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lol GFS consistently giving us biblical amounts. Can’t wait for the inevitable cave. thinking 3-6 is a good first guess here

Watched that storm on HiRes Sat throughout its life and that was the most impressive sustained updraft with intense rotation up through 50-60k ft I've seen in our sub. I'm also curious how that early lake breeze that moved inland and stalled right around the IKK area affected it. That storm sure looked like it got rooted into that stalled outflow boundary that collided with the warm front. Some extra enhancement there? Thats a rare updraft for even TX hail country to be juggling 5-6 inchers 5 miles in the air. Truly epic updraft.

This is true remember last month when some well known not to be named METS online were discounting the chances of any snow the last half of February ?

Technically not a back door front. Not according to WPC's last analysis. It a front coming down steeply from the N but it's not back dooring

I potentially have jury duty tomorrow. I fully expect a wave to form on the front that the models aren't currently picking up on and it will bury us under 14-20" of snow tomorrow morning while I'm on the road. 54F

using an off hour run of the GFS OP

Should get well into the 50s today

euro more of a thunderstorm look here while ukie/gfs selling some cement either way, should be another nice chunk of qpf to keep the d1 away free bowme

39 for the low @ 42 light breeze, shop heat back on....

Another 1.7" of snow in the books. And tomorrow night could be another 6+" along the shore here.

Yes some years the sun angle is not as high and the ground temp has a significant influence on higher up levels of the atmosphere along with temps being in the 40's for weeks prior and next weeks cold outbreak along with the other cold outbreaks to follow on guidance doesn't count - welcome to the weather world of Phileaglesfan712....

Just put on a new roof two summers ago

lol, yeah. Roofers gonna be making some big money around here. Alas, needed new gutters anyways.

wild

I think someone already mentioned this, but your shingles are toast.

Absolutely. It knocked down a ton of branches though.

And he thought he could protect his pack. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=G3147&hours=168

def a blessing that this all time hail event happened before budding/leaf out

I know everyone is enjoying the beautiful weather, but reality is about to hit again. Looks like we get some very heavy rainfall with storms tonight, then a quick changeover to possibly a heavy burst of snow with maybe some flow snow on the back end. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

NWS has already taken the Thursday evening (snow chances) out of the forecast.

Tolland now Jersey climo?

It’s happening. Going 3-5” for MBY. Conservative since it will be 80 today.

41 here. Party is over.

Hopefully these have loaded. Posted a few videos to my x account. First one is the hail. Make sure sound is on. Somehow that pool cover made out completely unscathed. Second 2 videos are looking south where the tornado developed. https://x.com/PostalWeather/status/2031699162455060554 https://x.com/PostalWeather/status/2031700079694712924

He hasn’t been below 45° since Saturday.