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Ashburnham 1,367 asl great spot

For most PNW stations, December has seen around 1-2F warming since 1940s. February hasn't warmed at all. Summer warming has been much more pronounced.

Yeah i guess my question is why we need the warm pool to extend east this year and not last year. For feb it makes sense. What is different about this January vs. last January when we had a +PNA?

He was among my wxtwitter follows for quite a while when I was on there and I agree with this assessment. I didn't know it was a thing, but he did sort of seem to relish crushing EC snow weenie dreams Note, I am not commenting on his or anyone's specific thoughts on this winter.

He was calling for a TNH+ pattern with -EPO for the winter not too long ago, maybe a couple of weeks. I do follow him and he gives good background information under the hood, but the latest tweet of his lacked the usual substance and reasoning.

40s tomorrow then 50s and 60s for the next week. Here comes the warm spell. My guess, mid to late January we have a shot at snow again.

EPS trend for 12/29 @ 12z. Look at that trend towards colder weather. And some are already cancelling winter.

How happyclam sauce ?

18z GFS is bringing 1 inch of snow to Harrisburg & Lancaster on Tuesday am, with closer to 3 inches for the Williamsport area.

Lol. Your area and right over @powderfreak’s head.

Yea it’s a weather discussion board. We talk about weather, good, bad, ugly. Sorry I hurt your feelings

And yet you still felt the need to point out the melting. Interesting. 29/14 and blustery.

We definitely have the airing of grievances part covered.

I think Friday still bears some watching. A few ECM runs and GFS-AI run the precipitation into a wall of CAD. Lots of northerly low level drain. It's a much better threat for New England, but there's still enough time and enough ensemble spread... Pretty low likelihood however outside of some ice across the northern interior or maybe flakes to end.

RDU now has Columbia’s climate. RDUs climate has shifted to DC. Do that across the country

850 FXUS61 KOKX 212101 CCA AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service New York NY 401 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ... QPF overall will be light, largely near or under a quarter inch, which will limit any potential snowfall. Forecast amounts have not changed significantly from the previous forecast, with up to an inch along the coast, and 1 to 2 inches moving inland northof interstates 80 and 95, with highest amounts in the elevated areas of the interior LoHud Valley, interior SW Connecticut, and NE NJ. Central Park Snow Observer activation is not expected at this time.

Yea no that’s not me. Just being realistic.

Can look at all snowmaps you want . It’s 1-5 for 99% of the fourm, 1” coast 2 interior low.. 3-4” hills .. 5 NNE.. and a very small area in ME gets 8-12. It’s not gonna change

Very underwhelming in SNE unless someone catches a piece of the Norlun

I live 50 miles north of NYC and I've been complaining for decades. I created this screename in the late 90's on the old Bill Evans AccuWeather weather forum and there was good reason I chose it. I had several discussions with Bill back in that time period and he said he thought the yearly average in CP was probably 4-5 inches higher than what was actually recorded. Years later 2011-2014, I discussed the problem with the NWS many times leading to the change to the conservancy taking the measurements in 2015. They always acknowledged the problem but always stated how difficult it is to get a reliable person to the park to measure. They even asked at one point if I wanted to do it, considering the distance I politely declined. Like I said earlier they then took the measurements from the Central Park zookeeper in late 2014 and started with the Conservancy taking the measurements. To repeat myself it did improve significantly from 2015-2019 but has been pretty much a shit show again since 2020. There are most likely several reasons for their constant under measurements. Where they measure, when they measure, not measuring immediately after events end so no compression and settling,and just having an organization measuring that doesn't seem to care about accuracy and timeliness. The more I write the more I think I'll be talking with them again tomorrow LOL.

good to see you before the holiday, Uncle Scrooge .

WB extended EPS 30 day anomalies for Jan.

I’ll take the bait, el clamino… Why is it? It looks different, right? .

Probably a record this Christmas as well. We've had several extremes around the south the past couple of years.

And since we'll sooner see omega humping an out of control NAM run than budget approval for a dedicated observer in the park, you know which way this is more likely to go.