”+, 50% 2”+. Solid chances for DC and I’m ready to see my Christmas lights in snow.

I think it is coming this season. Not all of it but a-lot. More than average for sure.

RGEM is worse. Shame, first letdown of the 18z-00z revival campaign

Yeah only hope is our wave just does it on its own, nothing to work with ahead of it.

That’s a good bump north in the 0.1” QPF line on ICON from 18z. Looks like it went from EZF to north of DC on 00z.

Airmass is bone dry leading in.

Still just too dry as you go further north. Beefier precip to start the event fizzles in MD. But that can hopefully continue to trend better.

On to the GFS

Buy in from Icon

Seems reasonable

Yeah it's gonna be better, maybe a fair bit.